Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

June 28, 2011Caswell County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this special weather statement at Jun 28, 2011, 6:42 PM EDT for Caswell County, North Carolina. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 28, 2011, 6:42 PM EDT (22:42 UTC)
Expired: Jun 28, 2011, 7:45 PM EDT
In force: 63 min
Issued by: NWS Blacksburg, VA

County Caswell County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 987 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -101 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1003 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 28, 3:26 PM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 3:26 PM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
326 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT BEFORE
EXITING BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND
IT BRINGING A RETURN TO LESS HUMID CONDITIONS UNTIL THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
COLD FRONT ACROSS KY WILL SLIDE EAST REACHING THE BLUE RIDGE AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND THEN PROGRESS EAST OF THE CWA BY MORNING. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR BANDS OF TSRA STARTING IN THE MOUNTAINS ALONG RESIDUAL
OUTFLOW THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN LIKELY JUMPING OUT TO THE PIEDMONT
THIS EVENING WHERE THE FLOW IS BACKED AND INSTABILITY HIGHEST. THIS
IN LINE WITH MOST GUIDANCE WHICH BASICALLY SHOWS A NEARLY SOLID LINE
MOVING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INTO THE LEE TROF THIS EVENING. THUS
HAVE UPPED POPS TO HIGH LIKELYS/LOW END CATEGORICAL FAR WEST AND
ACROSS THE EAST INCLUDING PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE WITH HIGH CHANCE
COVERAGE IN BETWEEN WHERE THINK THE WESTERLY FLOW MAY LIMIT TO MORE
SCATTERED NATURE. HIGH DCAPES WILL AGAIN PROMOTE POTENTIAL WIND
DAMAGE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL PENDING
ORGANIZATION. APPEARS THE MAJORITY OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE EXITING
THE SE PIEDMONT SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT IF NOT SOONER ESPCLY IF A
MORE ORGANIZED LINE FORMS AND AIDS THE SE PUSH VIA DENSITY. HOWEVER
THE MUCH DRIER AIR WILL LIKELY GET HUNG UP CROSSING THE FAR WEST
UNTIL LATE PER ONLY SLOW SOUTHWARD PUSH TO THE ACTUAL FRONT. THUS
DESPITE CLEARING WENT CLOSER TO THE WARMER MET MOS WITH LOWS MOSTLY
IN THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 WEST AND MID 60S PIEDMONT.

UPPER TROF SWINGS ACROSS WED WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SLIDING
TO THE SE ALLOWING DECENT SUBSIDENCE AND MUCH DRIER AIR TO WORK IN.
THIS SHOULD MAKE FOR A MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE DAY WITH LOWER
TEMPS/HUMIDITY AND MAINLY SUNNY SKIES OUTSIDE OF EARLY CLOUDS/FOG IN
SPOTS FOLLOWED BY SOME AFTERNOON CU. WENT ON THE COOL SIDE OF MOS
NW GIVEN THE COOLER 85H TEMPS ALONG THE SPINE OF THE APPS AND OUT
EAST WHERE THE FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHERLY. OTRW MOS PRETTY CLOSE
AND BASICALLY FOLLOWED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CONTINENTAL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDES A COOLER AND
COMFORTABLE END OF THE WEEK BEFORE UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS EAST. TEMPS
COULD FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S ACROSS SOME OF THE SHELTERED
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THURSDAY NIGHT ALSO HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BE ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT. AIRMASS SHOULD REMAIN DRY
ENOUGH TO STUNT ANY DIURNAL CONVECTION FRIDAY AFTERNOON DESPITE
HIGH TEMPS MOVING CLOSER TO 90F AGAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRETCH OF HOT AND INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. AS DEWPOINTS INCREASE AND AIRMASS BECOMES
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE...ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
WITH A WEAK FRONT PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION INTO MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT. WITH H85 TEMPS CROSSING +20C...SOME UPPER 90S
MAY EVENT BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND SOUTHSIDE LATE
WEEKEND. COLD FRONT ARRIVING AT THE END OF THE FORECAST DOESNT
LOOK TO PROVIDE MUCH RELIEF WITH THE UPPER HIGH BEGINNNG TO CLOSE
OFF OVER THE SE CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WELL MIXED WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOST SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING
JUST WEST OF KBLF ALONG OLD OUTFLOW AIDED BY DIFF HEATING. STILL
EXPECTING SOME OF THIS COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP EAST BEFORE
POSSIBLY JUMPING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WHERE EVENTUALLY SHOULD
SEE A BROKEN LINE DEVELOP. THUS WILL INCLUDE MORE OF A TSRA
MENTION EITHER IN PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUPS ACROSS SE WVA/KDAN
AND LESS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE NEAR KROA WITH -SHRA/CB MENTION ELSW.

OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL UNDER
SCTD/BKN CU EXCEPT OVER THE EAST WHERE CLOUDS MAY BE MORE
EXPANSIVE AS DEEPER CONVECTION DEVELOPS.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT BUT
DRIER AIR MAY BE SLOWER IN ARRIVING ESPECIALLY IN THE PIEDMONT.
WITH SHOWERS AROUND INTO THE EVENING...SOME MVFR OR IFR FOG IS
POSSIBLE AT MOST SITES LATE TONIGHT BUT WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD
INCLUDING THE LOWEST VSBYS AT SITES THAT DO RECEIVE EARLIER
RAINFALL.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA FOR MID WEEK...RESULTING IN
MOSTLY DRY WX THROUGH SUNDAY. ASIDE FROM SOME LATE NIGHT FOG
ALONG THE RIVERS...PRIMARILY IN THE MTNS...LOOKING AT VFR
CONDITIONS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH/WP
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...KM
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...JH/PM/WP

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 9:31 AM EDT, 9 hours 11 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
931 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

VAZ007-009>014-017>020-022>024-WVZ042>045-291345-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
931 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ015-016-032>035-043>047-058-059-291345-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-GRAYSON-CARROLL-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
931 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 5:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TROUTVILLE              37.41N 79.88W
06/28/2011                   BOTETOURT          VA   PUBLIC

            MANY TREES DOWN.

&&

TW

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 5:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
519 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

VAZ016-032-033-043-282215-
CARROLL VA-FRANKLIN VA-HENRY VA-PATRICK VA-
519 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CARROLL...FRANKLIN...HENRY AND
PATRICK COUNTIES...

AT 514 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM ROCKY
MOUNT TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARARAT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR ROCKY MOUNT AROUND 525 PM...BUFFALO RIDGE
AROUND 530 PM...STUART AROUND 545 PM...FAIRY STONE STATE PARK AROUND
555 PM...AND CRITZ AROUND 610 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3664 8068 3674 8049 3672 8047 3675 8045
      3674 8040 3679 8039 3703 7993 3701 7960
      3698 7961 3655 8010

AMS

Local storm report, Jun 28, 5:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
533 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CATAWBA                 37.38N 80.12W
06/28/2011                   ROANOKE            VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE BRANCHES DOWN NEWPORT ROAD. REPORT VIA WDBJ

&&

EH

Local storm report, Jun 28, 5:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
537 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW CATAWBA           37.40N 80.13W
06/28/2011                   CRAIG              VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE BRANCHES DOWN NEWPORT ROAD. REPORT VIA WDBJ

&&

EH

Local storm report, Jun 28, 6:21 PM EDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
621 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW REIDSVILLE         36.36N 79.69W
06/28/2011                   ROCKINGHAM         NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN.

&&

KM

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 6:42 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
642 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

NCZ006-282345-
CASWELL NC-
642 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CASWELL COUNTY...

AT 639 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF
CAMP SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BETHEL AROUND 700 PM...JERICHO AROUND 715
PM...PROVIDENCE AROUND 730 PM...YANCEYVILLE AROUND 735 PM AND TOPNOT
AROUND 745 PM.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

LAT...LON 3625 7952 3638 7953 3647 7952 3654 7925
      3654 7922 3624 7916

AMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 27, 8:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Bland, Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe	55 min
Jun 27, 8:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Patrick	47 min
Jun 27, 9:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	City of Martinsville	39 min
Jun 27, 9:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Pittsylvania	41 min
Jun 27, 10:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Pittsylvania	50 min
Jun 28, 3:13 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Floyd, Henry, Patrick, City of Martinsville	62 min
Jun 28, 2:34 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Tazewell	56 min
Jun 28, 2:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Bland, Giles, Tazewell	46 min
Jun 28, 3:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Giles	65 min
Jun 28, 3:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Craig	64 min
Jun 28, 3:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	City of Buena Vista	63 min
Jun 28, 3:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	City of Martinsville	62 min
Jun 28, 3:50 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Giles	5 hr
Jun 28, 4:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Botetourt, Craig, Montgomery, Roanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem	58 min
Jun 28, 4:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Franklin, Henry, Patrick, City of Martinsville	54 min
Jun 28, 4:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Charlotte, Halifax	27 min
Jun 28, 4:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Amherst, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington	54 min
Jun 28, 4:40 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Tazewell	4 hr
Jun 28, 5:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Franklin	28 min
Jun 28, 5:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Bedford, Botetourt, Franklin, Roanoke, Rockbridge	55 min
Jun 28, 5:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Martinsville	25 min
Jun 28, 5:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Franklin, Patrick	56 min
Jun 28, 5:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Franklin, Henry, Patrick	61 min
Jun 28, 5:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Amherst, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg	63 min
Jun 28, 5:51 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Appomattox, Buckingham	54 min
Jun 28, 6:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Amherst, Appomattox, Campbell, City of Lynchburg	29 min
Jun 28, 6:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Charlotte, Halifax	65 min
Jun 28, 6:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Appomattox, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax	40 min
Jun 28, 6:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Appomattox, Buckingham	45 min
Jun 28, 7:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Halifax, City of Danville	52 min
Jun 28, 7:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Henry	64 min
Jun 27, 8:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Stokes	44 min
Jun 27, 9:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Caswell	51 min
Jun 27, 9:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Rockingham, Stokes	60 min
Jun 27, 10:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Caswell, Rockingham	43 min
Jun 28, 4:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes	64 min
Jun 28, 4:57 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RNK	Watauga	3 hr
Jun 28, 5:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Wilkes	59 min
Jun 28, 6:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Rockingham	60 min
Jun 28, 6:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Surry, Yadkin	38 min
Jun 28, 6:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Surry, Yadkin	56 min
Jun 28, 6:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Surry, Yadkin	49 min
Jun 28, 6:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Caswell, Rockingham	62 min
Jun 28, 7:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Caswell	61 min
Jun 28, 1:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Mercer	36 min
Jun 28, 3:46 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Greenbrier	29 min
Jun 28, 1:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Mercer, Summers	61 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.