Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
453 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
453 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS ACTIVITY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
KANSAS...ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX...MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...AND SWEEP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S COMBINED WITH HIGH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 TO
105 DEGREES. A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS THE
COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS FORECAST TO REDEVELOP OVER THE
REGION BY MID-WEEK...WITH HOT TEMPERATURES RETURNING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
800 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

OKZ054-121330-
OSAGE OK-
800 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 830 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN OSAGE

AT 759 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF FORAKER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SHIDLER...PEARSONIA...BIGHEART...
FORAKER AND OSAGE HILLS STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH.

LAT...LON 3697 9618 3672 9617 3672 9670 3690 9670
TIME...MOT...LOC 1259Z 260DEG 24KT 3683 9656