Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 10
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 1, 2011, 1:03 PM CST for 9 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 19 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 1, 2011, 1:03 PM CST (19:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2011, 7:45 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 30 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Scott County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 1:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith | 44 min |
| Feb 1, 1:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Pearl River, Pike, Walthall | 58 min |
| Feb 1, 1:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Pearl River | 64 min |
| Feb 1, 1:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Lawrence, Marion | 46 min |
| Feb 1, 2:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Pearl River, Walthall | 49 min |
| Feb 1, 2:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Smith | 47 min |
| Feb 1, 2:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion | 65 min |
| Feb 1, 2:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton | 60 min |
| Feb 1, 2:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Pearl River | 32 min |
| Feb 1, 3:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 51 min |
| Feb 1, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 34 min |
| Feb 1, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone | 46 min |
| Feb 1, 4:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Jackson | 30 min |
| Feb 1, 4:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 42 min |
| Feb 1, 6:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 52 min |
| Feb 1, 6:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington, Escambia | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 464 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 437 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 526 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
900
WWUS20 KWNS 011906
SEL0
SPC WW 011906
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-020200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHWEST OF
EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...
DISCUSSION...A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS SE LA AND
SRN MS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...REACHING SW AL AROUND 23Z. OTHER
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE FROM SE LA INTO SE
MS ALONG THE LLJ AND MOIST AXIS. A SPECIAL 18Z SOUNDING FROM LIX
SHOWED THAT THE PRIMARY INSTABILITY IS STILL BASED JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE...BUT VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS STILL SUPPORTIVE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE MORE
CELLULAR CONVECTIVE MODES NOW OBSERVED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 12:00 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Escambia, Mobile, Washington | 60 min |
| Feb 1, 3:44 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Marengo and 4 more | 61 min |
| Feb 1, 5:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more | 96 min |
| Feb 1, 6:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell and 25 more | 119 min |
| Feb 1, 8:40 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 46 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 1, 1:23 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston and 12 more | 67 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Tornado Watches in Florida, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.