Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 435

June 6, 201115 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 6, 2011, 5:46 PM MDT for 15 counties in Montana. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2011, 5:46 PM MDT (23:46 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2011, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin46 min
Jun 6, 6:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZSweet Grass55 min
Jun 6, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Wheatland65 min
Jun 6, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZStillwater, Sweet Grass33 min
Jun 6, 7:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZStillwater, Sweet Grass59 min
Jun 6, 7:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZStillwater, Sweet Grass21 min
Jun 6, 7:39 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZGolden Valley, Wheatland36 min
Jun 6, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZSweet Grass30 min
Jun 6, 7:46 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZStillwater29 min
Jun 6, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley61 min
Jun 6, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin, Meagher46 min
Jun 6, 8:03 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZGolden Valley, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Wheatland3 hr
Jun 6, 8:09 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZStillwater, Yellowstone36 min
Jun 6, 8:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley, Stillwater19 min
Jun 6, 8:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZWheatland50 min
Jun 6, 8:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZStillwater30 min
Jun 6, 8:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZStillwater, Yellowstone30 min
Jun 6, 8:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZGolden Valley, Musselshell, Stillwater, Yellowstone3 hr
Jun 6, 8:53 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZMusselshell, Yellowstone37 min
Jun 6, 9:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley, Musselshell51 min
Jun 6, 9:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZStillwater18 min
Jun 6, 9:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZYellowstone29 min
Jun 6, 9:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZYellowstone30 min
Jun 6, 9:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell, Yellowstone51 min
Jun 6, 10:15 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZYellowstone30 min
Jun 6, 10:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPetroleum53 min
Jun 6, 10:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone63 min
Jun 6, 11:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1546 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

684 
WWUS20 KWNS 062346
SEL5
SPC WW 062346
MTZ000-070700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 435
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL MONTANA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 545 PM
UNTIL 100 AM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LEWISTOWN MONTANA TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF BILLINGS MONTANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 433...WW 434...

DISCUSSION...CONSIDERABLE STRENGTHENING OF FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD IS FORECAST IN THE 07/00-03Z TIME
FRAME...SUPPORTING A MARKED INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY.  THE PRESENCE OF BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND PRONOUNCED VEERING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT
WILL FOSTER AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 2:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Broadwater, Deer Lodge, Gallatin, Jefferson, Madison and 5 more2 hr
Jun 6, 4:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaverhead, Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Deer Lodge, Fergus and 19 more6 hr
Jun 6, 4:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carbon, Fergus, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, Meagher and 9 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Montana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.