Severe Thunderstorm Warning 179, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1018 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TORNADO WATCHES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 5 AM FOR THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE FOUR STATE AREA...MAINLY OVER EAST TEXAS...AND NORTH
LOUISIANA...AND THE SOUTH TIER OF COUNTIES OVER ARKANSAS. WILL
SEND AN UPDATE TO THE ZONES FOR THESE TWO NEW TORNADO WATCHES.
WILL ALSO SEND AN UPDATE TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND TO THE LAKE
WIND ADVISORY. WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO POPS AND MIN
TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT.

WAVER VAPOR SATELLITE INDICATES THAT THE MAIN SHORT WAVE IS STILL
TO OUR WEST OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS...SO EXPECT THE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE STORMS
WILL TAPER OFF BY SUNRISE OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION...
IFR CIGS UNDER DOWNPOURS...OTHERWISE CIGS ARE MVFR/VFR. PREVAILING
WINDS REMAIN SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS PERSISTING TO ABOUT 09Z AT
MOST LOCATIONS. VARYING AND QUITE GUSTY IN AND NEAR HEAVY RAIN.
SCATTERED LARGE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES
AND TURBULENCE...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND HAIL. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AFTER 09-12Z E TO W WEDNESDAY WITH MVFR/IFR
CIGS PERSISTING TO AROUND 15Z OR SO. THEN...THE DRYLINE AND W TO NW
WINDS EXPECTED 15-18Z E TO W WITH VFR CIGS.
/24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  69  79  53  79  53 /  60  30  10   0   0
MLU  70  81  52  75  50 /  60  40  10   0   0
DEQ  56  70  43  76  46 /  80  50  10   0   0
TXK  66  74  49  77  52 /  80  40  10   0   0
ELD  66  75  47  77  48 /  80  50  10   0   0
TYR  65  75  52  78  54 /  60  10  10   0   0
GGG  67  79  51  78  52 /  60  20  10   0   0
LFK  69  82  53  82  51 /  40  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TXZ124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TXZ096-097-108>112.

&&

03/24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>151-271100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-MCCURTAIN-
BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-
GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-
1200 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN THIRD OF NORTHEAST
TEXAS...MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS ALL OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH 7 AM WEDNESDAY...

THE POTENTIAL EXIST FOR A VIOLENT OUTBREAK OF TORNADOES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN
LOUISIANA...INCLUDING SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN COMBINATION WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AND
HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF
SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE REGION WITH A VIOLENT AND POTENTIAL DEADLY
TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL
ALSO ACCOMPANY THE CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EXTREME
NORTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT...WHICH WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING
CONCERNS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THIS
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT.

LAZ017>022-TXZ152-153-165>167-271100-
SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-NACOGDOCHES-
SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1200 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE REGION. WITH A VERY
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH HAIL AND
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THIS THREAT WILL INCREASE AS WE
TRANSITION INTO THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON BUT
ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THE
POTENTIAL OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1038 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HAIL             4 SW CHENIERE           32.46N 92.33W
04/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       OUACHITA           LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON NEW NATCHITOCHES RD AT HIGHWAY 546.

&&

15

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1053 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENTON                  32.69N 93.74W
04/26/2011                   BOSSIER            LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN THE SWEETWATER SUBDIVISION NEAR
            BENTON.

&&

15

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1058 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1058 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RUSTON                  32.53N 92.64W
04/26/2011                   LINCOLN            LA   AMATEUR RADIO

            SOME BUILDINGS ON LA TECH CAMPUS BEGINNING TO FLOOD

&&

04

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