Dense Smoke Advisory 1, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
957 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

.UPDATE...ACTIVE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
BEGINNING TO WIND DOWN. COMBINATION OF VERY HOT SFC TEMPERATURES
AND COOL...DRY MID-LEVEL AIR YIELDED QUITE A BIT OF DOWNDRAFT CAPE
THIS AFTERNOON AND PLENTY OF GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR OUTFLOWS.

CONVECTION IS NOW DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AND THIS
TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE ACTIVITY CEASES
OVERNIGHT. HAVE ADJUSTED THE POPS FOR CURRENT AND EXPECTED TRENDS
AND ADDED FOG OVERNIGHT GIVEN THE COVERAGE OF PRECIP.

&&

.AVIATION...SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA
THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING WITHIN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS LEAVING VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT. SOME PATCHY TEMPO FOG IS POSSIBLE AROUND KVLD LATE TONIGHT
GIVEN THAT THEY SAW SOME RAIN THIS EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL SEAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE   72  93  70  94  66 /  30  30  20  20  10
PANAMA CITY   75  90  73  92  70 /  40  30  20  20  20
DOTHAN        73  95  70  95  67 /  40  30  20  20  20
ALBANY        71  94  66  94  66 /  20  20  10  20  10
VALDOSTA      70  94  65  93  64 /  30  20  10  20  10
CROSS CITY    70  94  65  93  63 /  30  20  10  20  10
APALACHICOLA  74  89  72  88  71 /  30  30  20  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

CAMP/VAN DYKE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
948 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-071000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
948 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2011 /848 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH
MIDNIGHT BEFORE ENDING. THE STRONGER CELLS MAY GENERATE WIND GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND STORM WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TO THE
PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR WORKING INTO
EASTERN AREAS. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY WITH
LESSER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
SMALL HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
BE WELL BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS TROPICAL MOISTURE
INCREASES FROM THE SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

WOOL/CAMP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
921 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

FLZ011-070315-
JACKSON FL-
921 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR JACKSON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

AT 918 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARIANNA...OR NEAR HAYNES...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND IS ALSO
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3084 8533 3097 8500 3096 8498 3094 8498
      3089 8494 3085 8494 3084 8492 3083 8494
      3079 8492 3063 8518
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 059DEG 11KT 3086 8500

42-DVD

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