Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 722

August 3, 201152 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2011, 4:02 PM CDT for 52 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2011, 4:02 PM CDT (21:02 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2011, 9:50 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Woodford County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKSpencer34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2011-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 716 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2011-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 163 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
716 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-276 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1509 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 8:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Elkhart, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake and 9 more86 min
Aug 2, 11:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Benton, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 16 more95 min
Aug 3, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Carroll, Clinton, Dearborn, Delaware, Fountain and 14 more8 hr
Aug 3, 3:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Greenup, Lewis92 min
Aug 3, 7:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Greenup, Lewis84 min
Aug 3, 9:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 47 more7 hr
Aug 3, 12:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breckinridge and 51 more64 min
Aug 3, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge and 49 more62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.