Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 10, 2011

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this special weather statement at Jul 10, 2011, 12:37 PM MST. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2011, 12:37 PM MST (19:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2011, 1:15 PM MST
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2011-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 44 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2011-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 76 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
44 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-322 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2056 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 10, 8:48 AM MST, 3 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 8:48 AM MST, 3 hours 49 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 10:10 AM MST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1010 AM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

AZZ503-504-506>515-110600-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER VALLEY/ALTAR VALLEY-TUCSON METRO AREA-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY-
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS-
1010 AM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AROUND THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT WITH A FEW LINGERING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MAIN
THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
EVEN MODERATE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREAS SEVERELY BURNED BY
WILDFIRES WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES AND MAY CONTAIN POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. EVEN
MODERATE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREAS SEVERELY BURNED BY WILDFIRES
WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

A DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING MUCH DRIER AIR INTO THE
REGION BY WEDNESDAY...THUS REDUCING THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ501-502-505-110600-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-
SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
1010 AM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS ARE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...WHICH MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST...AND LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY BEFORE A
DISTINCT BREAK IN THE DAILY ACTIVITY OCCURS THE REST OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 12:37 PM MST, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 5:00 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Pinal2 hr
Jul 9, 5:23 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima, Pinal112 min
Jul 9, 6:10 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise110 min
Jul 9, 7:15 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima2 hr
Jul 9, 7:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima54 min
Jul 9, 7:30 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima3 hr
Jul 10, 12:08 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima3 hr
Jul 10, 1:11 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Santa Cruz5 hr
Jul 10, 2:03 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise117 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2011Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.