Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 791

August 19, 20115 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 19, 2011, 1:04 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2011, 1:04 PM EDT (17:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 81 counties

Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Bronx County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Kings County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

62 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 1:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Delaware50 min
Aug 19, 1:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin, Snyder, Union47 min
Aug 19, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSusquehanna, Wyoming38 min
Aug 19, 1:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Schenectady, Schoharie54 min
Aug 19, 1:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYUlster62 min
Aug 19, 1:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSnyder, Union60 min
Aug 19, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe59 min
Aug 19, 1:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Huntingdon66 min
Aug 19, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Union61 min
Aug 19, 2:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMLuzerne, Wyoming4 hr
Aug 19, 2:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe70 min
Aug 19, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLuzerne49 min
Aug 19, 2:45 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYUlster4 hr
Aug 19, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill55 min
Aug 19, 2:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMWayne3 hr
Aug 19, 2:57 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICarbon, Monroe3 hr
Aug 19, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan20 min
Aug 19, 3:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMLuzerne3 hr
Aug 19, 3:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie55 min
Aug 19, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYUlster60 min
Aug 19, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill78 min
Aug 19, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland61 min
Aug 19, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Greene, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie50 min
Aug 19, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe58 min
Aug 19, 3:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams53 min
Aug 19, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire44 min
Aug 19, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPassaic42 min
Aug 19, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York61 min
Aug 19, 4:28 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXOrange2 hr
Aug 19, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren61 min
Aug 19, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden67 min
Aug 19, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Passaic62 min
Aug 19, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York72 min
Aug 19, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton53 min
Aug 19, 5:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXPassaic55 min
Aug 19, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYDutchess, Ulster50 min
Aug 19, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Sussex, Warren78 min
Aug 19, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam43 min
Aug 19, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire66 min
Aug 19, 5:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster34 min
Aug 19, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean50 min
Aug 19, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester55 min
Aug 19, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Passaic30 min
Aug 19, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester, Montgomery48 min
Aug 19, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region59 min
Aug 19, 5:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXBergen, Passaic91 min
Aug 19, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Somerset80 min
Aug 19, 6:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPutnam, Rockland, Westchester45 min
Aug 19, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Mercer, Salem65 min
Aug 19, 6:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region41 min
Aug 19, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union40 min
Aug 19, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris28 min
Aug 19, 6:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXPutnam, Rockland, Westchester42 min
Aug 19, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen46 min
Aug 19, 6:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union59 min
Aug 19, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth31 min
Aug 19, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXHudson, Union46 min
Aug 19, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen45 min
Aug 19, 7:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXEssex, Hudson44 min
Aug 19, 7:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXBergen, Hudson66 min
Aug 19, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXNassau, Queens44 min
Aug 19, 8:29 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXWestchester59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 205 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -1 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
205 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-129 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
940 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 12:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC62 min
Aug 19, 6:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Aug 19, 7:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Essex, Gloucester and 8 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.