Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 434

June 6, 201125 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 6, 2011, 4:13 PM MDT for 25 counties in Montana. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2011, 4:13 PM MDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 6, 2011, 10:30 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Beaverhead County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Deer Lodge County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Flathead County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Glacier County, MT, Granite County, MT, Hill County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Lake County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Madison County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Missoula County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Powell County, MT, Ravalli County, MT, Silver Bow County, MT, Teton County, MT, Toole County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Gallatin, Meagher38 min
Jun 6, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau42 min
Jun 6, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Gallatin, Meagher47 min
Jun 6, 6:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Teton47 min
Jun 6, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin46 min
Jun 6, 7:41 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade6 hr
Jun 6, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin, Meagher46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1546 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 2:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Broadwater, Deer Lodge, Gallatin, Jefferson, Madison and 5 more2 hr
Jun 6, 4:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carbon, Fergus, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, Meagher and 9 more2 hr
Jun 6, 5:46 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBig Horn, Carbon, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley, Judith Basin and 9 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.