Alert archive / Maine / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593

July 4, 201116 counties in Maine; 8 counties in New Hampshire

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2011, 12:10 PM EDT for 16 counties in Maine; 8 counties in New Hampshire. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2011, 12:10 PM EDT (16:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2011, 7:07 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Androscoggin County, ME, Aroostook County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Hancock County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, Washington County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH

The radar

The Caribou radar (KCBW), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 12:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis, Somerset40 min
Jul 4, 12:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset50 min
Jul 4, 1:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook22 min
Jul 4, 1:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford49 min
Jul 4, 1:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis, Somerset59 min
Jul 4, 1:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset45 min
Jul 4, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook51 min
Jul 4, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis44 min
Jul 4, 1:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook54 min
Jul 4, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford27 min
Jul 4, 2:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Somerset51 min
Jul 4, 2:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset61 min
Jul 4, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford45 min
Jul 4, 2:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook41 min
Jul 4, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot, Piscataquis49 min
Jul 4, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Kennebec, Somerset, Waldo40 min
Jul 4, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook59 min
Jul 4, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland44 min
Jul 4, 3:07 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCARAroostook113 min
Jul 4, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Kennebec, Somerset, Waldo38 min
Jul 4, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot46 min
Jul 4, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Sagadahoc43 min
Jul 4, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXYork44 min
Jul 4, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock, Penobscot33 min
Jul 4, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, York42 min
Jul 4, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXYork54 min
Jul 4, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham34 min
Jul 4, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Caribou, ME (KCAR), launched 12:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Caribou, ME at 12:00Z on 2011-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 28 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Caribou, ME at 12:00Z on 2011-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
28 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
584 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

030 
WWUS20 KWNS 041609
SEL3
SPC WW 041609
MEZ000-NHZ000-CWZ000-050000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 593
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       MAINE
       NEW HAMPSHIRE
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1210 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF
CARIBOU MAINE TO 20 MILES WEST OF PORTSMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH SUFFICIENT
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO PROMOTE ORGANIZED CONVECTION.  DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT CELLS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 11:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford and 5 more89 min
Jul 4, 2:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.