Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 1, NWS Topeka, KS

May 20, 2011Ottawa County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this river flood warning at May 20, 2011, 2:16 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Kansas. It took effect at May 20, 2011, 6:17 AM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2011, 2:16 AM CDT (07:16 UTC)
In effect from
May 20, 2011, 6:17 AM CDT
Expired
May 24, 2011, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS
Flood severity
Moderate

County Ottawa County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Salt Creek (KS) near Ada (ADAK1).

Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06876700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

799 
WGUS43 KTOP 200716
FLWTOP
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
216 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA, KS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS... 

  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-201516-
/O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0001.110520T1117Z-110523T0224Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110520T1117Z.110521T1200Z.110522T1424Z.NR/
216 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA, KS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 21.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 19.8 FEET...DECK OF 50TH ROAD BRIDGE OVER SALT CREEK 
  FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS ARE OVER ONE HALF MILE WIDE 
  OVER CULTIVATED FARM LAND 3 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE TOWN OF 
  ADA.

$$
12 follow-up statements
486 
WGUS83 KTOP 201438
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
938 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-202238-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T1322Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110520T1602Z.110522T0000Z.110523T0122Z.NO/
938 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS ARE OVER ONE HALF MILE WIDE 
  OVER CULTIVATED FARM LAND 3 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE TOWN OF 
  ADA.

$$
435 
WGUS83 KTOP 202017
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
317 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-210417-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T1555Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110521T0000Z.110522T0600Z.110523T0355Z.NO/
317 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  2:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS ARE OVER ONE HALF MILE WIDE 
  OVER CULTIVATED FARM LAND 3 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE TOWN OF 
  ADA.

$$

MRC
291 
WGUS83 KTOP 210259
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
959 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-211059-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T1435Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110521T0415Z.110522T0600Z.110523T0235Z.NO/
959 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS ARE OVER ONE HALF MILE WIDE 
  OVER CULTIVATED FARM LAND 3 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE TOWN OF 
  ADA.

$$
735 
WGUS83 KTOP 211019
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...

  POTTAWATOMIE CREEK NEAR SCIPIO 1SE AFFECTING ANDERSON AND FRANKLIN
  COUNTIES
  SALINE RIVER AT TESCOTT AFFECTING OTTAWA AND SALINE COUNTIES
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
  LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  SOLOMON RIVER NEAR NILES AFFECTING DICKINSON...OTTAWA AND SALINE
  COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

KSC143-211819-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T1427Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110521T1117Z.110522T0600Z.110523T0227Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  4:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.8 FEET...DECK OF 50TH ROAD BRIDGE OVER SALT CREEK
  FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$

KSC117-211818-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0005.110521T1800Z-110524T0349Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.110521T1800Z.110522T1200Z.110523T1549Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 30.9 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS FROM
  MARYSVILLE TO TUTTLE CREEK LAKE.

$$

KSC117-211818-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0006.110521T1438Z-110523T0409Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.110521T1438Z.110522T0000Z.110522T1009Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.6 FEET...FARMERS FIELD SOUTH OF THE RIVER AND EAST OF
  HIGHWAY 148 FLOODS.

$$

KSC003-059-211818-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110522T0345Z/
/SIPK1.1.ER.110521T0528Z.110521T1200Z.110521T1545Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POTTAWATOMIE CREEK NEAR SCIPIO 1SE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  4:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET THIS
  MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.6 FEET...FARMERS FIELD TO THE NORTH OF THE CREEK NEAR
  OHIO ROAD FLOODS.

$$

KSC027-211818-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110524T0409Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.110521T0122Z.110521T1800Z.110523T1609Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS BETWEEN 16TH...17TH AND 18TH
  ROADS AND BETWEEN LIMESTONE AND OSAGE ROADS.

$$

KSC143-169-211818-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110523T1054Z/
/TSCK1.1.ER.110521T1531Z.110522T1200Z.110522T2254Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALINE RIVER AT TESCOTT.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 26.2 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER FLOOD.

$$

KSC041-143-169-211818-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0002.110521T2239Z-110523T2015Z/
/NLSK1.1.ER.110521T2239Z.110522T0600Z.110523T0815Z.NO/
519 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOLOMON RIVER NEAR NILES.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  4:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIVER.

$$
383 
WGUS83 KTOP 211217
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  POTTAWATOMIE CREEK NEAR SCIPIO 1SE AFFECTING ANDERSON AND FRANKLIN 
  COUNTIES 
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
  SOLOMON RIVER NEAR NILES AFFECTING DICKINSON...OTTAWA AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-212017-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T1427Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110521T1254Z.110522T0600Z.110523T0227Z.NO/
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.8 FEET...DECK OF 50TH ROAD BRIDGE OVER SALT CREEK 
  FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$

KSC117-212017-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0005.110521T1800Z-110524T0349Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.110521T1800Z.110522T1200Z.110523T1549Z.NO/
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 30.9 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS FROM 
  MARYSVILLE TO TUTTLE CREEK LAKE.

$$

KSC117-212017-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0006.110521T1538Z-110523T0409Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.110521T1538Z.110522T0000Z.110522T1009Z.NO/
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FARM FIELD NORTH OF THE RIVER ON THE WEST 
  SIDE OF HIGHWAY 148 FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS FROM 
  15TH ROAD AND ZENITH ROAD IN WASHINGTON COUNTY TO WATERVILLE IN 
  MARSHALL COUNTY.

$$

KSC003-059-212017-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110522T0352Z/
/SIPK1.1.ER.110521T0528Z.110521T1145Z.110521T1552Z.NO/
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POTTAWATOMIE CREEK NEAR SCIPIO 1SE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  6:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.6 FEET...FARMERS FIELD TO THE NORTH OF THE CREEK NEAR
  OHIO ROAD FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOW OUT OF ITS BANKS 
  NEAR OHIO ROAD. 

$$

KSC027-212016-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110523T1536Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.110521T0122Z.110521T1800Z.110523T0336Z.NO/
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS BETWEEN 16TH...17TH AND 18TH
  ROADS AND BETWEEN LIMESTONE AND OSAGE ROADS.

$$

KSC041-143-169-212016-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0002.110521T2239Z-110523T2015Z/
/NLSK1.1.ER.110521T2239Z.110522T0600Z.110523T0815Z.NO/
717 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOLOMON RIVER NEAR NILES.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIVER.

$$
771 
WGUS83 KTOP 211651
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1151 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-220051-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T2003Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110521T1800Z.110522T1200Z.110523T0803Z.NO/
1151 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.8 FEET...DECK OF 50TH ROAD BRIDGE OVER SALT CREEK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$
015 
WGUS83 KTOP 221518
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1018 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN 
KANSAS...
 
  SOLOMON RIVER NEAR NILES AFFECTING DICKINSON...OTTAWA AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  SALINE RIVER AT TESCOTT AFFECTING OTTAWA AND SALINE COUNTIES 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-222318-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110523T2116Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.110522T1703Z.110523T0000Z.110523T0916Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.8 FEET...DECK OF 50TH ROAD BRIDGE OVER SALT CREEK 
  FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.
$$

KSC027-222318-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110523T0600Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.110521T0122Z.110521T1500Z.110522T1800Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS BETWEEN 16TH...17TH AND 18TH
  ROADS AND BETWEEN LIMESTONE AND OSAGE ROADS.

$$

KSC143-169-222318-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110524T0224Z/
/TSCK1.1.ER.110523T0000Z.110523T0600Z.110523T1424Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALINE RIVER AT TESCOTT.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER FLOOD.

$$

KSC041-143-169-221548-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110523T0700Z/
/NLSK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOLOMON RIVER NEAR NILES.
* AT  9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 22.1 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIVER.

$$
764 
WGUS83 KTOP 230010
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
710 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-230810-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110524T0000Z/
/ADAK1.1.ER.110523T1200Z.110523T1200Z.110523T1200Z.NO/
710 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY
  MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$
119 
WGUS83 KTOP 230821
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
321 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-231621-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110524T0925Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.110521T1610Z.110522T1000Z.110523T2125Z.NO/
321 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  2:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS FROM 
  MARYSVILLE TO TUTTLE CREEK LAKE.

$$

KSC143-231621-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110524T0000Z/
/ADAK1.1.ER.110523T1200Z.110523T1200Z.110523T1200Z.NO/
321 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  2:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$
747 
WGUS83 KTOP 231428
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
928 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-232228-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110524T1200Z/
/ADAK1.1.ER.110524T0000Z.110524T0000Z.110524T0000Z.NO/
928 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$
949 
WGUS83 KTOP 240238
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
938 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-241038-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110525T0000Z/
/ADAK1.1.ER.110523T2200Z.110524T0115Z.110524T1200Z.NO/
938 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL GRADUALLY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$
660 
WGUS83 KTOP 241124
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
624 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC143-241924-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110525T0000Z/
/ADAK1.1.ER.110523T2200Z.110524T0945Z.110524T1200Z.NO/
624 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 5:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING 
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING OCCURRS ALONG SALT
  CREEK.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 19, 11:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 11:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1149 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

AS OF MID AFTERNOON THURSDAY...A WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM NEAR
GREAT BEND THROUGH PARSONS KANSAS AND WAS STEADILY LIFTING
NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO PRESSURE FALLS AND GRADUALLY CLEARING
SKIES IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF THE FRONT. A RATHER SHARP DRY LINE WAS
EVIDENT ON SATELLITE FROM NEAR HAYS KANSAS TO GAGE OKLAHOMA.
THUNDERSTORMS HAD ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER OKLAHOMA ALONG THE DRY
LINE IN RESPONSE TO AN ADVANCING SHORT WAVE TROUGH WITH THE
EXPECTATION THAT THE TROUGH WOULD INDUCE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
INTO THE WARM SECTOR OVER CENTRAL KANSAS PRIOR TO 21Z. THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM WAS RATHER UNSTABLE WITH LITTLE TO NO CAP AND
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS WOULD BE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE PROFILES WERE ALSO
SUPPORTIVE OF A TORNADO THREAT IN THE WARM SECTOR AND NEAR/JUST
NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. NEAR TERM HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST
AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT WELL AHEAD OF THE DRY
LINE...AND WHILE THIS APPEARS POSSIBLE...THE AREA WITH THE
GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN WEST OF A BELLEVILLE TO COUNCIL
GROVE LINE THROUGH THE EVENING FOR THOSE STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG
THE DRY LINE AND MOVING NORTHEAST TO INTERACT WITH THE SHALLOW
WARM FRONT.

THE INITIAL WAVE OF CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP INTO ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES OVERNIGHT AND
SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. MEANWHILE...ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS AGAIN
OVERNIGHT...WHICH WOULD ALSO EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE LOCAL FORECAST
AREA. THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO QUICKLY WANE AFTER MID EVENING
BUT HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
WITH OVERNIGHT CONVECTION. VERY HEAVY RAIN AND SOME FLOODING ISSUES
APPEAR TO BE A THREAT OVERNIGHT AS WELL GIVEN HIGH ENVIRONMENTAL
MOISTURE CONTENT AND SOME TRAINING POTENTIAL...PARTICULARLY IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AFTER MORNING CONVECTION...EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE WARM FRONT WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA AND
THE DRY LINE IS FORECAST TO SURGE A BIT INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT WITH 35 TO 40 KTS OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT ONCE AGAIN FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR POSSIBLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...ONCE AGAIN WITH AN ENHANCED FLOODING
POTENTIAL GIVEN MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.

BARJENBRUCH

FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS INDICATE NUMEROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT
WILL KEEP THE WEATHER ACTIVE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. ON
SATURDAY MODELS INDICATE THAT THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE CWA. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ALONG WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION AND AMPLE INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP CHANCES FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY. MODELS AGREE THAT THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CWA. A
BRIEF LULL IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY MORNING
JUST BEFORE THE NEXT SHORTWAVE ARRIVES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

EARLY NEXT WEEK THE GFS AND EC SHOW A NUMBER OF SHORTWAVES THAT MOVE
THROUGH BUT DIFFER SLIGHTLY ON THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. BOTH AGREE A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND LEAD TO
LEE CYCLOGENESIS ON MONDAY AND BRING A ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA BUT DIFFER ON THE LOCATION OF THE LOW. THE GFS WANTS TO BRING A
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY AS A MORE IMPRESSIVE SHORTWAVE
PASSES TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY. THE EC WANTS TO PUSH
THE SYSTEM THROUGH BUT BRINGS RETURN FLOW AND WARM AIR ADVECTION
BACK QUICKLY TO THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THE EC ALSO BRINGS AN
IMPRESSIVE SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THAT WOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE CWA. HAVE SIDED MORE WITH
THE EC IN THE FORECAST DUE TO ACTIVE PATTERN THAT THE CWA IS IN.

ANDERSON

&&

.AVIATION...

WARM FRONT REMAINS SOUTH OF TAF SITES OVERNIGHT SO EXPECT
REDEVELOPMENT OF MVFR AND IFR CIGS ALONG WITH SCT TSRA. COULD BE
A BREAK IN THE WEATHER FRI MORNING BUT CONTINUED MVFR EXPECTED.
ANOTHER CHANCE OF TSRA LATE FRI AFTN AND EVENING EXPECTED.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 9:40 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
940 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-202015-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
940 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
TONIGHT.  A FEW OF THESE COULD BE SEVERE WITH QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND
HEAVY RAIN.

MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS ONCE AGAIN. WHILE DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREATS...THERE WILL BE A LOW END POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES NEAR
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND AND
NEXT WEEK. FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH 9 PM NEAR AND WEST OF A
LINE FROM NEAR BELLEVILLE...TO CLAY CENTER TO COUNCIL GROVE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 19, 9:11 PM CDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
911 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             4 WSW CLYDE             39.57N 97.47W
05/19/2011  E1.75 INCH       CLOUD              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

ANDERSON
Local storm report, May 19, 9:15 PM CDT, 5 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
915 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 PM     HAIL             CLYDE                   39.59N 97.40W
05/19/2011  E1.00 INCH       CLOUD              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MRC
Special weather statement, May 19, 10:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1000 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

KSZ009-200315-
WASHINGTON-
1000 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON
COUNTY...

THROUGH 1015 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTH AT 35 MPH ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
HOLLENBURG.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 9697 3997 9698 3981 9707 3986 9729
      4001 9724
TIME...MOT...LOC 0300Z 197DEG 30KT 3992 9714
Special weather statement, May 20, 12:06 AM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1206 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

KSZ020-200545-
CLOUD-
1206 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CLOUD COUNTY...

THROUGH 1245 AM CDT...A SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CLOUD COUNTY. NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL...STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
JAMESTOWN AND CONCORDIA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE
A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3966 9794 3965 9756 3959 9749 3930 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 227DEG 30KT 3944 9792
Special weather statement, May 20, 12:47 AM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1247 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

KSZ020-034-200630-
CLOUD-OTTAWA-
1247 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN OTTAWA AND WESTERN CLOUD
COUNTIES...

THROUGH 130 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OTTAWA AND WESTERN
CLOUD COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND STRONG
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
ADA...MINNEAPOLIS...GLASCO AND DELPHOS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 3949 9794 3961 9779 3949 9754 3918 9749
      3900 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0547Z 229DEG 41KT 3934 9810 3906 9793
Special weather statement, May 20, 1:51 AM CDT, 25 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
151 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

KSZ008-009-020-200730-
CLOUD-REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-
151 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN REPUBLIC...NORTHEASTERN
CLOUD AND WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

THROUGH 230 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN REPUBLIC...
NORTHEASTERN CLOUD AND WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED
INCLUDE AGENDA...CUBA...NARKA...HADDAM...MAHASKA...MORROWVILLE AND
WASHINGTON.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 9745 4001 9712 3983 9700 3956 9731
      3956 9737 3951 9737 3948 9740 3988 9763
      4001 9752
TIME...MOT...LOC 0651Z 215DEG 36KT 3986 9754 3975 9746
          3962 9737

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPRepublic25 min
May 19, 7:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPCloud32 min
May 19, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa16 min
May 19, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa36 min
May 19, 7:44 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPCloud3 hr
May 19, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa50 min
May 19, 8:48 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPClay, Cloud27 min
May 19, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Republic, Washington51 min
May 19, 10:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPWashington15 min
May 20, 12:06 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPCloud39 min
May 20, 12:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPCloud, Ottawa43 min
May 20, 12:53 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa7 hr
May 20, 1:51 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPWashington39 min
May 20, 7:45 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa5 hr
May 20, 7:51 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPRepublic, Washington114 min
May 20, 9:10 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPAnderson3 hr
May 20, 9:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPDickinson, Ottawa, Saline65 hr
May 20, 9:31 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPOttawa, Saline68 hr
May 20, 9:43 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPClay58 hr
May 20, 9:48 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTOPRepublic, Washington3 hr
May 20, 12:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPCloud, Ottawa, Republic, Washington3 hr
May 20, 2:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPMarshall68 hr
May 20, 6:43 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTOPRepublic2 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.