Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
106 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...URBAN AREAS.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
HEAT WILL PERSIST TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PREVAILS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 95 TO 105
RANGE WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM AROUND 100 TO 110 DEGREES.

THE ONLY RELIEF FROM THE HEAT WILL BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THOSE WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS OVER SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING. A FEW ISOLATED STORMS MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GENERATE 70 MPH DOWNBURST WINDS.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA HAVE RESULTED IN
CURED VEGETATION...WHICH IGNITES VERY EASILY. AREAS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA ALONG AND NORTH OF I-44 WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE FOR
FIRES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES SINK TO NEAR 20 PERCENT AND SOUTHEAST WINDS REACH 10
TO 15 MPH.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE HEAT WAVE WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE LINGERS OVER THE PLAINS. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT
NEXT WEEK WILL BE AS HOT...IF NOT HOTTER...THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS.
THE ONLY RELIEF FROM THE HEAT WILL BE ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
218 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

ARZ010-019-OKZ069-291945-
ADAIR OK-CRAWFORD AR-WASHINGTON AR-
218 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 245 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN ADAIR

AT 218 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF
ODELL...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ODELL...BLACKBURN...STRICKLER...MORROW...
CLYDE...CANEHILL...NATURAL DAM...LEE CREEK AND DEVILS DEN STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3583 9414 3559 9434 3574 9459 3592 9441
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 013DEG 3KT 3578 9436