Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 548

April 24, 201125 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 24, 2011, 11:58 AM CDT for 25 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 24, 2011, 11:58 AM CDT (16:58 UTC)
Expired
Apr 24, 2011, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties

Baxter County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1899 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 189 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1899 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
664 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

722 
ACUS11 KWNS 241659
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241658
KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-241800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0548
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 AM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AR...EXTREME SERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241658Z - 241800Z

INCREASING RISK FOR SEVERE WINDS...HAIL AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
THROUGH AFTERNOON IN NRN AR AND EXTREME SERN MO.  PROBABILITY OF
WATCH ISSUANCE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA 60
PERCENT.

THUNDERSTORMS OVER NWRN AR HAVE BEEN ACHIEVING STRONGER
REFLECTIVITY/VELOCITY VALUES LATE THIS MORNING AND MAY BE TAPPING
THE RECOVERING AIR MASS ACROSS NRN AR.  CONCERN IS THAT COMPLEX WILL
YIELD INCREASING BOWING CHARACTERISTICS WITH APEX RUNNING ALONG THE
RETREATING WARM FRONT IN NCNTRL/NERN AR AND SERN MO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.  REGION WILL REMAIN ALONG SRN FRINGE OF STRONG WSW FLOW
IN THE H85-H5 LAYER AND GIVEN THE STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND MODEST COLD POOL DYNAMICS...DMGG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS
SMALL-SCALE MESOVORTICIES WILL EVOLVE ALONG WITH THE HAIL THREAT.

..RACY.. 04/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   34979382 35959334 37319027 36818943 35678997 34959184
            34979382

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 23, 8:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 25 more2 hr
Apr 23, 8:19 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Independence and 9 more4 hr
Apr 23, 10:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Fulton and 8 more95 min
Apr 24, 12:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Fulton and 16 more7 hr
Apr 24, 3:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleburne, Craighead, Greene, Independence, Izard, Jackson and 9 more59 min
Apr 24, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Madison, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more26 min
Apr 24, 5:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCConway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Johnson, Logan and 8 more7 hr
Apr 24, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 32 more2 hr
Apr 24, 3:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi, New Madrid, Scott89 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.