Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 301

May 13, 201117 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 13, 2011, 7:21 PM EDT for 17 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2011, 7:21 PM EDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2011, 12:57 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bladen County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Nash County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett59 min
May 13, 8:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson, Wayne56 min

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-05-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 185 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-05-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
185 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
606 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 12:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Graham, Swain113 min
May 13, 1:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 15 more6 hr
May 13, 3:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshe, Avery, Buncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham and 11 more58 min
May 13, 4:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 28 more24 min
May 13, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba, Chatham and 30 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.