Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 469

June 12, 201136 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 12, 2011, 5:28 PM MDT for 36 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 12, 2011, 5:28 PM MDT (23:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 12, 2011, 11:51 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 12, 5:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, McLean, Oliver, Sheridan40 min
Jun 12, 6:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBowman, Slope53 min
Jun 12, 6:08 PM MDTTornado WarningBISGrant, Morton22 min
Jun 12, 6:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMercer, Morton, Oliver39 min
Jun 12, 6:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer43 min
Jun 12, 6:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Hettinger, Morton, Stark51 min
Jun 12, 7:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Hettinger44 min
Jun 12, 7:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMorton, Oliver28 min
Jun 12, 7:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMorton, Oliver28 min
Jun 12, 7:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMercer, Morton, Oliver28 min
Jun 12, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman50 min
Jun 12, 7:25 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton35 min
Jun 12, 7:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Hettinger57 min
Jun 12, 7:40 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton, Oliver35 min
Jun 12, 7:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Hettinger59 min
Jun 12, 7:56 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton34 min
Jun 12, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISHettinger46 min
Jun 12, 8:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux53 min
Jun 12, 8:09 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Oliver, Sioux and 1 more4 hr
Jun 12, 8:24 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton, Oliver36 min
Jun 12, 8:28 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISMcLean, Mercer, Oliver4 hr
Jun 12, 8:28 PM MDTTornado WarningBISGrant19 min
Jun 12, 8:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton66 min
Jun 12, 9:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Logan, McIntosh, Morton, Sioux57 min
Jun 12, 9:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, McLean, Morton, Oliver41 min
Jun 12, 10:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder, Sheridan, Wells40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2011-06-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2011-06-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 145 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
592 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

229 
WWUS20 KWNS 122325
SEL9
SPC WW 122325
NDZ000-130700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 469
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MINOT NORTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST OF LEMMON SOUTH DAKOTA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 467...WW 468...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY IN INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN ND AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.  FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR AND APPROACHING MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF SUPERCELLS...INCLUDING
ISOLATED TORNADOES.  OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 7:11 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope64 min
Jun 12, 12:52 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Hettinger, Slope and 1 more53 min
Jun 12, 1:49 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope6 hr
Jun 12, 5:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Dunn, Emmons, Grant and 19 more53 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.