Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 41

March 6, 201120 counties in North Carolina; 29 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2011, 6:24 PM EST for 20 counties in North Carolina; 29 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2011, 6:24 PM EST (23:24 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2011, 10:20 PM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 49 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Gates County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, Mathews County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 7:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Chesterfield, Hanover, Henrico, King and Queen, King William and 1 more48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-03-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-03-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 159 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
562 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

461 
WWUS20 KWNS 062327
SEL1
SPC WW 062327
NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-070400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY EVENING FROM 625 PM UNTIL 1100 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 65 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK
VIRGINIA TO 50 MILES EAST OF GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE BAND HAS FORMED ALONG A LOW-LVL
CONFLUENCE ZONE OVER ERN NC/SE VA THIS EVE...ON LEADING EDGE OF
MID-LVL HEIGHT FALLS/COLD ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH EJECTING UPR
VORT.  STRENGTH OF LOW-LVL WIND FIELD AND WEAK LINEAR FORCING IN SRN
PART OF CONVECTIVE BAND SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LOW-LVL MESOS/ISOLD
TORNADOES IN E CNTRL/NE NC. FARTHER N...LOW-LVL LINEAR FORCING WILL
INCREASE THIS EVE AS SFC COLD FRONT OVERTAKES CONVECTIVE BAND.  THIS
SUGGESTS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR LEWPS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND IN NRN
PART OF WW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 12:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 29 more84 min
Mar 6, 3:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Chowan and 28 more86 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2011Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.