Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
459 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
459 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WITH STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
PUSH ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PRODUCED
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH A POTENTIAL FLASH FLOOD THREAT AND
ALSO GUSTY WINDS UP AROUND 50 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG
WITH A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS ALL
MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER COULD BE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
AS ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS TO THE NORTHWEST AND
PUSHES TOWARD THE REGION.

ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTH OF THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN ABLE TO CLIMB UP TO AROUND
100 DEGREES WITH HEAT INDICES AROUND 106 DEGREES. THESE HOT
CONDITIONS HAVE ALLOWED FOR A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER DANGER TO
DEVELOP...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A BURBANK TO FORT SMITH LINE.
THE HOT TEMPERATURES AND FIRE DANGERS SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING
AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INCREASE AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD OVER REGION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
SATURDAY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DANGEROUS HEAT CONDITIONS WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGERS ARE
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
RETREATS NORTHWARD AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT DEVELOPS
OVER THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
659 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             MUSKOGEE                35.75N 95.37W
08/12/2011  E1.00 INCH       MUSKOGEE           OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            EAST SIDE...

&&

SAA

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