Gale Warning 393, NWS Anchorage, AK

821 
FZAK51 PAFC 081429 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

UPDATED 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090300-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH WED MORNING. AN ALEUTIAN LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAND POINT AT
985 MB WED MORNING AND DRIFT TO 75 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AT THE
SAME INTENSITY BY LATE WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-090300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-090300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-090300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-090300-
PASSAGE CANAL
630 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-090300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-090300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-090300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-090300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-090300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM

855 
FZAK51 PAFC 081848 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1050 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

UPDATED ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090300-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH WED MORNING. AN ALEUTIAN LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAND POINT AT
985 MB WED MORNING AND DRIFT TO 75 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AT THE
SAME INTENSITY BY LATE WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-090300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-090300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-090300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-090300-
PASSAGE CANAL
630 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-090300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-090300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-090300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1050 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-090300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-090300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM

356 
FZAK51 PAFC 082247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091500-
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

AN ALEUTIAN LOW WILL TRACK TO NEAR CHIGNIK WED AFTERNOON AT 984 MB 
AND THEN WEAKEN OVER BRISTOL BAY ON THU. A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO
150 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY THU AFTERNOON AT 990 MB. 

$$

PKZ120-091500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-091500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-091500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-091500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-091500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-091500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-091500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-091500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-091500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

496 
FZAK51 PAFC 091145
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB ALEUTIAN LOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB NEAR BRISTOL BAY LATE
WED NIGHT AND MOVE INLAND THU AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST GULF WED AFTERNOON AND REACH THE NORTH
GULF COAST WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...SE WIND 35 KT
BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45
KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT BY NOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

649 
FZAK51 PAFC 091902 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

UPDATED ZONES 130 AND 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB ALEUTIAN LOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB NEAR BRISTOL BAY LATE
WED NIGHT AND MOVE INLAND THU AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST GULF WED AFTERNOON AND REACH THE NORTH
GULF COAST WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...SE WIND 35 KT
BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45
KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1100 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT BY NOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1100 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT SHIFTING TO SOUTH 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1250 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE ALASKA REGION WITH AN EMBEDDED CLOSED LOW JUST SOUTH
OF THE GULF. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE TROUGH IS JUST BEGINNING
TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD WHILE SHORT-WAVES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
LOW ROTATE WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND. ONE
SHORT-WAVE IS EXITING SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING AND TRACKING ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE COMBINATION OF THIS UPPER LEVEL WAVE WITH THE
REMNANTS OF A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARE PRODUCING SCATTERED
SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW AND ABUNDANT
MOISTURE ARE ALSO PRODUCING AREAS OF FOG AND STRATUS...PARTICULARLY
IN THE BRISTOL BAY REGION. SKIES CLEARED OVER THE COOK INLET/SUSITNA
VALLEY CORRIDOR BEHIND THE SHORT-WAVE...BUT CLOUDS ARE ALREADY
FILLING BACK IN OVER LAND THANKS TO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND THE
NEXT SHORT-WAVE APPROACHING FROM THE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

A SHORT-WAVE NEAR KAMCHATKA IS DIGGING ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE
LONG-WAVE TROUGH. A SURFACE LOW IS BEGINNING TO DEEPEN OUT AHEAD
OF IT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE RAIN AND FOG IS BEGINNING
TO MOVE IN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...ECMWF IS AN OUTLIER WITH SPEED OF LOW TRACKING
ALONG THE ALEUTIANS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. PREFER THE GFS/NAM WHICH
ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT...SUPPORTED BY GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...
AND BECAUSE THIS SOLUTION PROVIDES CONTINUITY WITH THE CURRENT
FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SHORT-WAVE CROSSING THE NORTHERN GULF WILL
ROTATE SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THUS SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD
DIE OFF THIS EVENING ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL. HOWEVER...A SERIES
OF SHORT-WAVES CURRENTLY OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL TRACK INTO THE
COPPER BASIN AND EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM SOUTHEAST ALASKA RIGHT
NOW LOOKS LIKE STEADY STRATIFORM PRECIP WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST
OF THESE SHORT-WAVES. MODELS DIFFER ON THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF PRECIP
WITH NAM BRINGING RAIN TO THE DOORSTEP OF ANCHORAGE. BASED ON UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WHICH WILL BE BACKING WITH TIME DON'T THINK STEADY RAIN
WON'T MAKE IT ANY FURTHER THAN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...ALTHOUGH SOME
LOWER CLOUDS COULD MAKE IT OVER THE KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. DO
ONCE AGAIN EXPECT DIURNAL CONVECTION IN THESE WESTERN AREAS WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND THE CONTINUED COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT. UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT AROUND TO SOUTHERLY BY WEDNESDAY AS ALEUTIAN
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF. THE RESULTS WILL BE SIMILAR WITH WEAK
UPPER WAVES AND COLD AIR ALOFT LEADING TO MOSTLY DIURNAL CONVECTION
INLAND WHILE STEADY RAIN OR SHOWERS SETTLE IN ALONG THE GULF COAST.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BE ON THE PERIPHERY OF
MAJOR FEATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS...OFTENTIMES WITH WEAK AND
VARIABLE FLOW. THIS MEANS THAT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ON
THE HIGH SIDE...LEADING TO PERSISTENT AREAS OF FOG AND STRATUS.
WITH WEAK FORCING CONVECTION WILL PRIMARILY BE DIURNAL IN NATURE.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS UPPER LOW IS LIFTING UP THE FRONT SIDE
OF TROUGH AND SHORT-WAVE IS DIGGING DOWN BACK SIDE OF TROUGH THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL FLATTEN OUT AND WESTERLY FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN ALONG THE ALEUTIANS. THIS MEANS LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK QUICKLY...REACHING KODIAK ISLAND BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A SHORT-WAVE MOVING OVER TOP OF A STRONG RIDGE
OVER SIBERIA WILL DROP DOWN OUT OF THE ARCTIC WEDNESDAY AMPLIFYING
THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH ONCE AGAIN AND REINFORCING THE ARCTIC AIR IN
PLACE OVER THE BERING SEA REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...UPPER LEVEL FLOW LOOKS LIKE IT WILL REMAIN
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED AND DYNAMIC THROUGH THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD.
NORMALLY THIS WOULD LEAD TO BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.
HOWEVER...GFS/ECMWF SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS SO CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT
AVERAGE. THE TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE BERING MID WEEK
WILL PICK UP A PACIFIC LOW AND TRACK IT INTO THE GULF LATE THIS
WEEK. AS IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR EXPECT THE BULK OF
STRATIFORM PRECIP TO REMAIN ALONG THE COAST WITH A MORE SHOWERY
REGIME INLAND. AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK
THIS TROUGH WILL LIFT WHILE ANOTHER DIGS OUT OF ASIA INTO THE
BERING SEA. SO EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS OVER THE MAINLAND AS
THE FOCUS SHIFTS TO A PACIFIC STORM TRACKING INTO THE BERING SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB MAY 12