Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 742

August 7, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 7, 2011, 9:18 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2011, 9:18 PM CDT (02:18 UTC)
Expired
Aug 8, 2011, 1:19 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Greene County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene47 min
Aug 7, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, New Madrid, Stoddard, Wayne42 min
Aug 7, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi40 min
Aug 7, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene32 min
Aug 7, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Lake, Obion42 min
Aug 7, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1065 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1065 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2091 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 8:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Craighead, Fulton and 10 more2 hr
Aug 7, 10:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Izard, Lawrence and 3 more96 min
Aug 8, 2:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Cross and 29 more86 min
Aug 8, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Grundy, Henderson and 19 more84 min
Aug 8, 5:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Cass, Champaign, Christian, DeWitt, Ford and 21 more67 min
Aug 8, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Champaign, DeWitt, Ford, Fulton, Grundy and 19 more5 hr
Aug 8, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton and 3 more2 hr
Aug 8, 12:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade and 7 more59 min
Aug 8, 1:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 13 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.