Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 640

July 13, 20114 counties in Colorado; 19 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 13, 2011, 3:41 PM MDT for 4 counties in Colorado; 19 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2011, 3:41 PM MDT (21:41 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2011, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Logan County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Adams County, NE, Clay County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 3:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert38 min
Jul 13, 3:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSheridan, Thomas50 min
Jul 13, 4:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSheridan58 min
Jul 13, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert16 min
Jul 13, 4:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas36 min
Jul 13, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Sheridan28 min
Jul 13, 5:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas24 min
Jul 13, 5:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham, Sheridan51 min
Jul 13, 5:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas36 min
Jul 13, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas34 min
Jul 13, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham61 min
Jul 13, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDNorton45 min
Jul 13, 6:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham35 min
Jul 13, 6:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDKearney35 min
Jul 13, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips48 min
Jul 13, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDRooks32 min
Jul 13, 6:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDKearney37 min
Jul 13, 6:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham18 min
Jul 13, 6:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDNorton14 min
Jul 13, 7:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Kearney, Webster37 min
Jul 13, 7:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne, Rooks43 min
Jul 13, 7:50 PM MDTTornado WarningGIDFranklin, Kearney25 min
Jul 13, 8:08 PM MDTTornado WarningGIDFranklin22 min
Jul 13, 8:30 PM MDTTornado WarningGIDFranklin, Webster30 min
Jul 13, 9:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSmith41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 217 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
217 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
616 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

600 
WWUS20 KWNS 132140
SEL0
SPC WW 132140
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-140400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 640
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM MDT WED JUL 13 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN COLORADO
       NORTHWEST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIMON
COLORADO TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEARNEY NEBRASKA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 638...WW 639...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM
ALONG A BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM EAST-CENTRAL CO INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL
NEB.  BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...COUPLED WITH NEAR 70F DEWPOINTS AND HIGH CAPE VALUES WILL
POSE A RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES THROUGH THE EVENING.
OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN
THREATS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 1:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMesa, Moffat, Rio Blanco88 min
Jul 13, 2:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Crowley, Denver and 9 more2 hr
Jul 13, 5:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Clear Creek, Denver and 7 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.