Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 751

August 8, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 8, 2011, 7:53 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 8, 2011, 7:53 PM CDT (00:53 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2011, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 54 counties

Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Dade County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford49 min
Aug 8, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner62 min
Aug 8, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Elk, Montgomery36 min
Aug 8, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie64 min
Aug 8, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton62 min
Aug 8, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner58 min
Aug 8, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson41 min
Aug 8, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Washington66 min
Aug 8, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Pottawatomie36 min
Aug 8, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah66 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 275 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 217 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
275 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-241 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1182 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

976 
WWUS20 KWNS 090059
SEL1
SPC WW 090059
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-090800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 751
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
       FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 746...WW 747...WW
748...WW 750...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING ALONG SLOWLY
PROGRESSIVE SW-NE COLD FRONT THROUGH SW/CNTRL/N CNTRL OK THROUGH
LATE THIS EVE.  AS SWLY LLJ NOCTURNALLY STRENGTHENS...OTHER STORMS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE/DEVELOP ALONG AND N OF STALLED WNW-ESE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY IN NE OK/WRN AR...AND ALONG DEEPER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDING WNW/ESE ACROSS SE KS AND SW MO.  DEEP WNWLY SHEAR...AND
ASCENT WITH SRN FRINGE OF UPR IMPULSE CROSSING THE CNTRL
PLNS...APPEAR AMPLE FOR AMALGAMATION OF STORMS INTO CLUSTERS WITH
EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS.  THESE MAY YIELD A FEW SWATHS OF DMGG WIND
IN ADDITION TO MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 32030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 30 more116 min
Aug 8, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lee, Lincoln, Monroe and 2 more6 hr
Aug 8, 11:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 32 more2 hr
Aug 8, 11:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Desha, Lee, Lincoln, Monroe, Phillips93 min
Aug 9, 2:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Benton, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 26 more84 min
Aug 9, 2:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Norton, Rawlins, Sheridan and 2 more7 hr
Aug 9, 6:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Hodgeman and 14 more118 min
Aug 9, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clark and 49 more9 hr
Aug 9, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Comanche and 12 more59 min
Aug 9, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.