Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 54
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 22, 2011, 8:35 PM CDT for 13 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 22, 2011, 8:35 PM CDT (01:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2011, 1:41 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 29 counties
Appanoose County, IA, Davis County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Sullivan County, MO
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 8:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Decatur, Lucas, Wayne | 34 min |
| Mar 22, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion, Warren | 33 min |
| Mar 22, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Mahaska, Marion, Poweshiek | 41 min |
| Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Decatur, Wayne | 17 min |
| Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Harrison, Mercer | 47 min |
| Mar 22, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion | 23 min |
| Mar 22, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Lucas, Monroe, Wapello, Wayne | 48 min |
| Mar 22, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, DeKalb | 33 min |
| Mar 22, 9:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Poweshiek | 30 min |
| Mar 22, 9:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Mercer, Putnam | 34 min |
| Mar 22, 9:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Monroe, Wapello | 43 min |
| Mar 22, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Sullivan | 36 min |
| Mar 22, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Iowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Linn, Washington | 63 min |
| Mar 22, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Wapello | 50 min |
| Mar 22, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Sullivan | 37 min |
| Mar 22, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Schuyler | 20 min |
| Mar 22, 11:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Sullivan | 29 min |
| Mar 22, 11:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines, Henry, Lee | 66 min |
| Mar 23, 1:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Howard, Macon, Randolph | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 8 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 418 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 787 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 972 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
950
WWUS20 KWNS 230135
SEL4
SPC WW 230135
IAZ000-MOZ000-230700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 54
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
835 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHERN IOWA
LARGE PART OF NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF OTTUMWA
IOWA TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 53. WATCH NUMBER 53 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 835
PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS WATCH
AREA THRU THE EVENING. WITH VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...MARGINAL
BUT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IS AVAILABLE TO MAINTAIN THE THREAT OF
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES WITHIN THE LINE. IN ADDITION DAMAGING
WINDS ARE LIKELY...PARTICULARLY IN BOWING SEGMENTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 8:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appanoose, Davis, Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Keokuk and 7 more | 60 min |
| Mar 22, 11:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Des Moines, Lee | 84 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.