Mesoscale Discussion 95

Issued

Feb 8, 2011, 9:11 AM MST (16:11 UTC)

Expired

Feb 8, 2011, 3:15 PM MST

In force

6 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

752 
ACUS11 KWNS 081612
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081611
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-082215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CST TUE FEB 08 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND WRN KS...SE CO...NE NM...OK
PANHANDLE...NW TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 081611Z - 082215Z

HEAVY SNOW WITH HOURLY RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR WITH LOCALLY UP TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CNTRL AND SRN
KS. FURTHER WEST...SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS NE NM...THE
NW TX PANHANDLE AND THE OK PANHANDLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH 1 INCH
PER HOUR RATES LIKELY ESPECIALLY TOWARD EARLY EVENING.

A BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL IS CURRENTLY ONGOING FROM NEAR GOODLAND AND
DODGE CITY KANSAS EWD TO SALINA AND WICHITA KS LOCATED ALONG A ZONE
OF STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT. THIS SLAB OF ASCENT IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN IN PLACE AND SAG SLOWLY SWD THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING
SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS SRN KS NEAR THE OK STATE-LINE. IN ADDITION TO
THE HEAVY SNOW...SFC TEMPS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND SFC WINDS FROM
THE NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS IN THE -20 TO
-30 F RANGE.

FURTHER TO THE WEST... A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW EXISTS FROM NEAR
TRINIDAD EWD TO NEAR LAMAR CO. THIS BAND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A VORTICITY MAX IN SE CO.
THIS VORTICITY MAX WILL MOVE EWD THIS AFTERNOON AS VERY COLD AIR
ADVECTS SWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE. LIFT WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS NE NM...THE NW TX
PANHANDLE AND THE OK PANHANDLE WITH THE START TIME ESTIMATED IN THE
19Z TO 22Z TIMEFRAME.

..BROYLES.. 02/08/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...
ABQ...

LAT...LON   36510103 35770431 35780548 36310575 36860527 38000231
            39190052 39479975 39499867 39139718 38579617 37869571
            37409608 37299676 37249769 37169855 36849965 36510103

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.