Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 10

February 1, 20119 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 19 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 1, 2011, 1:03 PM CST for 9 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 19 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2011, 1:03 PM CST (19:03 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2011, 7:45 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Scott County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 1, 1:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith44 min
Feb 1, 1:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPearl River, Pike, Walthall58 min
Feb 1, 1:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPearl River64 min
Feb 1, 1:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Lawrence, Marion46 min
Feb 1, 2:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPearl River, Walthall49 min
Feb 1, 2:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Smith47 min
Feb 1, 2:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion65 min
Feb 1, 2:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton60 min
Feb 1, 2:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPearl River32 min
Feb 1, 3:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington51 min
Feb 1, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington34 min
Feb 1, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone46 min
Feb 1, 4:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJackson30 min
Feb 1, 4:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile42 min
Feb 1, 6:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBOkaloosa, Santa Rosa52 min
Feb 1, 6:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBCovington, Escambia52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 437 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
464 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
437 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
526 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

900 
WWUS20 KWNS 011906
SEL0
SPC WW 011906
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-020200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
       THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
       PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHWEST OF
EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS SE LA AND
SRN MS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...REACHING SW AL AROUND 23Z.  OTHER
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE FROM SE LA INTO SE
MS ALONG THE LLJ AND MOIST AXIS.  A SPECIAL 18Z SOUNDING FROM LIX
SHOWED THAT THE PRIMARY INSTABILITY IS STILL BASED JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE...BUT VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS STILL SUPPORTIVE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE MORE
CELLULAR CONVECTIVE MODES NOW OBSERVED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 1, 12:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile, Washington60 min
Feb 1, 3:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Marengo and 4 more61 min
Feb 1, 5:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more96 min
Feb 1, 6:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell and 25 more119 min
Feb 1, 8:40 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 46 more6 hr
Feb 1, 1:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston and 12 more67 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Tornado Watches in Florida, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.