Severe Thunderstorm Warning 243, NWS Hastings, NE

344 
WWUS53 KGID 140112 RRA
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
812 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

NEC099-140130-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0243.000000T0000Z-110714T0130Z/
KEARNEY NE-
812 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KEARNEY COUNTY
UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

AT 810 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KEARNEY TO
UPLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NORMAN AND HEARTWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 4064 9918 4066 9879 4036 9880 4035 9905
      4035 9918
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 237DEG 14KT 4063 9902 4037 9884
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

267 
WWUS53 KGID 140127
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
827 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

NEC099-140138-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0243.000000T0000Z-110714T0130Z/
KEARNEY NE-
827 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR KEARNEY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
830 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT. 

LAT...LON 4064 9918 4066 9879 4036 9880 4035 9905
      4035 9918
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 237DEG 14KT 4066 9895 4040 9878

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
641 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

.AVIATION...00Z TAF. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE VICINITY OF
THE KGRI TERMINAL AREA AND JUST TO THE NORTH. THEY HAVE NOT BEEN
MOVING VERY QUICKLY AND THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPING AROUND.
WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS FOR A WHILE THIS EVENING BUT THEY SHOULD
MOVE OFF EVENTUALLY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH TO SEE IF THE STORMS
FURTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST WILL MAKE IT TO THE KGRI TERMINAL AREA.
RIGHT NOW THE EXPECTATION THAT THEY SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE AREA.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT FOG LATE TONIGHT AND THE LOW
STRATUS RETURNS TO THE AREA. DURING THE MORNING THE STRATUS WILL
LIFT AND THE VISIBILITY WILL IMPROVE. BY AFTERNOON SHOULD BE BACK
TO VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PRIMARY CONCERNS LIE
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND WARMING TEMPERATURES.

UPPER LEVEL DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW WEAK RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...LEAVING OUR REGION WITH ZONAL/SLIGHTLY SWRLY FLOW.  ANOTHER
WEAK DISTURBANCE MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE PLAINS ALONG WITH
INCREASED LOW/MID LEVEL WA/THETAE ADVECTION HAS HELPED TO KEEP SKIES
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AROUND MOST OF THE DAY.  WEAK OVERALL FORCING...SHEAR
AND A BIT OF A REMAINING CAP HAVE KEPT MOST ACTIVITY IN CHECK SO
FAR.  HASNT BEEN A LOT OF CHANGE WITH THE SFC PATTERN THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WRN GREAT LAKES...LOW
PRESSURE OVER FAR SW KS...AND A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY SITUATED NEAR
THE NEB/KS STATE LINE.  CLOUDS AND EASTERLY WINDS HAVE AGAIN KEPT
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES DOWN /ESP IN THE NORTH/...CURRENTLY RANGING
FROM THE LOWER 70S NEAR ODX TO THE LOWER 90S ACROSS OUR NC KS
COUNTIES.

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT WILL LIE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION.  AM EXPECTING THE
ACTIVITY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA TO CONTINUE SHIFTING
OFF TO THE E/NE...WITH FOCUS THEN TURNING TO THE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OFF TOWARD THE HIGH PLAINS...RESULTING FROM UPSLOPE FLOW
AND BETTER LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.  UNFORTUNATELY CONFIDENCE EVEN
IN THE NEXT 12 HRS IS NOT OVERLY HIGH...AS MODELS VARY ON THE
OVERALL COVERAGE AND EASTWARD PROGRESS OF ACTIVITY. NO MAJOR CHANGES
WERE MADE...AND KEPT HIGHER POPS CONFINED TO THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA THROUGH 06Z...BEFORE SHIFTING THEM TO THE CENTRAL/ERN PORTIONS
POST 06Z.  INSTABILITY NOT REALLY A CONCERN...BUT DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS LESS THAN STELLAR...SO WHILE NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER...AN ISOLATED STRONG/SVR THUNDERSTORM CANT BE RULED OUT.

INTO THURSDAY...TRIMMED BACK BUT DID KEEP SOME LINGERING LOW POPS
DURING THE MORNING HOURS FROM TONIGHTS ACTIVITY...BUT DID KEEP THE
AFTERNOON HOURS DRY WITH THE BETTER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOKING TO
STAY OFF TO THE WEST OF THE CWA.  THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS STARTING
TO AMPLIFY A BIT MORE...WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FURTHER NORTH NEAR
THE MO RIVER...BUT ISNT ENOUGH TO COMPLETELY KEEP OUT ANY WEAK
DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW. DECIDED TO INSERT A SMALL POP ACROSS THE
WRN SECTIONS OF THE CWA...WHICH COULD BE IMPACTED BY ANY ACTIVITY
THAT CAN DRIFT FAR ENOUGH EAST FROM THE HIGH PLAINS.  CONFIDENCE IS
THIS ACTUALLY OCCURRING IS PRETTY LOW...BUT NOT ZERO...WARMING MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE A PLAYER IN KEEPING THINGS AT BAY.
ALONG WITH THE RIDGE STARTING TO BUILD A BIT FURTHER NORTH IS THE
MAIN SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PUSH WELL NORTH OF
THE CWA.  WARMER AIR STARTS TO SHIFT IN...AND A BUMP IN AFTERNOON
HIGHS IS EXPECTED...REACHING FROM NEAR 90S IN THE NEAST TO THE UPPER
90S IN THE SOUTHWEST. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE POSSIBILITY OF
NEEDING A HEAT ADV ACROSS THE SOUTH...BUT CURRENT FORECAST IS ARND
100-103...WILL LET MID SHIFT CREW GET ANOTHER LOOK AT THE DATA TO
SEE IF ANY T/DP ADJUSTMENTS ARE NEEDED.

ANY ACTIVITY THURSDAY EVENING IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY
MIDNIGHT...WITH THE REST OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND INTO THE
DAYTIME HOURS ON FRIDAY...KEPT DRY.  THE MAIN STORY WITH FRIDAY IS
THE CONTINUED AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN...WITH THE
CENTER OF THE HIGH AND RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING FURTHER NORTH. LIKE
THURSDAY EVENING...HAVE SMALL POPS GOING FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS THE
FAR WRN CWA...THE MAIN ACTIVITY WILL AGAIN BE ALONG THE HIGH
PLAINS...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE A STRAY THUNDERSTORM COULD MAKE ITS WAY
FAR ENOUGH EAST TO AFFECT OUR CWA. ANOTHER UPWARD TICK IN
TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED AS THAT RIDGE BUILDS...AND FORECAST CALLS
FROM MID 90S NORTH TO NEAR 100 SOUTH FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS.  HEAT
INDEX VALUES ALSO CONTINUE TO RISE...CURRENTLY FORECAST AROUND 105
FOR ROUGHLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA...BUT WILL IT BEING 4TH
PERIOD WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRIMARY FOCUS TURNS TO
THE HOT TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CWA.

MODELS THROUGH THE MID/LATE PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN...AS HIGH
PRESSURE/RIDGING ARE THE DOMINANT FORCE IN THE WEATHER ACROSS THE
REGION.  KEPT ANY PRECIPITATION MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR THE
ENTIRE CWA...WITH ANY POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DISTURBANCES
REMAINING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND NORTH OF THE CWA.  THERE
IS GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING VERY LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT/VARIATION
WITH THE CENTER OF THE HIGH/RIDGE AXIS...STARTING AT 12Z THE HIGH
IS CENTERED MAINLY OVER KS...AND BY THE END OF THE DAYTIME HOURS
ON TUESDAY...HAS ACTUALLY STRENGTHENED SOME AND SHIFTED A TOUCH
NORTH...CENTERED ROUGHLY OVER THE IA/NE/KS/MO BORDER AREA. NOT
MUCH OF A CHANGE OVER THE PERIOD OF SEVERAL DAYS. AS WE GET TOWARD
WEDNESDAY...THERE DOES LOOK TO BE A SLIGHT EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE
RIDGE /CLOSER TO THE MISS RIVER/ AS A MORE NOTABLE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM/TROUGH WORKS ONTO THE WEST COAST.

THE STORY IS THE SAME LOOKING AT THE SFC PATTERN...LITTLE CHANGE
WITH THE CWA REMAINING BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE/HIGH PLAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE AFFECTS THE MIDWEST AND EAST
COAST...LEAVING THE CWA WITH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES GO...FELT INHERITED FORECAST HAD A GOOD
HANDLE ON THINGS SO REALLY DIDNT NEED TO MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.  MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT SHOWING 850MB TEMPS
REACHING INTO THE LOWER 30C RANGE FOR A FEW DAYS...BUT DO VARY SOME
ON THE OVERALL EXTENT.  EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
TIMEFRAME TO REACH WELL INTO THE 90S...WITH LOWER 100S POSSIBLE FOR
LOCATIONS ROUGHLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 6 IN SC NEB. UNFORTUNATELY THERE
ISNT MUCH RELIEF FROM THE MUGGY DEWPOINT VALUES...SO HEAT INDICIES
OF 105 TO 110 LOOKING MORE LIKELY FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF THE CWA.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
612 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
141200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
612 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN...WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND GUSTS OF 60
MPH BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE BETTER CHANCES
WILL BE MAINLY DURING THE MORNING AND EVENING HOURS ON
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105 DEGREES ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
649 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

NEZ041-047-048-062-140015-
HALL NE-HOWARD NE-MERRICK NE-NANCE NE-
649 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NANCE...WESTERN
MERRICK...SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD AND NORTHEASTERN HALL COUNTIES UNTIL
715 PM CDT...

AT 646 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ST. LIBORY...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF GRAND
ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  PALMER...
  ARCHER...
  CENTRAL CITY...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4132 9812 4111 9793 4097 9832 4115 9843
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 239DEG 25KT 4113 9827

JCB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
718 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

NEZ074-140045-
KEARNEY NE-
718 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KEARNEY COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM
CDT...

AT 715 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WILCOX...OR 14 MILES EAST OF HOLDREGE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  AXTELL...
  MINDEN...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS
LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4063 9917 4054 9875 4036 9897 4035 9918
      4053 9918
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 222DEG 16KT 4043 9911

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
719 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             5 NW CHAPMAN            41.07N 98.23W
07/13/2011  E1.00 INCH       MERRICK            NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

NWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
726 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

NEZ048-049-063-140100-
HAMILTON NE-MERRICK NE-POLK NE-
726 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN POLK...CENTRAL
MERRICK AND NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CENTRAL CITY...OR 18 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GRAND ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  CENTRAL CITY...
  MARQUETTE...
  HORDVILLE...
  POLK...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4105 9779 4104 9783 4091 9782 4087 9783
      4098 9821 4117 9818 4121 9775
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 277DEG 15KT 4106 9807

JCB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
729 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

KSZ017-140115-
ROOKS KS-
729 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN ROOKS COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM
CDT...

AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTH OF HILL CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  DAMAR...
  PALCO...
  WEBSTER STATE PARK...
  ZURICH...
  PLAINVILLE...
  STOCKTON...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS
LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3913 9960 3950 9961 3953 9926 3913 9927
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 273DEG 21KT 3924 9976

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
745 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     HAIL             2 S AXTELL              40.45N 99.13W
07/13/2011  E1.50 INCH       KEARNEY            NE   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

JCB