Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 473

June 13, 2011Chicot County, Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 47 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 13, 2011, 2:45 PM CDT for Chicot County, Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 47 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2011, 2:45 PM CDT (19:45 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Chicot County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNoxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston42 min
Jun 13, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Choctaw, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster52 min
Jun 13, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower70 min
Jun 13, 3:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANOktibbeha2 hr
Jun 13, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha, Winston60 min
Jun 13, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Holmes, Montgomery, Webster52 min
Jun 13, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sunflower45 min
Jun 13, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot82 min
Jun 13, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha59 min
Jun 13, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lowndes, Neshoba, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston65 min
Jun 13, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot58 min
Jun 13, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Leake, Madison, Neshoba, Newton, Rankin and 2 more61 min
Jun 13, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot68 min
Jun 13, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba65 min
Jun 13, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Newton, Scott, Smith40 min
Jun 13, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar45 min
Jun 13, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson50 min
Jun 13, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Covington, Jasper, Jones, Smith48 min
Jun 13, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson63 min
Jun 13, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar, Marion69 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2011-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1497 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2011-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1497 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1118 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 9:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Fulton and 10 more54 min
Jun 13, 10:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden and 25 more8 hr
Jun 13, 1:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Desha58 min
Jun 13, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Cross and 22 more35 min
Jun 13, 5:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.