Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 10, 2011Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 10, 2011, 2:03 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 117 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2011, 2:03 PM MST (21:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2011, 4:00 PM MST
In force
117 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 10, 3:12 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD1 S Nicksville, AZWALL OF WATER IN MILLER CANYON. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 92 AND CIRCLE S. RESIDENTS TRAPPED IN HOMES.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2011-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 105 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2011-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
105 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-237 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1938 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

039 
WGUS55 KTWC 102103
FFWTWC
AZC003-102300-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0013.110710T2103Z-110710T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
203 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 400 PM MST

* AT 155 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
FLASH FLOODING FROM A THUNDERSTORM OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE 
MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA ON THE SOUTHERN HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS. EXPECT 
FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE HEAVILY BURNED 
AREAS OF THE MONUMENT FIRE. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RAMSEY   
CANYON PRESERVE...STUMP CANYON...CARR CANYON AND NICKSVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO LOCALLY TWO INCHES ARE 
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3151 11038 3149 11024 3134 11020 3134 11035

$$

GL
4 follow-up statements
071 
WGUS75 KTWC 102128
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
228 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

AZC003-102300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110710T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
228 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM MST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 218 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE SOUTHERN 
HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA. AN 
AUTOMATED RAINFALL GAUGE IN MILLER CANYON HAS RECORDED OVER ONE INCH 
OF RAINFALL IN 20 MINUTES. AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH OF RAINFALL IS 
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS 
HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING 
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA WITH DEBRIS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RAMSEY CANYON
PRESERVE...CARR CANYON...MILLER CANYON...STUMP CANYON AND NICKSVILLE

LAT...LON 3151 11038 3149 11024 3134 11020 3134 11035

$$

GL
052 
WGUS75 KTWC 102157
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
257 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

AZC003-102300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110710T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
257 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM MST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 250 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE SOUTHERN 
HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA. THIS 
THUNDERSTORM HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN AND PUSH NORTHWARD...HOWEVER AN 
AUTOMATED RAINFALL GAUGE IN MILLER CANYON HAS RECORDED 1.61 INCHES 
OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST HOUR. BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES...A 
WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN OVER THE 
MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA IN THE HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS. 

THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WILL CAUSE FLASH 
FLOODING DOWNSTREAM FROM THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA WITH DEBRIS 
EXPECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG HIGHWAY 92 SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AT EACH 
OF THE WASHES THAT COME OUT FROM THE HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING 
MILLER CANYON.  

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RAMSEY CANYON
PRESERVE...CARR CANYON...MILLER CANYON...STUMP CANYON AND NICKSVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3151 11038 3149 11024 3134 11020 3134 11035

$$

GL
298 
WGUS75 KTWC 102222
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
322 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

AZC003-102300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110710T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
322 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM MST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 313 PM MST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A 
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA. FLASH 
FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED COMING OUT OF THE MILLER CANYON AREA 
DOWNSTREAM NEAR HIGHWAY 92. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS 
OCCURRED IN THE SOUTHERN HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS AND WILL CONTINUE TO 
FLOW DOWNSTREAM OUT FROM THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MILLER 
CANYON...CARR CANYON...RAMSEY CANYON PRESERVE AND NICKSVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3151 11038 3149 11024 3134 11020 3134 11035

$$

GL
828 
WGUS75 KTWC 102256
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
356 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

AZC003-102301-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110710T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
356 PM MST SUN JUL 10 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 400 PM MST FOR SOUTHWESTERN
COCHISE COUNTY...

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN OVER FOR AN HOUR NOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTED IN FLASH FLOODING 
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW 
RECEDING ACROSS THE AREA...THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

LAT...LON 3151 11038 3149 11024 3134 11020 3134 11035

$$

GL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 5:00 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Pinal2 hr
Jul 9, 5:23 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima, Pinal112 min
Jul 9, 6:10 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise110 min
Jul 9, 7:15 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima2 hr
Jul 9, 7:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima54 min
Jul 9, 7:30 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima3 hr
Jul 10, 12:08 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima3 hr
Jul 10, 12:37 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC38 min
Jul 10, 1:11 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Santa Cruz5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.