Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 435
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 6, 2011, 5:46 PM MDT for 15 counties in Montana. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 6, 2011, 5:46 PM MDT (23:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 7, 2011, 1:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 6:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin | 46 min |
| Jun 6, 6:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Sweet Grass | 55 min |
| Jun 6, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Wheatland | 65 min |
| Jun 6, 7:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Stillwater, Sweet Grass | 33 min |
| Jun 6, 7:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Stillwater, Sweet Grass | 59 min |
| Jun 6, 7:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Stillwater, Sweet Grass | 21 min |
| Jun 6, 7:39 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Wheatland | 36 min |
| Jun 6, 7:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Sweet Grass | 30 min |
| Jun 6, 7:46 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Stillwater | 29 min |
| Jun 6, 7:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley | 61 min |
| Jun 6, 7:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Judith Basin, Meagher | 46 min |
| Jun 6, 8:03 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Wheatland | 3 hr |
| Jun 6, 8:09 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Stillwater, Yellowstone | 36 min |
| Jun 6, 8:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Stillwater | 19 min |
| Jun 6, 8:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Wheatland | 50 min |
| Jun 6, 8:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Stillwater | 30 min |
| Jun 6, 8:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Stillwater, Yellowstone | 30 min |
| Jun 6, 8:48 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Musselshell, Stillwater, Yellowstone | 3 hr |
| Jun 6, 8:53 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Yellowstone | 37 min |
| Jun 6, 9:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Musselshell | 51 min |
| Jun 6, 9:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Stillwater | 18 min |
| Jun 6, 9:16 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 29 min |
| Jun 6, 9:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 30 min |
| Jun 6, 9:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Yellowstone | 51 min |
| Jun 6, 10:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 30 min |
| Jun 6, 10:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Petroleum | 53 min |
| Jun 6, 10:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone | 63 min |
| Jun 6, 11:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1546 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 42 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 218 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
684
WWUS20 KWNS 062346
SEL5
SPC WW 062346
MTZ000-070700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 435
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MONTANA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 545 PM
UNTIL 100 AM MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LEWISTOWN MONTANA TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF BILLINGS MONTANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 433...WW 434...
DISCUSSION...CONSIDERABLE STRENGTHENING OF FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD IS FORECAST IN THE 07/00-03Z TIME
FRAME...SUPPORTING A MARKED INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY. THE PRESENCE OF BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND PRONOUNCED VEERING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT
WILL FOSTER AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2:13 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaverhead, Broadwater, Deer Lodge, Gallatin, Jefferson, Madison and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 6, 4:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beaverhead, Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Deer Lodge, Fergus and 19 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 6, 4:45 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Fergus, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, Meagher and 9 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.