Gale Warning 297, NWS Anchorage, AK

683 
FZAK52 PAFC 252253
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261500-
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTHEAST 
OF SAINT PAUL MON AFTERNOON AT 979 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN DRIFT 
TO 45 NM NORTH OF SAINT PAUL TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-261500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-261500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. E OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SE 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 9 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 21 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO
17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-261500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-261500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-261500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-261500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-261500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-261500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING
W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...26 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-261500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-261500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-261500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-261500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKDT SAT MAR 24 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM AND GFS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON SURFACE WEATHER
FEATURES THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAIN FEATURE IN THE EAST IS A DISSIPATING
LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WHICH WEAKENS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT
MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST. DOMINATE WEATHER SYSTEM IS A LOW MOVING INTO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH IS FORECASTED TO MOVE OVER
COLD BAY MONDAY MORNING AND THEN EASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...CURRENT SYSTEM IN NORTHERN GULF WEAKENS
THIS EVENING WITH DECREASING SHOWERS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. LOW
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND
OUT OF THE PICTURE AS REGARDS TO ALASKA WEATHER. THE STORM MOVING
INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SHOULD PRODUCE GALES ACROSS A WIDE PORTION
OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING SEA...RAIN AND SNOW WITH NEXT SYSTEM IN THE ALEUTIANS. SOME
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS STORM AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD.

SOUTHWEST...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A MIXTURE OF
CLEAR AREAS AND OTHERS WITH LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
BERING STORM MOVES ONSHORE IN BRISTOL BAY STARTING LATE SUN EVENING.
WOULD EXPECT RAIN AND SNOW WITH MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS
MONDAY.

SOUTHCENTRAL...VARIABLE CLOUDS TONIGHT WITH SOME CLEARING WEST OF
PWS. MOSTLY SUNNY SUNDAY OVER MOST OF THE REGION. FRONT MOVES OVER
KODIAK EARLY MONDAY MORNING BUT SEEMS TO STALL OVER NORTHERN GULF
LATE MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN CONFINED TO THE COASTAL ZONE.  WARMING INLAND
BEGINNING ON TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...BERING SYSTEM IS PROGED TO MOVE SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS AS IT DISSIPATES BUT THEN MOVES NORTHWEST INTO BRISTOL DAY ON
WED. RAIN AND POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS OVER GULF REGION AND SOUTHWEST
COASTAL ZONES. STRONG EAST WINDS OVER THE GULF AND NORTHERN AK PEN
EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH WED.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 170 171 172 175 176 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP MAR 12