Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 2014

August 18, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 18, 2011, 11:46 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2011, 11:46 PM CDT (04:46 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2011, 12:45 AM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 94 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Washington County, AR, Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Brown County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Livingston County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Polk County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2011-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3749 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2011-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3749 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1481 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.3
Supercell composite
17.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

812 
ACUS11 KWNS 190446
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190446 
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-190545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2014
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1146 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...WRN MO...NERN OK AND FAR NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 788...

VALID 190446Z - 190545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 788
CONTINUES.

A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED SOON SOUTH OF WW 788 INTO SERN KS/SWRN MO TO
NERN OK/NWRN AR...GIVEN ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT /MAINLY
DAMAGING WINDS/ WITH THE BOW ECHO SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NERN
KS/NWRN MO.

AT 0430Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A WELL DEFINED BOW ECHO
SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM CALDWELL COUNTY MO SWWD TO THE BOW APEX IN
JOHNSON COUNTY KS AND THEN NWWD TO POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY KS...WITH
THIS BOW MOVING SSEWD AT 35 KT.  RECENT REPORTS HAVE INDICATED
SEVERE WIND GUSTS FROM TOP THROUGH THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA
INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AROUND 1 INCH IN DIAMETER.

IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED CLOUD TOPS REMAIN COLD WITH NO SIGN
OF WARMING.  MEANWHILE...A 40 KT SWLY LLJ PER TOP WSR-88D VAD IS
RESULTING IN STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA INTO NERN KS/NWRN MO WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT.  VEERING OF THE LLJ
OVERNIGHT SUGGESTS THIS FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK SWD INTO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

..PETERS.. 08/19/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   37869233 36279205 35909296 35929432 36149528 37079649
            37559668 38649658 39469665 39989649 39949553 39689474
            39939346 39689274 39369247 37869233

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Izard and 6 more5 hr
Aug 19, 1:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Madison and 5 more67 min
Aug 19, 4:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Madison and 3 more67 min
Aug 18, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas and 18 more7 hr
Aug 18, 9:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Doniphan53 min
Aug 19, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 26 more63 min
Aug 18, 8:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway and 1 more61 min
Aug 19, 1:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCole, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Madison and 5 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.