Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Topeka, KS

002 
WWUS53 KTOP 012027
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
327 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

KSC117-131-149-012036-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-110601T2030Z/
POTTAWATOMIE-NEMAHA-MARSHALL-
327 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARSHALL...
SOUTHWESTERN NEMAHA AND NORTHERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
330 PM CDT...

AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 330 PM CDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN POTTAWATOMIE...SOUTHERN 
NEMAHA...AND WESTERN JACKSON COUNTY HAS REPLACED THIS WARNING AND 
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9602 3957 9604 3955 9604 3933 9640
      3950 9663 3976 9625
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 226DEG 23KT 3968 9612

$$

LEIGHTON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1250 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER
50S. RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO A
TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH THE SURFACE HIGH BUILDING EAST AND
A LEESIDE SURFACE LOW DEEPENING. A WARM FRONT WILL SHARPEN AND
LIFT NORTH INTO NORTHEAST KANSAS WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION BRINGING
A RETURN OF DEW POINTS IN THE 60S. ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS SURGE OF LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE. HAVE GONE
WITH SLIGHT POPS THIS MORNING AND CHANCE POPS THIS AFTERNOON DUE
TO A SIGNIFICANT DRY LAYER ABOVE 850MB THAT WILL MOISTEN THROUGH
THE DAY. AN 850MB LOW LEVEL JET WILL VEER THIS EVENING WITH THE
FRONT LIFTING NORTH INTO NEBRASKA ALONG WITH THE STRONGER
ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG THE 305-315K SURFACES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AIDED BY INCREASED MIXING.

UPPER RIDGING WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE PLAINS AND THE OZARKS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TREND TO THE UPPER
80S AND LOWER 90S WITH LOWS IN THE 70S. A WEAK COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS SUPPORTS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO
FURTHER EXPAND OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
PRODUCE WINDY...MUGGY AND DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 90S AND LOWS IN THE 70S. NOTEWORTHY CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK WITH
THE POTENTIAL OF AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PLAINS.

ANGLE

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE TAF PERIOD. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH MHK AND WILL EFFECT TOP
AND FOE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY COULD
BRIEFLY DROP TO MVFR IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PRECIP SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE TAF SITES BY SUNSET WITH GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE DAY TOMORROW.

ANDERSON

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
435 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-020945-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
435 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 70.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1025 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

KSZ020-034-011600-
CLOUD-OTTAWA-
1025 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN OTTAWA AND SOUTH CENTRAL
CLOUD COUNTIES...

THROUGH 1100 AM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OTTAWA AND SOUTH CENTRAL CLOUD COUNTIES.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE DELPHOS AND GLASCO.

&&

LAT...LON 3951 9776 3922 9738 3907 9777 3922 9794
      3925 9794
TIME...MOT...LOC 1525Z 226DEG 20KT 3920 9778

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
216 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0207 PM     HEAVY RAIN       7 N GREEN               39.53N 97.00W
06/01/2011  M3.50 INCH       CLAY               KS   PUBLIC

            859 ROAD HAD WATER RUNNING ACROSS THE ROAD. APPROXIMATELY
            3 INCHES DEEP FROM THE NEARBY FIELD.

&&

JB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
235 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 N GREEN               39.50N 97.00W
06/01/2011  E1.50 INCH       CLAY               KS   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

JB