Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 45

March 9, 20117 counties in Alabama; 22 parishes in Louisiana; 29 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 9, 2011, 2:39 AM CST for 7 counties in Alabama; 22 parishes in Louisiana; 29 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2011, 2:39 AM CST (08:39 UTC)
Expired
Mar 9, 2011, 8:00 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 58 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Amite County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 2:43 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANNewton, Scott, Smith3 hr
Mar 9, 3:03 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith3 hr
Mar 9, 3:48 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXAmite, Pike, Walthall27 min
Mar 9, 4:07 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLamar, Marion4 hr
Mar 9, 4:20 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBChoctaw6 hr
Mar 9, 4:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw38 min
Mar 9, 4:32 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw33 min
Mar 9, 4:34 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany41 min
Mar 9, 4:35 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion25 min
Mar 9, 4:45 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa60 min
Mar 9, 4:53 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXLivingston, Tangipahoa3 hr
Mar 9, 4:59 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJones16 min
Mar 9, 5:00 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint James, Saint John the Baptist60 min
Mar 9, 5:01 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBWayne44 min
Mar 9, 5:03 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANFranklin, Lawrence, Lincoln117 min
Mar 9, 5:07 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBChoctaw6 hr
Mar 9, 5:10 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany50 min
Mar 9, 5:17 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar3 hr
Mar 9, 5:23 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXPike, Walthall37 min
Mar 9, 5:30 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXLafourche, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist30 min
Mar 9, 5:40 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke33 min
Mar 9, 5:45 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington45 min
Mar 9, 5:51 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBClarke, Washington, Wilcox6 hr
Mar 9, 5:56 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River34 min
Mar 9, 6:00 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBGreene, Perry45 min
Mar 9, 6:04 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBPerry, Stone41 min
Mar 9, 6:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles59 min
Mar 9, 6:35 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXOrleans, Saint Tammany55 min
Mar 9, 6:37 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBWashington17 min
Mar 9, 6:38 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone37 min
Mar 9, 6:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Stone49 min
Mar 9, 6:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson63 min
Mar 9, 6:52 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany113 min
Mar 9, 7:06 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard5 hr
Mar 9, 7:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson54 min
Mar 9, 7:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile, Washington52 min
Mar 9, 7:08 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Saint Charles37 min
Mar 9, 7:13 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche47 min
Mar 9, 7:24 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson66 min
Mar 9, 7:26 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington6 hr
Mar 9, 7:33 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBMonroe6 hr
Mar 9, 7:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard52 min
Mar 9, 7:42 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXHancock, Harrison2 hr
Mar 9, 7:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile83 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 841 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 652 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
841 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
473 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
652 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
774 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.0
Supercell composite
24.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

559 
WWUS20 KWNS 090840
SEL5  
SPC WW 090840
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-091400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 45
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
       SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
       SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 240 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MC
COMB MISSISSIPPI TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PINE BELT
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 44...

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS/LINES OF STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE
MORNING.  SHEAR PROFILES ARE QUITE STRONG AND FAVOR SUPERCELL STORMS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES.  IF ANY DISCRETE CONVECTION
CAN FORM IN THE WARM SECTOR...THEY WOULD POSE THE GREATEST TORNADO
THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 7:37 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCChoctaw, Mobile, Washington7 hr
Mar 9, 1:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Mobile, Washington92 min
Mar 9, 6:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Mobile, Washington92 min
Mar 9, 7:26 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia and 2 more6 hr
Mar 9, 8:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston28 min
Mar 9, 8:39 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston7 hr
Mar 9, 9:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 7 more59 min
Mar 8, 6:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Jackson, Lincoln and 4 more63 min
Mar 8, 9:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvoyelles, Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne, Concordia and 32 more65 min
Mar 9, 4:39 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Orleans and 9 more66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.