Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 567

April 25, 201113 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Mississippi; 6 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 25, 2011, 8:37 AM CDT for 13 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Mississippi; 6 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 25, 2011, 8:37 AM CDT (13:37 UTC)
Expired
Apr 25, 2011, 9:30 AM CDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 44 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Chester County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 11 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 210 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
729 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

262 
ACUS11 KWNS 251338
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251337
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-251430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0567
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0837 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN AR TO WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 251337Z - 251430Z

MONITORING FOR A WATCH ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF AR INTO WESTERN
TN/NORTHERN MS.

WITH A CURRENT FORWARD MOVEMENT OF AROUND 40-45 KT...AN ONGOING
WELL-ORGANIZED QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM /WITH AN EMBEDDED BOW/
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
TODAY INTO PORTIONS OF WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS. DAMAGING WINDS AS
WELL AS SOME HAIL/ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
INCREASING CONCERN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE ESPECIALLY
ALONG/SOUTH OF A PRE-MCS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT CURRENT ARCS SW-NE
ACROSS NORTHERN MS INTO MIDDLE TN. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE HOUR.

..GUYER.. 04/25/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   33729245 34949192 35528931 35568779 34078811 33269149
            33729245

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 24, 10:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 15 more2 hr
Apr 24, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Nevada, Sevier5 hr
Apr 25, 1:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleveland, Dallas, Jefferson, Lincoln63 min
Apr 25, 4:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 25 more7 hr
Apr 25, 7:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Garland and 11 more97 min
Apr 25, 9:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis6 hr
Apr 25, 10:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier59 min
Apr 25, 11:00 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCarroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard and 13 more7 hr
Apr 25, 1:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis60 min
Apr 25, 1:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson, Little River, Logan and 5 more92 min
Apr 25, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 29 more37 min
Apr 25, 3:22 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark and 50 more8 hr
Apr 25, 4:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene and 11 more56 min
Apr 25, 4:50 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee and 4 more7 hr
Apr 25, 1:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Carroll, Cheatham, Davidson, Decatur and 20 more87 min
Apr 25, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston and 14 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.