Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 685

July 25, 201114 counties in Montana; 9 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 25, 2011, 5:47 PM MDT for 14 counties in Montana; 9 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 25, 2011, 5:47 PM MDT (23:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 26, 2011, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 23 counties

Blaine County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, McCone County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 25, 7:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Phillips, Valley68 min
Jul 25, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield60 min
Jul 25, 8:51 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWGarfield24 min
Jul 25, 9:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 247 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-07-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-07-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -28 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3543 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 25, 11:23 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Powder River97 min
Jul 25, 1:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Rosebud and 1 more8 hr
Jul 25, 2:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Gallatin, Golden Valley and 10 more97 min
Jul 25, 4:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter96 min
Jul 25, 5:15 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawson, Garfield, McCone, Phillips, Prairie, Richland and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.