Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36

March 4, 2011Calhoun County, Illinois; 48 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 4, 2011, 1:33 PM CST for Calhoun County, Illinois; 48 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2011, 1:33 PM CST (19:33 UTC)
Expired
Mar 4, 2011, 7:00 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Calhoun County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 2:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone43 min
Mar 4, 3:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Moniteau, Osage47 min
Mar 4, 3:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone40 min
Mar 4, 3:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Montgomery47 min
Mar 4, 3:34 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Montgomery41 min
Mar 4, 3:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Ralls45 min
Mar 4, 3:49 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Pike, Ralls56 min
Mar 4, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln, Montgomery and 3 more46 min
Mar 4, 4:27 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Warren33 min
Mar 4, 4:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey51 min
Mar 4, 4:40 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Pike51 min
Mar 4, 5:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey, Madison29 min
Mar 4, 6:20 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLSXFranklin, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Warren, City of Saint Louis5 hr
Mar 4, 7:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 313 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-209 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1021 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
313 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 3:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Menard and 4 more83 min
Mar 4, 4:54 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Effingham and 16 more118 min
Mar 4, 11:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 15 more2 hr
Mar 4, 3:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Douglas and 14 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.