Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Watches in 2011

Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Springfield, MO

May 20, 201134 counties in Missouri; Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood watch at May 20, 2011, 11:05 AM CDT for 34 counties in Missouri; Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas. It was in force for 40 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2011, 11:05 AM CDT (16:05 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2011, 2:39 AM CDT
In force
40 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Flood severity
None
All 37 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 537 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 222 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
537 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-280 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
940 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
161 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

190 
WGUS63 KSGF 201605
FFASGF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1105 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

.SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AREA EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE GROUND REMAINS FAIRLY SATURATED FROM
RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-210015-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.A.0003.110520T1605Z-110521T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...
WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...
BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
1105 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND 
  MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...
  BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...
  DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...
  JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...
  MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...
  SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...
  WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR
  ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH SATURDAY
  MORNING. HIGH RAINFALL RATES AND TRAINING OF STORMS WILL LIKELY
  LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WIDESPREAD
  ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN AREAS WHICH CAN RECEIVE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
  HEAVY RAIN.  THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LINDENBERG
7 follow-up statements
896 
WGUS63 KSGF 210007
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
707 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

.ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO
SATURDAY MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL
OF RIVER FLOODING.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211800-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110521T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...
WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...
BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
707 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE 
  AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...
  CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...
  GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...
  MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...
  OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...
  STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
  EXCESS OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL ON ALREADY
  SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS RIVER
  FLOODING. 

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW WATER 
  CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

  THOSE CAMPING OR FLOATING ON AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
  RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

  THE ARMY CORP OF ENGINEERS ANNOUNCED THAT RELEASES FROM BEAVER
  AND TABLE ROCK LAKES MAY BE INCREASED AS A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL
  HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE DOWN STREAM FROM THESE DAMS INCLUDING LAKE
  TANEYCOMO SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROPER ACTION IF INCREASED
  RELEASES ARE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FOSTER
103 
WGUS63 KSGF 210844
FFASGF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
344 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

.AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE
GROUND IN MANY LOCATIONS ALREADY SATURATED...THIS ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211645-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...
WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...
BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
344 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE
  AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...
  CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...
  GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...
  MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...
  OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...
  STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT AS MORE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. HEAVY
  RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
  AS WELL AS RIVER FLOODING.

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

  THOSE CAMPING OR FLOATING ON AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
  RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

  THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS ANNOUNCED THAT RELEASES FROM BEAVER
  AND TABLE ROCK LAKES MAY BE INCREASED AS A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL
  HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE DOWN STREAM FROM THESE DAMS INCLUDING LAKE
  TANEYCOMO SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROPER ACTION IF INCREASED
  RELEASES ARE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

BOXELL
156 
WGUS63 KSGF 211452
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
952 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

.AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE
GROUND IN MANY LOCATIONS ALREADY SATURATED...THIS ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE
ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-212300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...
WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...
BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
952 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE 
  AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...
  CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...
  GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...
  MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...
  OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...
  STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND TONIGHT AS MORE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. HEAVY 
  RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO FLASH 
  FLOODING AS WELL AS RIVER FLOODING. 

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW WATER 
  CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

 THOSE CAMPING OR FLOATING ON AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
 RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

 THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS ANNOUNCED THAT RELEASES FROM BEAVER
 AND TABLE ROCK LAKES MAY BE INCREASED AS A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL
 HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE DOWN STREAM FROM THESE DAMS INCLUDING
 LAKE TANEYCOMO SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROPER ACTION IF
 INCREASED RELEASES ARE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GRIFFIN
866 
WGUS63 KSGF 212016
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
316 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

.AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE
GROUND IN MANY LOCATIONS ALREADY SATURATED...THIS ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE
ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-220430-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...
WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...
BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
316 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE 
  AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...
  CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...
  GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...
  MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...
  OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...
  STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND TONIGHT AS MORE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. HEAVY 
  RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO FLASH 
  FLOODING AS WELL AS RIVER FLOODING. 

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW WATER 
  CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

THOSE CAMPING OR FLOATING ON AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR 
RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS ANNOUNCED THAT RELEASES FROM BEAVER 
AND TABLE ROCK LAKES MAY BE INCREASED AS A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL 
HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE DOWN STREAM FROM THESE DAMS INCLUDING  LAKE
TANEYCOMO SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROPER ACTION IF  INCREASED
RELEASES ARE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LINDENBERG
211 
WGUS63 KSGF 220107
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
807 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

.SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT THE RISK OF
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS DECREASING. 

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221200-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...
WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...
BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
807 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE 
  AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...
  CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...
  GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...
  MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...
  OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...
  STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

* UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY

* SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL TO
  THE AREA TONIGHT. WHILE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT
  EXPECTED...ANY HEAVY RAIN ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS RIVER FLOODING.

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

THOSE CAMPING OR FLOATING ON AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS ANNOUNCED THAT RELEASES FROM BEAVER
AND TABLE ROCK LAKES MAY BE INCREASED AS A RESULT OF ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE DOWN STREAM FROM THESE DAMS INCLUDING  LAKE
TANEYCOMO SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROPER ACTION IF  INCREASED
RELEASES ARE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FOSTER
866 
WGUS63 KSGF 220251
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
951 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

KSZ097-101-MOZ070-071-077-079>083-088>098-101>106-220400-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-POLK-DALLAS-LACLEDE-TEXAS-
DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-
DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSBURG...BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...
FORT LEONARD WOOD...WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...BOLIVAR...
BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...
CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...
NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...
PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...
BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON
951 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
SOUTHERN MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...AND RESULTING FLOODING HAS
DECREASED TONIGHT.

$$

KSZ073-MOZ055>058-066>069-078-221200-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-
CAMDEN-CEDAR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...
VERSAILLES...ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...
APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...
EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON
951 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON. IN 
  MISSOURI...BENTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...HICKORY...MARIES...
  MILLER...MORGAN...ST. CLAIR AND VERNON.

* UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY

* SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL TO
  CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT. WHILE
  WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED...ANY HEAVY RAIN ON
  ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

* LOW LYING AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND LOW WATER 
  CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FOSTER
661 
WGUS63 KSGF 220739
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
239 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

KSZ073-MOZ055>058-066>069-078-220845-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-
CAMDEN-CEDAR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...
VERSAILLES...ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...
APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...
EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON
239 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT DID NOT MATERIALIZE...RESULTING IN NO ADDITIONAL
FLOODING. THOUGH ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ANY FLOODING THAT DOES OCCUR IS EXPECTED 
TO BE VERY LOCALIZED IN NATURE.

$$

BOXELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 20, 6:34 AM CDT, 4 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 20, 6:34 AM CDT, 4 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
634 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.UPDATE...

LOW LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO VEER SLIGHTLY AND LOW LEVEL UPGLIDE IS
RESULTING IN AN EXPANDED AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF WHAT IS BECOMING AN OUTFLOW DOMINATE LINE OF
STORMS EXITING CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE ON
THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET INTO THE MORNING HOURS. DECAYING
LINE OF STORMS WILL ALSO ENTER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH
TIME...THOUGH CONTINUE TO LOSE ITS PUNCH AS IT GETS FURTHER AND
FURTHER DISPLACED FROM BETTER UPPER SUPPORT. IN GENERAL...THINKING
THAT AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR WILL BE MOST
PRONE TO OBSERVING SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS MORNING.

MUCH OF THE REST OF THE DAY WILL GREATLY DEPEND ON HOW QUICKLY
EARLY DAY STORMS DISSIPATE. THIS WILL HAVE GREAT INFLUENCE ON
AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AS YET ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS GEARS UP TO
OUR WEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

GAGAN

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUITE CHALLENGING AND VERY LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST IN STORE FOR THE
COMING WEEK...AS MESSY AND COMPLEX PATTERN CONTINUES OVER THE
REGION.

EARLY THIS MORNING...LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOWS CONTINUE TO SPIN ACROSS
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND MID ATLANTIC REGION...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW
REMAINING ENTRENCHED OVER THE OZARKS.  CONVECTION THAT FIRED THURSDAY
EVENING FROM NEBRASKA TO TEXAS REMAINS SUPPORTED EARLY THIS MORNING
BY BROAD 40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. BEST
FORECAST FOR THIS CONVECTION IS FOR IT TO CONTINUE EAST THIS MORNING
AS THE LLJ VEERS A BIT...WITH LARGE MCS TRAVERSING THE OZARKS DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THE MORNING INTO AFTERNOON.  RIGHT NOW...DON'T
THINK THAT THE SEVERE THREAT IS TOO HIGH WITH THIS INITIAL COMPLEX
OF STORMS...WITH BULK SHEAR VALUES REMAINING SOMEWHAT MEAGER OVER
THE AREA...AND CONVECTION LIKELY REMAINING ELEVATED.

BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...DRYLINE SHOULD PARK ITSELF ACROSS THE I-35
CORRIDOR...AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION SLOWLY EJECTS EAST OVER THE PLAINS.  DRYLINE SHOULD SERVE TO FOCUS
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS LARGE SCALE LIFT AHEAD OF
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE INCREASES OVER CENTRAL KANSAS AND
OKLAHOMA.  RIGHT NOW...EXACT EVOLUTION AND STRENGTH OF THIS
CONVECTION REMAINS VERY MUCH IN QUESTION...WITH MUCH OF THE EVENTUAL
SCENARIO HINGING ON HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES THIS MORNING...AND
AIRMASS RECOVERY (OR LACK THEREOF) BEHIND THIS MORNING'S MCS(S).  IF
ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION CAN BE REALIZED ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
DRYLINE...THEN SEVERE CONVECTION APPEARS PROBABLE OVER KANSAS...AS
40 TO 50 KTS OF 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ORGANIZATION INTO LINE SEGMENTS/EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES.  FOR THE
SGF CWA...THINK THAT IF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL
KANSAS...THEY WILL BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN THEMSELVES INTO THE FAR
WESTERN CWA/U.S. 71 CORRIDOR.  THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY SEVERE
WEATHER THAT DOES OCCUR ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND
HAIL.  FURTHER EAST INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN OZARKS...SUSPECT
THAT BULK SHEAR WILL REMAIN A BIT LOW TO MAINTAIN THE SEVERE THREAT
THAT FAR EAST LATE TONIGHT/OVERNIGHT. NONETHELESS...EVEN IF STORMS
ARE SUB-SEVERE...THE ENTIRE CWA WILL HAVE A DECENT SHOT FOR
SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL...AS LATE NIGHT LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO FEED RICH
TROPICAL AIR INTO ANY CONVECTION OVER THE REGION.

AS ALLUDED TO ABOVE...OTHER PRIMARY CONCERN IS HEAVY RAIN/FLASH
FLOOD POTENTIAL TONIGHT/THRU THE WEEKEND. WITH PWAT VALUES WELL
ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGE...POTENTIAL IS CERTAINLY THERE FOR
FLOOD POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  ONLY REMAINING QUESTIONS ON
QPF REMAINS FORCING MECHANISMS AND MESOSCALE EVOLUTION OF CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES.  UNFORTUNATELY FOR THOSE IN THE FORECASTING
BUSINESS...SUCH DETAILS REMAIN VERY MURKY AT THIS DISTANCE.

HEADING INTO SATURDAY...ANY NOCTURNAL MCS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ON ITS
WAY EAST OF THE AREA.  ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY OVER THE CWA...THOUGH CHANCES AGAIN REMAIN CONDITIONAL BASED ON
DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION THAT CAN OCCUR.  THINK THAT THERE WILL BE
SOME SEVERE THREAT FOR THIS TIME PERIOD...WITH STRONG WINDS AND
PERHAPS SOME HAIL OCCURRING WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION.
AGAIN...THOUGH...SEVERE THREAT REMAINS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL ON DEGREE
AND AREAL EXTENT OF DESTABILIZATION.

SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE REGION TO BRIEFLY DRY
OUT...AS THE BULK OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY LIFTS NORTH OF THE
AREA.  RICH MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...HOWEVER...AND EXPECT TO
SEE MORE RAIN/THUNDER DEVELOP INTO MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING AND ON
TUESDAY...AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES.

FINAL SHORTWAVE PROGGED TO APPROACH THE AREA BY NEXT WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...AND WILL NEED TO WATCH SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WITH THIS
FEATURE AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.  STILL FAR TOO EARLY TO NAIL DOWN
THE SPECIFICS...BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A
SYNOPTIC PATTERN CONDUCIVE TO ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.

BOXELL

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 634 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011/

FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE...PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN DEALS WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. SCATTERED NATURE OF
SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY MAKES IT TOUGH TO PINPOINT TIMING...HOWEVER
SHOULD SEE AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST AFFECTING
JLN/SGF/BBG BY...ROUGHLY...THE MID MORNING HOURS. MVFR VIS/CIG
WILL ACCOMPANY ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE
VARIABLE. ADDITIONAL SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
KANSAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A RISK FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO
ENTER THE REGION THIS EVENING AND HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP
AT EACH SITE FOR NOW.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 20, 5:50 AM CDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
550 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
550 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...SIGNIFICANT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE
  DAYTIME HOURS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
  WEATHER APPEARS TO BE LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. 71 AS STRONG STORMS MOVE EAST FROM
  CENTRAL KANSAS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL
  BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
  MPH...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

  MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL
  FOR HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY WHERE MULTIPLE STORMS MOVE OVER THE
  SAME LOCATION. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER FLOOD
  PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEARLY EVERY DAY
  THROUGH THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK PERIOD. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY
  OCCUR SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY AGAIN ON SUNDAY...WITH STRAIGHT LINE
  WINDS AND LARGE HAIL REMAINING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

  DAILY CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN A RISK FOR FLASH
  FLOODING...AS WELL AS RISES ON AREA RIVERS. FLOODING POTENTIAL
  WILL BE MAXIMIZED FOR THOSE LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE MULTIPLE
  ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
  TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF THE U.S. 71
  CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BOXELL

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 20, 8:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
815 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 AM     HAIL             2 S JOPLIN              37.06N 94.51W
05/20/2011  E0.50 INCH       JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT 32ND STREET AND MAIN ST
            INTERSECTION.

&&

JCOLUCCI
Local storm report, May 20, 8:36 AM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
836 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 AM     HAIL             JOPLIN                  37.08N 94.51W
05/20/2011  M0.88 INCH       JASPER             MO   STORM CHASER

&&

LINDENBERG
Special weather statement, May 20, 9:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
932 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

MOZ055-067-068-201515-
BENTON MO-HICKORY MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
932 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EASTERN ST. CLAIR...NORTHWESTERN
HICKORY AND SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM CDT...

AT 930 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GERSTER...OR 17 MILES WEST OF HERMITAGE...
MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  8 MILES WEST OF QUINCY BY 935 AM CDT.
  HARPER AND OSCEOLA BY 940 AM CDT.
  ICONIUM AND 7 MILES EAST OF LOWRY CITY BY 945 AM CDT.
  RACKET BY 1005 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT INCLUDE TRUMAN
LAKE.

LAT...LON 3836 9338 3789 9349 3790 9376 3821 9374
      3821 9357 3822 9357 3822 9356 3821 9353
      3836 9352 3837 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 1432Z 189DEG 38KT 3797 9363

GRIFFIN
Special weather statement, May 20, 10:47 AM CDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1047 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

MOZ094-102-201615-
BARRY MO-LAWRENCE MO-
1047 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LAWRENCE AND NORTHWESTERN BARRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 AM CDT...

AT 1046 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTH OF MONETT...MOVING NORTH AT 45
MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HOBERG BY 1055 AM CDT.
  STOTTS CITY AND MOUNT VERNON BY 1100 AM CDT.
  MILLER AND 9 MILES EAST OF RED OAK BY 1110 AM CDT.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 34 AND 57 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY
THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3723 9402 3723 9363 3682 9382 3683 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 1548Z 194DEG 38KT 3699 9392
Special weather statement, May 20, 10:53 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1053 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

MOZ055-056-068-069-201645-
BENTON MO-CAMDEN MO-HICKORY MO-MORGAN MO-
1053 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN HICKORY...NORTHWESTERN
CAMDEN...SOUTHERN BENTON AND SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 1145
AM CDT...

AT 1050 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HERMITAGE...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CROSS TIMBERS BY 1100 AM CDT.
  FRISTOE BY 1105 AM CDT.
  EDWARDS BY 1110 AM CDT.
  7 MILES WEST OF KNOBBY AND 8 MILES EAST OF WHITAKERVILLE BY 1115 AM
  CDT.
  HASTAIN AND LAKEVIEW HEIGHTS BY 1120 AM CDT.
  EDMONSON AND ZORA BY 1125 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT INCLUDE LAKE OF THE
OZARKS AND TRUMAN LAKE.

LAT...LON 3837 9346 3832 9293 3791 9312 3794 9345
TIME...MOT...LOC 1553Z 192DEG 38KT 3797 9328

GRIFFIN
Local storm report, May 20, 11:04 AM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1104 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     HAIL             NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
05/20/2011  M0.88 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

&&

JCOLUCCI

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:54 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFCamden, Maries, Miller, Morgan, Phelps, Pulaski6 hr
May 20, 7:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper34 min
May 20, 8:13 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBarton, Jasper47 min
May 20, 8:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Vernon41 min
May 20, 8:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper38 min
May 20, 8:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Cedar, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence42 min
May 20, 8:38 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarton, Jasper, Newton4 hr
May 20, 9:03 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarton, Cedar, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, Vernon4 hr
May 20, 9:20 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFVernon42 hr
May 20, 9:20 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFVernon13 hr
May 20, 9:32 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFSt. Clair43 min
May 20, 10:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFLawrence28 min
May 20, 10:51 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCedar, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair2 hr
May 20, 10:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBenton, Hickory52 min
May 20, 1:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFChristian, Taney42 min
May 20, 2:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFOregon40 min
May 20, 2:41 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney6 hr
May 20, 2:54 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Miller, Morgan6 hr
May 20, 2:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFOregon49 min
May 20, 3:05 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBenton, Cedar, Dade, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair6 hr
May 20, 3:41 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFCedar41 hr
May 20, 3:41 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFBates, Vernon19 hr
May 20, 7:35 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFCherokee25 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Kansas, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.