Special Marine Warning 39, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
957 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

.UPDATE...ACTIVE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
BEGINNING TO WIND DOWN. COMBINATION OF VERY HOT SFC TEMPERATURES
AND COOL...DRY MID-LEVEL AIR YIELDED QUITE A BIT OF DOWNDRAFT CAPE
THIS AFTERNOON AND PLENTY OF GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR OUTFLOWS.

CONVECTION IS NOW DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AND THIS
TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE ACTIVITY CEASES
OVERNIGHT. HAVE ADJUSTED THE POPS FOR CURRENT AND EXPECTED TRENDS
AND ADDED FOG OVERNIGHT GIVEN THE COVERAGE OF PRECIP.

&&

.AVIATION...SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA
THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING WITHIN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS LEAVING VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT. SOME PATCHY TEMPO FOG IS POSSIBLE AROUND KVLD LATE TONIGHT
GIVEN THAT THEY SAW SOME RAIN THIS EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL SEAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE   72  93  70  94  66 /  30  30  20  20  10
PANAMA CITY   75  90  73  92  70 /  40  30  20  20  20
DOTHAN        73  95  70  95  67 /  40  30  20  20  20
ALBANY        71  94  66  94  66 /  20  20  10  20  10
VALDOSTA      70  94  65  93  64 /  30  20  10  20  10
CROSS CITY    70  94  65  93  63 /  30  20  10  20  10
APALACHICOLA  74  89  72  88  71 /  30  30  20  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

CAMP/VAN DYKE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
948 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-071000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
948 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011 /848 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH
MIDNIGHT BEFORE ENDING. THE STRONGER CELLS MAY GENERATE WIND GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND STORM WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TO THE
PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR WORKING INTO
EASTERN AREAS. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY WITH
LESSER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
SMALL HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
BE WELL BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS TROPICAL MOISTURE
INCREASES FROM THE SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

WOOL/CAMP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
844 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

FLZ012-112-070115-
INLAND BAY FL-COASTAL BAY FL-
744 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR BAY COUNTY...

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

AT 740 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR PANAMA CITY...OR NEAR DIREGO PARK...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3022 8574 3020 8573 3023 8569 3022 8572
      3023 8573 3029 8568 3019 8551 3011 8556
      3010 8559 3009 8557 3005 8560 3009 8570
      3016 8580
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 033DEG 13KT 3016 8565

42-DVD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
850 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

FLZ018-070130-
INLAND JEFFERSON FL-
850 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON
COUNTY...

* UNTIL 930 PM EDT

AT 845 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES EAST OF TALLAHASSEE...OR NEAR WAUKEENAH...
MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3041 8387 3021 8394 3021 8408 3043 8408
      3046 8404 3050 8404 3051 8404 3046 8386
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 021DEG 12KT 3041 8399

42-DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST SOUTHWEST GA REGIONAL A 31.53N 84.19W
06/06/2011  M49.00 MPH       DOUGHERTY          GA   ASOS

            KABY AIRPORT. WIND FROM DIRECTION OF 100 DEGREES. WIND
            WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM DISTANT
            THUNDERSTORMS. NO RAIN IN THE COUNTY AT THE TIME.

&&

DVD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
913 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

ALZ067-069-070200-
HOUSTON AL-HENRY AL-
813 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR HENRY AND HOUSTON
COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

AT 812 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF DOTHAN...OR NEAR GRANDBERRY
CROSSROADS...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3117 8534 3138 8540 3150 8515 3134 8509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 060DEG 8KT 3137 8519

25-CAMP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
827 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

ALZ067-GAZ120>123-142-070215-
RANDOLPH GA-CALHOUN GA-EARLY GA-HENRY AL-QUITMAN GA-CLAY GA-
927 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR CALHOUN...CLAY...
EARLY...HENRY...QUITMAN AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT/915 PM CDT/

AT 924 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED AN AREA OF
STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING TROUTMAN TO SPRINGVALE TO COLEMAN TO BLUFFTON TO EARLY CO
A/P...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
MINOR DAMAGE.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3198 8496 3196 8496 3193 8491 3192 8468
      3184 8473 3166 8477 3131 8472 3139 8516
      3158 8522 3171 8522 3174 8521 3179 8514
      3190 8514 3194 8508 3196 8509 3199 8506
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 099DEG 23KT 3200 8474 3185 8484
          3168 8488 3152 8486 3141 8484

25-CAMP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
942 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

FLZ019-028-070230-
MADISON FL-INLAND TAYLOR FL-
942 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN MADISON
AND TAYLOR COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 1030 PM EDT

AT 939 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTH OF PERRY...OR NEAR SHADY GROVE...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND IS ALSO
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3000 8359 3019 8395 3020 8392 3025 8392
      3028 8384 3032 8381 3032 8379 3035 8380
      3045 8367 3034 8348
TIME...MOT...LOC 0142Z 036DEG 12KT 3032 8363

42-DVD