Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 779

August 14, 20116 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 14, 2011, 2:07 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2011, 2:07 PM EDT (18:07 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 129 counties

Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Anson County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Polk County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Union County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC, Blount County, TN, Carter County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Washington County, TN, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPElbert, Hart62 min
Aug 14, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXJefferson, Knox, Sevier41 min
Aug 14, 2:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Greenville67 min
Aug 14, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Spartanburg63 min
Aug 14, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell61 min
Aug 14, 3:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPElbert57 min
Aug 14, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville, Laurens28 min
Aug 14, 3:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Spartanburg, Union68 min
Aug 14, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Madison, Yancey63 min
Aug 14, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenwood26 min
Aug 14, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes61 min
Aug 14, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Haywood, Madison60 min
Aug 14, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXJohnson46 min
Aug 14, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery45 min
Aug 14, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington62 min
Aug 14, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk55 min
Aug 14, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFranklin60 min
Aug 14, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes, Surry54 min
Aug 14, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk, Rutherford36 min
Aug 14, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHForsyth53 min
Aug 14, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Spartanburg27 min
Aug 14, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Davie, Iredell, Rowan60 min
Aug 14, 6:24 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHForsyth51 min
Aug 14, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Catawba, Lincoln62 min
Aug 14, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKGrayson, Smyth38 min
Aug 14, 6:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Iredell57 min
Aug 14, 6:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Rockbridge41 min
Aug 14, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCatawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln67 min
Aug 14, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGuilford36 min
Aug 14, 7:14 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAmherst, Rockbridge4 hr
Aug 14, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Iredell, Rowan57 min
Aug 14, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham96 min
Aug 14, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Lincoln, Mecklenburg53 min
Aug 14, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth45 min
Aug 14, 8:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Catawba, Davie, Iredell, Rowan61 min
Aug 14, 8:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL1000850700500300200100-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
NaN m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee and 46 more55 min
Aug 14, 2:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Effingham, Screven36 min
Aug 14, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler, Chatham, Columbia and 11 more6 hr
Aug 14, 5:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Chowan, Columbus and 13 more60 min
Aug 14, 6:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba and 46 more53 min
Aug 14, 3:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Augusta, Bath, Buckingham and 29 more58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.