Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
646 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE AREA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH
DRIER AIR ARRIVING EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAD JUST EXITED THE EASTERN COUNTY
WARNING AREA. RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
GRAYSON COUNTY INTO THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.
ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING EAST OUT OF KENTUCKY IS EXPECTED
TO REACH THE SOUTHWEST COUNTY WARNING AREA BY 8PM. SOME STORMS
WILL WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING AFTER SUNSET BUT COVERAGE
WILL STILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED OVERNIGHT.

THE SFC FRONT ACROSS THIS AFTN WAS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT SEWD TOWARD THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

OUTSIDE OF THE STORMS WILL SEE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS
TONIGHT WHICH SHOULD HOLD TEMPS UP IN THE 60S FOR
LOWS....ESPECIALLY SINCE THE SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE
60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SUNDAY...LEANING TOWARD A GFS/ECMWF BLEND WILL SEE THE FRONT SLIDE
ACROSS THE CWA AND BE EAST OF US BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE FRONT
SHOULD FOCUS ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG/AHEAD OF IT
IN THE MORNING OVER THE MTNS AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE IN THE
AFTN BEFORE DRIER/STABLE AIR ARRIVE.

WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND MIXED IN WITH SOME SUNSHINE...WENT
WITH A LITTLE COOLER ON HIGHS THAN MAV MOS...WITH LOWER 80S MTNS
TO NEAR 90 OUT EAST.

A CHANGE IN AIR MASS WILL BE NOTICED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS
THE FRONT STAYS SOUTHEAST OF US. LOOK FOR HIGH PRESSURE TO NOSE
SWD INTO THE AREA THIS PERIOD WITH LESS HUMID AIR.

SHOULD SEE LOWS BY TUESDAY MORNING IN THE 40S IN THE MTNS...WITH
50S IN THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC WILL BE OVER THE NE TUE NIGHT-WED WITH A
TROF OFF THE EAST COAST. THIS WILL BE PROVIDING SOME COOLER WEATHER
EARLY IN THE PERIOD. 00Z ECWMF/06Z GFS SEEM OUT OF PHASE MOST OF
THIS PERIOD...BUT SHOW A STRONGER SHORTWAVE PUSHING INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY BY 12Z/8AM THURSDAY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE PROGRESSING
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY THIS TIME
INCREASING THE CHANCES OF RAIN...WITH SFC HIGH OFF THE EAST COAST
RETURNING THE FLOW AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH.

UPPER LEVEL 5H PATTERN STAYS FASTER THIS PERIOD AND FLATTER SO TEMPS
SHOULD BE ABOUT OR JUST BELOW NORMAL EARLY THEN AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
BY SAT.

THIS FRONT IS FORECAST BY HPC TO SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THU NIGHT INTO FRIDAY THEN STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE CWA SAT. THIS
LINES UP WITH A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF AS THE GFS KEEPS THE FRONT
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC WHILE THE ECMWF DROPS IT SOUTH.
WITH THIS IN MIND WILL HOLD ONTO POPS FROM WED LATE AFTN THRU SAT
WITH BEST CHANCE THU-FRI.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
KBCB AWOS IS NOT TRANSMITTING DUE TO A LIGHTNING STRIKE THURSDAY
EVENING. WILL USE AMEND NOT SKED IN THE TAF UNTIL COMMS IS RE-
ESTABLISHED.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AREA EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THROUGH 15Z ON SUNDAY WILL
ONLY INCLUDE THUNDER AND CB IN THE TAF IF RADAR TRENDS INDICATE
IMMINENT IMPACT ON THE AIRPORTS. AFTER 15Z SUNDAY EXPECT MORE
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE AS THE FRONT GOES THROUGH SO TAFS WILL INCLUDE
A FEW HOURS OF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WITH THUNDER...HEAVY
RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS.

THE FRONT THAT COMES THROUGH ON SUNDAY AND SHOULD TURN THE WIND TO
THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY ALONG WITH
BRINGING IN A LESS HUMID AIR MASS. AS SUCH...SHOULD SEE A LULL IN
SHRA/TSTM ACTIVITY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AND POSSIBLY
WEDNESDAY. RETURN FLOW WITH MOISTURE COMING BACK INTO THE REGION
FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL RENEW POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON POP UP
SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY THURSDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...AMS
SHORT TERM...RCS/WP
LONG TERM...WP
AVIATION...AMS/WP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
340 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-120745-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
340 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 200 PM.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
616 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0226 PM     HAIL             4 SSW MEADOWS OF DAN    36.68N 80.45W
06/11/2011  E0.50 INCH       PATRICK            VA   COCORAHS

0243 PM     HAIL             1 ESE PIPERS GAP        36.65N 80.81W
06/11/2011  E1.25 INCH       CARROLL            VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HAIL BROKE WINDOWS OUT. TREE LIMBS ALSO DOWNED.

0304 PM     HAIL             2 SW ROCKY MOUNT        36.98N 79.91W
06/11/2011  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO SMALL LIMBS DOWN.

0438 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNW ELKIN             36.33N 80.88W
06/11/2011                   WILKES             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF
            PLEASANT RIDGE ROAD AND OLD HIGHWAY 21.

&&

WHP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
626 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSW EDEN              36.44N 79.77W
06/11/2011                   ROCKINGHAM         NC   PUBLIC

            A TREE FELL TAKING DOWN POWER LINES.

&&

WHP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
627 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE SPRING MILLS      37.25N 78.92W
06/11/2011                   CAMPBELL           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE CAMPBELL COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTS THAT TWO
            TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ON SPRING MILL ROAD...BLOCKING THE
            ROAD. DIME SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED AT THAT LOCATION.

&&

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
643 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE ROCKY MOUNT        37.06N 79.84W
06/11/2011                   FRANKLIN           VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5-6 TREES BLOWN DOWN.

&&

WHP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
656 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

NCZ001-002-018-019-112330-
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-
656 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ALLEGHANY...ASHE...WATAUGA AND
WILKES COUNTIES...

AT 655 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST
OF LAUREL SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR LAUREL SPRINGS AROUND 705 PM...TWIN OAKS
AROUND 715 PM...MC GRADY AROUND 720 PM...DOUGHTON PARK AROUND 725 PM
AND ABSHERS AROUND 730 PM.

LAT...LON 3658 8123 3657 8122 3657 8113 3651 8092
      3644 8098 3622 8133 3627 8168