Severe Thunderstorm Warning 408, NWS Blacksburg, VA

435 
WWUS51 KRNK 061649
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1249 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VAC161-061658-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0408.000000T0000Z-110706T1730Z/
ROANOKE VA-
1249 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED INTO FRANKLIN COUNTY. 
THEREFORE...THE WARNING FOR SOUTHEAST ROANOKE COUNTY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3697 7982 3711 8002 3714 7996 3715 7995
      3719 7987 3716 7971 3715 7970 3715 7967
      3713 7966
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 304DEG 10KT 3713 7989

$$

VAC067-061730-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0408.000000T0000Z-110706T1730Z/
FRANKLIN VA-
1249 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY...

AT 1246 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BOONES MILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOONES MILL...
  WIRTZ...
  BURNT CHIMNEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

IF ON OR NEAR THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET 
OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. 
REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT 
THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE 
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. DON'T BE CAUGHT ON 
THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM!

&&

LAT...LON 3697 7982 3711 8002 3714 7996 3715 7995
      3719 7987 3716 7971 3715 7970 3715 7967
      3713 7966
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 304DEG 10KT 3713 7989

$$

DS

386 
WWUS51 KRNK 061708
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
108 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VAC067-061730-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0408.000000T0000Z-110706T1730Z/
FRANKLIN VA-
108 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY...

AT 104 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR WIRTZ...OR NEAR BOONES MILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BURNT CHIMNEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

IF ON OR NEAR THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET 
OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. 
REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT 
THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE 
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. DON'T BE CAUGHT ON 
THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM!

&&

LAT...LON 3697 7982 3708 7997 3718 7982 3716 7971
      3715 7970 3715 7967 3713 7966
TIME...MOT...LOC 1708Z 304DEG 10KT 3708 7986

$$

DS

613 
WWUS51 KRNK 061722
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
122 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VAC067-061732-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0408.000000T0000Z-110706T1730Z/
FRANKLIN VA-
122 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 130 PM EDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW 
SEVERE LIMITS. THUS THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. THE STORM 
WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAIN...AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG AT...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. ONCE AGAIN
THAT NUMBER IS 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

LAT...LON 3697 7982 3708 7997 3718 7982 3716 7971
      3715 7970 3715 7967 3713 7966
TIME...MOT...LOC 1722Z 304DEG 10KT 3706 7982

$$

DS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1124 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT
RESULTING IN MORE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO LATE THIS
EVENING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT DROPS IN FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY BEFORE DRIFTING SOUTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS TO THE REGION TOWARD THE LATTER HALF OF THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND BRINGING HOTTER AND DRIER WEATHER BY SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
KFCX RADAR AND SATELLITE PICTURES SHOWED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OVER THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE AND NEW RIVER VALLEY ALONG AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE EARLIER SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA. SPS ANALYSIS AT 14Z/10AM SHOWED A WEAK CAP AND CAPES
AROUND 1000 J/KG IN THE FOOTHILLS. EXPECT COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTY
WARNING AREA THROUGH 3PM. WILL MENTION THE CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN
WITH THE STORMS TODAY SINCE STORM MOTION IS ONLY AROUND 10 KNOTS
AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WERE NEAR 1.5 INCHES ON THE AREA
SOUNDINGS THIS MORNING.

WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWED A SHORT WAVE OVER OHIO WITH THE TAIL OF
THE WAVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE
AREA...STORMS MAY BECOME MORE ORGANIZED INTO LINES AND CLUSTERS
ENOUGH TO PUSH ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE COUNTY WARNING AREA.
RUC...HRRR AND LOCAL WRF ALL HAVE THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY BOUT
02Z/10PM. HAVE ADJUSTED PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THIS
TIMING.

MODELS WERE SHOWING SOME DRYING ALOFT MAY WORK IN BEHIND THIS
FEATURE OVER THE NORTH LATE WHILE SHRA MAY BE SLOW TO EXIT THE SE
UNLESS THINGS ORGANIZE MORE DURING THE EVENING AND MOVE FARTHER SE
PER THE LATEST NAM.

SINCE THIS LOOKS A BIT FAST GIVEN SO MUCH MOISTURE AROUND...WILL
LEAVE IN CHANCE POPS SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW TEMPS LIKELY JUST A
LITTLE COOLER PRIMARILY DUE TO EARLIER CONVECTION...AND SLIGHTLY
LOWER DEWPOINTS OUTSIDE THE PIEDMONT BUT STILL MAINLY IN THE 60S
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IN THE OHIO VALLEY WILL HAVE A SURFACE WAVE
TRACKING ALONG IT ON THURSDAY. THIS WAVES WILL TRACK WEST OF THE
REGION. THE AREA WILL BE IN THE WARM AND HUMID SECTOR AND WITH A
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND AFTERNOON HEATING...CONVECTION WILL START ALONG
THE BLUE RIDGE DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON...SPREAD TO THE FOOTHILLS
IN THE MID AFTERNOON...THEN INTO THE PIEDMONT DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. OUT FLOW FROM THE BLUE RIDGE STORMS WILL BRING SCATTERED
CONVECTION TO THE REST OF THE MOUNTAINS. SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A SECONDARY THREAT WILL BE FLASH FLOODING AS
PWATS RUN ABOVE NORMAL AND STORM MOTION WILL BE SLOW.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER SURFACE
WAVE WILL TRACK ALONG THIS FRONT BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE REGION. THE HIGHEST POSSIBILITY WILL BE ALONG THE
VA/NC BORDER TO INCLUDE SOUTHSIDE VA. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND FLASH FLOOD POSSIBLE. THE THETA-E BOUNDARY REMAINS TO THE NORTH
FRIDAY. WITH AFTERNOON HEATING...THE REST OF THE AREA COULD SEE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH ONLY A FEW BECOMING SEVERE.

TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AS AFTERNOON STORMS
FIRE EARLY. OUT EAST...UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S LIKELY. FRIDAY WILL BE
A TAD COOLER WITH THE FRONT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
DURING THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST WE ANTICIPATE THE PREVAILING
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WILL TRANSITION FROM A GENERAL
TROUGHINESS OVER THE EASTERN U.S. TO A PATTERN OF A BUILDING UPPER
HIGH OVER THE REGION. ANTICIPATE GENEROUS SCATTERED COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STAYS OVER OR CLOSE TO THE REGION AND ACTS AS A
FOCUS FOR DAILY SHOWERS AND STORMS. BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THE FRONT WILL BE SHUNTED TO THE SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVERHEAD. ANTICIPATE A WARMING TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH DECREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. STAYED CLOSE THE HPC
NUMBERS FOR TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK WAVE WORKING ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUES TO KEEP CONVECTION
REDEVELOPING ESPCLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND NW SECTIONS. EXPECT SOME
OF THIS TO LINGER THRU MID MORNING OR SO BEFORE HEATING CAUSES THE
SHRA TO BRIEFLY FADE BEFORE RENEWED CONVECTION GETS GOING AROUND
MIDDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THEREFORE WILL NEED TO INCLUDE A
PREVAILING SHRA FROM KBLF/KLWB EAST TO KLYH THIS MORNING AND
PERHAPS KBCB PENDING HOW FAR EAST THIS NEW AREA OF SHRA MAKES IT.
OTRW GIVEN UNCERTAINTY WILL TEMPO IN A COUPLE HOURS OF MVFR IN
SHRA/TSRA INCLUDING A BIT OF MVFR IN FOG TO INIT AT A COUPLE OF
THE WESTERN SITES EARLY THIS MORNING.

ANY FOG WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY BY MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY GIVE
WAY TO A SCTD/BKN CU FIELD FOR MOST LOCATIONS BY MIDDAY AS THE
INITIAL WAVE PASSES. HOWEVER CLOUDS AND PERHAPS ISOLATED CONVECTION
MAY LINGER AROUND IN SPOTS AND ACT TO DELAY LATER COVERAGE A BIT.
OTRW PLAN TO KEEP IN GOING CB MENTION MOST SPOTS AND INCLUDE A
VCTS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE AND POINTS EAST WHERE BETTER POTENTIAL
LOOKS TO EXIST FOR MORE SCTD TO ORGANIZED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOULD SEE TSRA EXIT THIS EVENING ALLOWING A BIT OF DRYING ALOFT
WHICH MAY GIVE WAY TO SOME CLEARING OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL SPELL
MORE IN THE WAY OF FOG ESPCLY IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER HEAVIER
CONVECTION SO TAKING JUST ABOUT ALL SPOTS DOWN TO MVFR VSBYS LATE
AND IFR OR WORSE AT SPOTS LIKE KLWB/KBCB/KLYH PENDING RAINFALL TODAY.

ANTICIPATE DAILY THREAT OF SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AS A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER OR NEAR THE
AREA. INCREASED RIDGING ALOFT MAY FINALLY SHUT DOWN THE DAILY
CONVECTIVE REGIME ON SUNDAY.

LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING PATCHY FOG AND MVFR CIGS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS RESIDUAL MOISTURE FROM THE PREVIOUS DAYS CONVECTION
CONDENSES UNDER THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...DS
AVIATION...AMS/JH/WP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1137 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009-010-012>017-022>024-032>035-043>047-
058-059-071100-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
FLOYD-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
1137 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN
ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STORMS
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ011-018>020-WVZ042>045-071100-
GILES-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
1137 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STORMS RESULTING IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1222 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VAZ022-033-061645-
FRANKLIN VA-ROANOKE VA-
1222 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT FRANKLIN AND ROANOKE COUNTIES...

AT 1220 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF
BOONES MILL...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. DO NOT
STAY IN THE OPEN OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THIS STORM WILL STAY OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF ROANOKE COUNTY AND
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3718 7980 3709 7988 3716 8002 3721 7996

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1223 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

VAZ043-061700-
HENRY VA-
1223 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HENRY COUNTY...

AT 1220 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF
BASSETT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. DO NOT
STAY IN THE OPEN OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR SANVILLE AROUND 1230 PM AND STANLEYTOWN
AROUND 100 PM.

LAT...LON 3671 8009 3672 8010 3674 8008 3674 8010
      3678 8010 3679 8008 3675 7994 3667 8000

DS