Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 792

May 14, 201143 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in South Carolina; 18 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 14, 2011, 7:32 PM EDT for 43 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in South Carolina; 18 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2011, 7:32 PM EDT (23:32 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2011, 8:30 PM EDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 66 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Brunswick County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 618 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
618 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
824 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

373 
ACUS11 KWNS 142333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142332
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-150030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0632 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN SC THROUGH ERN NC AND SERN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 302...

VALID 142332Z - 150030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 302
CONTINUES.

WHILE WW EXPIRES AT 00Z...THOUGH AN HOUR OR TWO EXTENSION IN TIME IS
POSSIBLE.

STORM OUTFLOWS HAVE CONTINUED TO GRADUALLY STABILIZE THE AIR MASS
ACROSS THE WW...EXCEPT FOR FAR ERN NC AND EXTREME SERN VA.
STRONGEST CLUSTER OF STORMS WERE LOCATED BETWEEN ORF AND RIC...BUT
THESE STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THEY SHIFT NWD ACROSS A WARM
FRONT IN SRN VA...AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES STABILIZING FROM
STORM OUTFLOWS. UNTIL THAT TIME...THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF
WIND DAMAGE.

OTHER STORMS WERE LOCATED IN PORTIONS OF SRN NC AND FAR NERN
SC...BUT THE AIR MASS IN THIS AREA WAS STABILIZED FROM EARLIER
CONVECTION AND SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY NON-SEVERE.

..IMY.. 05/14/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...

LAT...LON   33907777 33948027 37597771 37527744 36947627 36537589
            35607619 33907777

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 9:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Chatham, Davidson, Davie and 14 more30 min
May 14, 1:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden, Chowan, Columbus and 23 more118 min
May 14, 1:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 35 more8 hr
May 14, 4:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Chowan, Columbus, Craven and 31 more84 min
May 14, 4:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun and 10 more30 min
May 14, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 10 more4 hr
May 14, 6:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley, Charleston and 7 more61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.