Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 199

March 6, 201118 counties in North Carolina; 27 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 6, 2011, 8:04 PM EST for 18 counties in North Carolina; 27 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2011, 8:04 PM EST (01:04 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2011, 9:00 PM EST
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 45 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Gates County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 336 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 314 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
336 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
514 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
317 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

836 
ACUS11 KWNS 070104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070104 
VAZ000-NCZ000-070200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0199
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0704 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 41...

VALID 070104Z - 070200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 41 CONTINUES.

STRONGLY FORCED SQUALL LINE...LIKELY DRIVEN BY/CORRELATED WITH UPPER
VORT...IS PROGRESSING NEWD ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF WW41 AT ROUGHLY
35KT.  A NARROW WEDGE OF YET TO BE OVERTURNED MODIFIED WARM SECTOR
REMAINS OVER EXTREME SERN VA WHERE A FEW HUNDRED J/KG MUCAPE EXISTS.
JUST DOWNSTREAM...00Z SOUNDING FROM WAL EXHIBITS COOL/STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND IN THE ABSENCE OF SIGNIFICANT RECOVERY OVER THIS
REGION THE APPROACHING SQUALL LINE SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN.  IN THE
SHORT TERM...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY YET STILL DEVELOP ALONG STRONGLY
FORCED CONVECTIVE LINE...PRIMARILY OVER SERN VA.

..DARROW.. 03/07/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

LAT...LON   35437805 37397785 37407583 35447610 35437805

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.