Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 54

March 22, 201113 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 22, 2011, 8:35 PM CDT for 13 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2011, 8:35 PM CDT (01:35 UTC)
Expired
Mar 23, 2011, 1:41 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 29 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Davis County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 8:41 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXDecatur, Lucas, Wayne34 min
Mar 22, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion, Warren33 min
Mar 22, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Mahaska, Marion, Poweshiek41 min
Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDecatur, Wayne17 min
Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Harrison, Mercer47 min
Mar 22, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion23 min
Mar 22, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Lucas, Monroe, Wapello, Wayne48 min
Mar 22, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, DeKalb33 min
Mar 22, 9:15 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMahaska, Poweshiek30 min
Mar 22, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMercer, Putnam34 min
Mar 22, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Monroe, Wapello43 min
Mar 22, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Sullivan36 min
Mar 22, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Iowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Linn, Washington63 min
Mar 22, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Wapello50 min
Mar 22, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Sullivan37 min
Mar 22, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Schuyler20 min
Mar 22, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Sullivan29 min
Mar 22, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Lee66 min
Mar 23, 1:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHoward, Macon, Randolph34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2011-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 8 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2011-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 787 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
418 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
787 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
972 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

950 
WWUS20 KWNS 230135
SEL4  
SPC WW 230135
IAZ000-MOZ000-230700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 54
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
835 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF SOUTHERN IOWA
       LARGE PART OF NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF OTTUMWA
IOWA TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 53. WATCH NUMBER 53 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 835
PM CDT. 

DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS WATCH
AREA THRU THE EVENING. WITH VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...MARGINAL
BUT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IS AVAILABLE TO MAINTAIN THE THREAT OF
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES WITHIN THE LINE. IN ADDITION DAMAGING
WINDS ARE LIKELY...PARTICULARLY IN BOWING SEGMENTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 8:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Keokuk and 7 more60 min
Mar 22, 11:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Lee84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.