Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 45
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 9, 2011, 2:39 AM CST for 7 counties in Alabama; 22 parishes in Louisiana; 29 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 9, 2011, 2:39 AM CST (08:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 9, 2011, 8:00 AM CST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 58 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Amite County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2:43 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Newton, Scott, Smith | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:03 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Amite, Pike, Walthall | 27 min |
| Mar 9, 4:07 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 4 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:20 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 38 min |
| Mar 9, 4:32 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 33 min |
| Mar 9, 4:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 41 min |
| Mar 9, 4:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion | 25 min |
| Mar 9, 4:45 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa | 60 min |
| Mar 9, 4:53 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Livingston, Tangipahoa | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jones | 16 min |
| Mar 9, 5:00 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint James, Saint John the Baptist | 60 min |
| Mar 9, 5:01 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Wayne | 44 min |
| Mar 9, 5:03 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln | 117 min |
| Mar 9, 5:07 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 5:10 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 50 min |
| Mar 9, 5:17 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 5:23 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Pike, Walthall | 37 min |
| Mar 9, 5:30 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Lafourche, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist | 30 min |
| Mar 9, 5:40 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke | 33 min |
| Mar 9, 5:45 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Washington | 45 min |
| Mar 9, 5:51 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington, Wilcox | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 5:56 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock, Pearl River | 34 min |
| Mar 9, 6:00 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry | 45 min |
| Mar 9, 6:04 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Perry, Stone | 41 min |
| Mar 9, 6:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles | 59 min |
| Mar 9, 6:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Orleans, Saint Tammany | 55 min |
| Mar 9, 6:37 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Washington | 17 min |
| Mar 9, 6:38 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone | 37 min |
| Mar 9, 6:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Stone | 49 min |
| Mar 9, 6:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison, Jackson | 63 min |
| Mar 9, 6:52 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 113 min |
| Mar 9, 7:06 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 5 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Harrison, Jackson | 54 min |
| Mar 9, 7:08 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 52 min |
| Mar 9, 7:08 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Lafourche, Saint Charles | 37 min |
| Mar 9, 7:13 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Lafourche | 47 min |
| Mar 9, 7:24 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison, Jackson | 66 min |
| Mar 9, 7:26 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:33 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Monroe | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 52 min |
| Mar 9, 7:42 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:52 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 83 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 841 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -30 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 473 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 652 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 774 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 4.0
- Supercell composite
- 24.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
559
WWUS20 KWNS 090840
SEL5
SPC WW 090840
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-091400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 45
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 240 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MC
COMB MISSISSIPPI TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PINE BELT
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 44...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS/LINES OF STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE
MORNING. SHEAR PROFILES ARE QUITE STRONG AND FAVOR SUPERCELL STORMS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES. IF ANY DISCRETE CONVECTION
CAN FORM IN THE WARM SECTOR...THEY WOULD POSE THE GREATEST TORNADO
THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 7:37 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Choctaw, Mobile, Washington | 7 hr |
| Mar 9, 1:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Mobile, Washington | 92 min |
| Mar 9, 6:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Mobile, Washington | 92 min |
| Mar 9, 7:26 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baldwin, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 8:32 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 28 min |
| Mar 9, 8:39 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 7 hr |
| Mar 9, 9:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 7 more | 59 min |
| Mar 8, 6:27 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Jackson, Lincoln and 4 more | 63 min |
| Mar 8, 9:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Avoyelles, Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne, Concordia and 32 more | 65 min |
| Mar 9, 4:39 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Orleans and 9 more | 66 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.