Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 972

May 25, 201115 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 25, 2011, 7:45 PM CDT for 15 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2011, 7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC)
Expired
May 25, 2011, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Bienville Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1872 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1872 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-61 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1613 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
10.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

041 
ACUS11 KWNS 260046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260045
LAZ000-TXZ000-260145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0972
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL TX...NRN LA...SRN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 374...

VALID 260045Z - 260145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 374 CONTINUES.

ONGOING SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE WW AREA WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DMGG WINDS...AND TORNADOES.

DEEP LAYER WINDS HAVE PRIMARILY BECOME UNIDIRECTIONAL WITH THE SRN
EXTENT OF THE WATCH...WITH STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS SUPPORTING
SPLITTING SUPERCELLS. SURFACE CONVERGENCE REMAINS SOMEWHAT WEAKER
ACROSS THE SRN EXTENT OF THE WATCH...BUT APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENT
FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF CONVECTION...PRIMARILY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH ERN AR AND SWWD THROUGH
NWRN LA AND INTO CNTRL TX. STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT REPRESENTED
ON THE 00Z SHV SOUNDING WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS OF 6.5
C/KM AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT RAPID
DEVELOPMENT...WITH LARGE HAIL...DMGG WINDS...AND TORNADOES ALL
POSSIBLE.

..HURLBUT.. 05/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   31199316 31249479 31709442 32349342 32819267 32989188
            32939130 32239180 31689224 31199316

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 7:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion53 min
May 25, 9:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAvoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin and 14 more5 hr
May 26, 2:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Orleans and 10 more85 min
May 26, 5:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany57 min
May 26, 2:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCalhoun, DeWitt, Goliad, Jackson, Lavaca, Matagorda and 3 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.