Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Charleston, WV

592 
WWUS51 KRLX 082019
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
419 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

KYC019-043-089-127-OHC087-WVC011-099-082030-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110408T2030Z/
LAWRENCE KY-BOYD KY-CARTER KY-GREENUP KY-LAWRENCE OH-CABELL WV-
WAYNE WV-
419 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENUP...EAST CENTRAL CARTER...BOYD AND NORTH
CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTH CENTRAL LAWRENCE
COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND NORTHWESTERN WAYNE AND EXTREME WEST
CENTRAL CABELL COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 417 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR GARNER...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF CANNONSBURG...MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CATLETTSBURG...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...DURBIN...CEREDO...BUCHANAN...
LOCKWOOD...BURLINGTON...BURNAUGH...CENTERVILLE...CHESAPEAKE AND
HUNTINGTON

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...I-64 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 168 AND 191 IN KENTUCKY...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 9 IN
WEST VIRGINIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA
AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3830 8304 3841 8289 3850 8274 3843 8241
      3813 8254
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 287DEG 34KT 3829 8267

$$

03

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
245 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH THIS EVENING. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STALLED FRONT WILL REMAIN THE STORY MAKER IN THE NEAR TERM AS NOW
FOCUS TURNS TO THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. ALREADY STORMS BEGINNING TO
FORM IN A LINE PARALLEL TO I64 CORRIDOR FROM CRW TO HTS. EXPECTING
THIS LINE TO DEVELOP BACK INTO KY AND POSSIBLY SOUTHERN OHIO SOUTH
OF THE WARM FRONT. STORM ENVIRONMENT IN KY HAS BEEN PRIMED MOST OF
THE MORNING BY MAINLY CLEAR SKIES BEING ABLE TO HEAT THE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND ELIMINATE THE CAP THAT EXISTED EARLY.

AS STORMS DEVELOP...AND PLOD EASTWARD...EXPECTING THEM TO PRIMARILY
EFFECT SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA WITH POTENTIALLY SEVERE WINDS AND
DAMAGING HAIL. EVEN THOUGH PWS ARE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE...1.2 TO
1.4 INCHES...AND FFG VALUES ARE FAIRLY HIGH...WILL NEED TO REMAIN
VIGILANT WHEN IT COMES TO TRAINING OF INDIVIDUAL CELLS AND WATER
ISSUES.

AFTER STORMS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING...BOUNDARY STICKS AROUND AND WILL
SPARK ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY. EXPECTING THIS
ACTIVITY TO REMAIN FURTHER SOUTH THAN ACTIVITY THIS EVENING. WILL
REMAIN WARM FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND...STUCK FAIRLY CLOSE
TO GUIDANCE IN THAT REGARD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
5H RIDGE BUILD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AS TROUGH DIGS INTO THE MIDWEST
PORTION OF THE UNITED STATES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. BAROCLINIC ZONE
THAT HAS BEEN HANGING AROUND THE PAST FEW DAYS FINALLY SHIFTS NORTH
OF THE  FORECAST AREA AS A WARM FRONT IN RESPONSE TO THE INCREASED
RIDGING. FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN IN WARM SECTOR...WITH DECENT WAA
CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS IN FAIRLY CLOSE AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING DEVELOPMENT OF CYCLONE OVER THE MIDWEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.  COLD FRONT TO CROSS ON MONDAY...AND MODELS SHOW SIMILAR
SOLUTION IN TIMING FRONT ACROSS KY AND WV.

MADE FEW CHANGES TO THE OVERALL FORECAST PACKAGE...WITH GFS SOLUTION
THE PREFERENCE THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FOLLOWED HPC THINKING WITH SOME MINOR TWEAKS.  SYSTEM WILL PUSH EAST
TUESDAY...ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT.  THIS HIGH WILL THEN PUSH EAST THURSDAY...ALLOWING A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BEING TO APPROACH THE AREA.

AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES WILL END TUESDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER
ANTICIPATED INTO THURSDAY.  EXPECT PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL THEN
INCREASE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS WESTERN SYSTEM APPROACHES.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN BEGINNING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN OH AND E KY AT FIRST...BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD
ACROSS EASTERN WV THIS EVENING. THIS SHOULD BRING FREQUENT MVFR IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH OCCASIONAL IFR. STRONG WIND GUSTS
MAY EFFECT SOUTHERN TERMINALS IN STRONG STORMS.

TONIGHT WILL SEE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN ACTIVITY IN THE WV
MOUNTAINS BUT WITH LINGERING MVFR IN STRATOCU AND MIST. ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH E KY AND SRN WV
TOWARD DAWN SAT.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING THE DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TODAY AND
ITS DURATION COULD VARY FROM TAF FORECAST.  FORMATION OF POST-RAIN
NOCTURNAL FOG TONIGHT MORE SO THAN FCST.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    L    M    L    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    L    L    M    M    M    L    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    L    M    M    M    L    M    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    H    H    M    H    H    H    L    L    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    L    M    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L

AFTER 18Z SATURDAY...
MVFR AND POSSIBLE IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SITES IN
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KMC/TRM/TAX
NEAR TERM...TAX
SHORT TERM...KMC
LONG TERM...JSH
AVIATION...TAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
308 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-006-013>015-024>027-033>037-
091915-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-
PUTNAM-KANAWHA-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-
308 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY.

STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT THE AREA
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>086-WVZ007>011-016>020-028>032-038>040-046-
047-091915-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-MASON-
WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
308 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT THE AREA
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
304 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

OHZ083-085-086-WVZ007-082000-
GALLIA OH-JACKSON OH-MASON WV-MEIGS OH-
304 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MEIGS...NORTHERN
GALLIA...NORTHWESTERN MASON AND SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES...

AT 259 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER OAK HILL...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR RIO GRANDE AROUND 310 PM...RIO GRANDE AROUND
320 PM...GALLIPOLIS AROUND 330 PM...CHESHIRE AROUND 340 PM AND LAKIN
AROUND 350 PM.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3904 8242 3903 8233 3906 8232 3911 8201
      3880 8200 3882 8257 3884 8258 3885 8263
      3900 8263

30

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
311 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0244 PM     HAIL             CHARLESTON              38.47N 81.70W
04/08/2011  U0.50 INCH       KANAWHA            WV   PUBLIC

&&

NNNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
315 PM EDT FRI APR 08 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             1 W SOUTH CHARLESTON    38.36N  81.73W
04/08/2011  E0.75 INCH       KANAWHA            WV   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZE HAIL IN SPRING HILL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100390

JSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
317 PM EDT FRI APR 08 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HAIL             SOUTH CHARLESTON        38.36N  81.71W
04/08/2011  M1.00 INCH       KANAWHA            WV   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL BETWEEN JEFFERSON ROAD AND KANAWHA
            TURNPIKE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100391

JSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
326 PM EDT FRI APR 08 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HAIL             SOUTH CHARLESTON        38.36N  81.71W
04/08/2011  M0.75 INCH       KANAWHA            WV   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL BETWEEN JEFFERSON ROAD AND KANAWHA
            TURNPIKE.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100391

JSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
328 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>007-014-082030-
BOYD KY-CABELL WV-CARTER KY-GALLIA OH-GREENUP KY-LAWRENCE OH-
LAWRENCE KY-MASON WV-PUTNAM WV-WAYNE WV-
328 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BOYD...CABELL...CARTER...
GREENUP...LAWRENCE...NORTH CENTRAL LAWRENCE...NORTHERN PUTNAM...
NORTHWESTERN WAYNE...SOUTHERN GALLIA AND SOUTHERN MASON COUNTIES...

AT 326 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM 10 MILES
SOUTH OF OAK HILL TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF WHEELERSBURG TO 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CARTER CAVES STATE PARK...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL
CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR GALLOPOLIS FERRY AROUND 345 PM...HITCHINS
AROUND 400 PM AND BUFFALO AROUND 415 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...I-64 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 157 AND 191 IN KENTUCKY...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 28
IN WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3842 8324 3850 8319 3856 8310 3860 8308
      3869 8287 3859 8284 3858 8279 3860 8275
      3868 8277 3869 8271 3876 8269 3883 8250
      3879 8199 3865 8171 3864 8171 3838 8220
      3818 8273 3835 8325

30