Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 751
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 8, 2011, 7:53 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 8, 2011, 7:53 PM CDT (00:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 9, 2011, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 54 counties
Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Dade County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 49 min |
| Aug 8, 8:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 62 min |
| Aug 8, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Elk, Montgomery | 36 min |
| Aug 8, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie | 64 min |
| Aug 8, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton | 62 min |
| Aug 8, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner | 58 min |
| Aug 8, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson | 41 min |
| Aug 8, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Washington | 66 min |
| Aug 8, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Pottawatomie | 36 min |
| Aug 8, 9:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 66 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 275 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -241 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1182 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 217 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 247 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
976
WWUS20 KWNS 090059
SEL1
SPC WW 090059
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-090800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 751
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 746...WW 747...WW
748...WW 750...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING ALONG SLOWLY
PROGRESSIVE SW-NE COLD FRONT THROUGH SW/CNTRL/N CNTRL OK THROUGH
LATE THIS EVE. AS SWLY LLJ NOCTURNALLY STRENGTHENS...OTHER STORMS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE/DEVELOP ALONG AND N OF STALLED WNW-ESE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY IN NE OK/WRN AR...AND ALONG DEEPER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDING WNW/ESE ACROSS SE KS AND SW MO. DEEP WNWLY SHEAR...AND
ASCENT WITH SRN FRINGE OF UPR IMPULSE CROSSING THE CNTRL
PLNS...APPEAR AMPLE FOR AMALGAMATION OF STORMS INTO CLUSTERS WITH
EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS. THESE MAY YIELD A FEW SWATHS OF DMGG WIND
IN ADDITION TO MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 32030.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 7:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 30 more | 116 min |
| Aug 8, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lee, Lincoln, Monroe and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Aug 8, 11:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 32 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 8, 11:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Desha, Lee, Lincoln, Monroe, Phillips | 93 min |
| Aug 9, 2:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Benton, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 26 more | 84 min |
| Aug 9, 2:51 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Norton, Rawlins, Sheridan and 2 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 9, 6:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Hodgeman and 14 more | 118 min |
| Aug 9, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clark and 49 more | 9 hr |
| Aug 9, 5:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Comanche and 12 more | 59 min |
| Aug 9, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beaver, Cimarron, Texas | 8 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.