Severe Thunderstorm Warning 307, NWS Raleigh, NC

374 
WWUS52 KRAH 211953
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
353 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC069-077-181-212015-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-110821T2015Z/
FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-VANCE NC-
353 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN VANCE...SOUTHEASTERN GRANVILLE AND WESTERN FRANKLIN
COUNTIES...

AT 348 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF 
FRANKLINTON...OR 9 MILES EAST OF CREEDMOOR...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... YOUNGSVILLE...
KITTRELL...LOUISBURG AND INGLESIDE.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3625 7820 3590 7827 3594 7839 3599 7845
      3607 7868 3610 7869 3613 7871 3624 7870
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 273DEG 16KT 3615 7851

$$

14

276 
WWUS52 KRAH 212004 RRA
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
404 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC077-212013-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-110821T2015Z/
GRANVILLE NC-
404 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRANVILLE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...


THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3600 7837 3599 7845 3604 7851 3610 7854
      3615 7849 3624 7847 3625 7820 3597 7826
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 273DEG 16KT 3615 7845

$$

NCC069-181-212015-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-110821T2015Z/
FRANKLIN NC-VANCE NC-
404 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VANCE AND WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 400 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
FRANKLINTON...OR 10 MILES WEST OF LOUISBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... INGLESIDE.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3600 7837 3599 7845 3604 7851 3610 7854
      3615 7849 3624 7847 3625 7820 3597 7826
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 273DEG 16KT 3615 7845

$$

14

977 
WWUS52 KRAH 212014
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
414 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC069-181-212024-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-110821T2015Z/
FRANKLIN NC-VANCE NC-
414 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VANCE AND
WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 415 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE WARNING 
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH 
THIS STORM. 

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE 
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL 
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3600 7837 3599 7845 3604 7851 3610 7854
      3615 7849 3624 7847 3625 7820 3597 7826
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 273DEG 16KT 3615 7839

$$

14

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
238 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL PUSH THROUGH MUCH
OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FRONT SHOULD LIE NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER. DRY HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT AND REMAINS THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 225 PM SUNDAY...

SURFACE-BASED CAPE HAD INCREASED TO VALUES APPROACHING 2500J/KG ON
THE LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS...WITH THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS
SHOWING A SURFACE TROUGH JUST EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...AND A FAIRLY
ROBUST MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE HEADED TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY. A 50KT 250MB JETLET CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST BY THE
NAM TO MOVE ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER DURING THE
EVENING...AND GIVEN THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND THE LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH...MOVING EAST THROUGH
THE EVENING. AMPLE 850MB LIFT IS FORECAST...AND WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES AOA TWO INCHES THIS EVENING...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD OCCUR. SOME STORM ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE AS
THE NAM FORECASTS 0-3KM HELICITY RISING TO NEAR 100M2/S2 THIS
EVENING...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING GUSTY WINDS. OVERNIGHT...
BOTH THE GFS AND THE NAM SHOW A CONTINUED MOISTURE FEED COMING INTO
AT LEAST THE SANDHILLS TOWARD THE COASTAL PLAIN...AND THE LAST TWO
OR THREE RUNS OF THE HRRR WRF HAS BEEN PERSISTENT SHOWING
REDEVELOPMENT DURING THE LATE EVENING OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT...
MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST TOWARD HIGHER INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH...HAVE ACTUALLY FORECAST CATEGORICAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT IN A SMALL AREA FROM NEAR KFAY AND KMEB EAST INTO THE FAR
SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW INCREASINGLY STABLE AIR
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING QUICKLY THERE ESPECIALLY
BEYOND THE LATE EVENING. OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER
60S NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER TO MID 70S FAR SOUTHEAST...WITH ONLY VERY
LIMITED...IF ANY...MOISTURE DECREASE IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE
SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THAT PUSHES INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA LATE
TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 225 PM SUNDAY...

THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH SOUTH...AND IT SHOULD LIE NEAR THE
SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
FALL TO BELOW 1.5 INCHES THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BY 00Z
TUESDAY...AND K INDICES FALL INTO THE SINGLE FIGURES IN THE
NORTHWEST PIEDMONT BY THEN. BUFR SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH THE NAM AND THE
GFS BECOME INCREASINGLY STABLE DURING THE DAY MONDAY...AND AFTER ANY
LINGERING EARLY MORNING SHOWERS IN OR NEAR THE COASTAL PLAIN MONDAY
MORNING...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SCATTERED REDEVELOPMENT WILL BE OVER
THE FAR SOUTHEAST...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT KMEB
TO KGSB. ALTHOUGH THE GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE OF ONLY WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE MONDAY AFTERNOON UNDER NEGLIGIBLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT...
A WEAK MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
DURING THE AFTERNOON COULD HELP RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY THE FAR SOUTHEAST...CLOSER TO
THE FRONT AND LINGERING MOISTURE. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARM
BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO THE
LOWER 90S.

MONDAY NIGHT...THE AIR MASS BECOMES VERY STABLE...WITH GRADUAL
DRYING OF SURFACE DEW POINTS...K INDICES TURNING NEGATIVE...AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BELOW AN INCH. UNDER A CLEAR SKY...
TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO THE UPPER 50S IN PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA ESPECIALLY NORTH OF U.S. 64. DEW POINTS TAKE LONGER TO FALL
TOWARD KFAY AND OVERNIGHT LOWS THERE SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MID
60S. DID NOT GO QUITE AS LOW AS THE MET GUIDANCE FOR LOWS AS THE
GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE HIGH BUILDING IN IS SOMEWHAT TIGHT...WHICH
COULD RESULT IN JUST A LITTLE MIXING...ENOUGH TO KEEP READINGS FROM
BOTTOMING OUT.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC ON
TUESDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY EVENING... WITH THE RIDGE AXIS
CONTINUING TO EXTEND BACK INTO CENTRAL NC THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER... A WEAK INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH ALONG/NEAR THE
COAST COUPLED WITH THE APPROACH OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE RATHER LOW AMPLITUDE
THROUGH ALOFT OVER OUR LATITUDE MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND/OR
STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN OR SOUTHEASTERN REACHES OF
OUR CWA THEN. FOR NOW WILL ONLY ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES FOR THIS TIME FRAME
(WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON).

TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT. LOW LEVEL
THICKNESS VALUES ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO TOP OUT
NEAR 1400 METERS. THIS COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR (AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION) WILL ALLOW FOR HIGH TEMPS TUESDAY
TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S (83-88)... NEAR NORMAL. LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S... WITH PERHAPS A
FEW UPPER 50S IN THE USUAL COOL RURAL LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTH.
HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE A TOUCH WARMER AS THE SURFACE HIGH
MOVES OFFSHORE (HOWEVER... THE RIDGE AXIS WILL STILL EXTEND BACK
INTO THE AREA) AND LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 METERS HIGHER. THUS... WILL GO WITH HIGH TEMPS A
DEGREE OR TWO WARMER. THIS YIELDS HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S
(MAINLY 85-89)... WITH PERHAPS A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTH
REACHING THE 90 DEGREE MARK. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 235 PM SUNDAY...

ANOTHER S/W TROUGH ALOFT IS EXPECT TO TRACK EASTWARD NEAR THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER (GREAT LAKES REGION INTO NEW ENGLAND) ON THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO APPROACH THE AREA
ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. QUESTIONS REMAIN ON HOW FAR SOUTH
THIS FEATURES WILL SINK BEFORE POSSIBLE AFFECTS AND/OR INTERACTIONS
WITH THE CURRENT TROPICAL STORM IRENE. FOR THURSDAY THINK MOST OF
THE AREA WILL BE DRY (SLIGHT CHANCE POP)... WITH INCREASING CHANCES
FOR PRECIP ON FRIDAY AS THE THE TROPICAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTH AND THE COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH/NORTHWEST. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. LOWS
FRIDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NHC FORECAST AND MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW IRENE TURNING NORTHWARD OUT
OF THE CARIBBEAN AND AFFECTING PORTIONS IF NOT ALL OF FLORIDA
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY (ALTHOUGH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS INDICATING A
SLIGHT SHIFT EASTWARD TO THE OVERALL TRACK)... AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SE U.S. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS THEN CONTINUE TO TRACK IT NORTHWARD AND INTO OUR REGION
NEXT WEEKEND. GIVEN WE ARE STILL TALKING ABOUT DAYS 6 AND 7 OF THE
FORECAST AND TIMING AND EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM ARE STILL IN
DOUBT... WILL ONLY RAISE POPS TO HIGH CHANCE FOR NEXT WEEKEND AND
LOWER HIGH TEMPS AT BIT. GIVEN THE CURRENT SETUP AND GENERAL
TRACK... HEAVY RAIN... ISOLATED TORNADOES... AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND. WILL GO WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID
80S BOTH DAYS... WITH LOWS IN THE 70S.

WITH REGARD TO THE THE AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL SYSTEM... EVERYONE
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD ESPECIALLY IN THE SE US SHOULD KEEP UP TO
DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NHC AND LOCAL WFOS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 225 PM SUNDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE 18Z VALID TAF PERIOD OUTSIDE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS IN THE TRIAD THIS EVENING...AND NUMEROUS
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE TRIAD OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THE MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TOWARD KFAY EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN OVERNIGHT. LATE TONIGHT...
ENOUGH MOISTURE COULD BE IN PLACE TO RESULT IN A GOOD CHANCE OF MVFR
CEILINGS TOWARD KFAY AND KRWI...AND MVFR FOG FOLLOWING SHOWERS
ESPECIALLY AT KRDU...KFAY...AND KRWI.

ON MONDAY...AFTER ANY LINGERING MORNING SHOWERS TOWARD KFAY AND
KRWI...AND MIXING OF ANY MVFR CEILINGS AND FOG...VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD PREVAIL. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE TOWARD KFAY
AGAIN LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE BETTER CHANCES WILL BE SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF THERE. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH...
AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THEN THROUGH MID-WEEK. THE
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS AND MOISTURE RETURNS.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJF
NEAR TERM...DJF
SHORT TERM...DJF/BSD
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...DJF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-043-221845-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
WILSON-
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 796 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AT LEAST THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...
WHICH COULD PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING MAINLY IN URBAN AND LOW-LYING
AREAS. FINALLY...FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS ALSO A CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

FOLLOW THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
REGARDING TROPICAL STORM IRENE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS APPRECIATED. SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY
TUNED AND REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ042-073>078-083>086-088-089-221845-
JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
OCCUR AT LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD PRODUCE FLOODING MAINLY
IN URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS. FINALLY...FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
ALSO A CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

FOLLOW THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
REGARDING TROPICAL STORM IRENE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT. SPOTTERS SHOULD
STAY TUNED AND REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
326 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ021-212030-
FORSYTH-
326 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS FORSYTH COUNTY THROUGH 430
PM EDT...

AT 326 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF DONNAHA...OR ABOUT OVER EAST BEND...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE DONNAHA...RURAL HALL...
AND...PFAFFTOWN...STANLEYVILLE...WALKERTOWN...BELEWS CREEK...
WINSTON-SALEM... AND...KERNERSVILLE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 8045 3627 8040 3626 8004 3622 8003
      3608 8006 3615 8045 3621 8045 3623 8044
      3624 8046 3626 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 279DEG 21KT 3626 8050

77

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
328 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ083>086-212030-
ANSON-HOKE-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
328 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SCOTLAND...RICHMOND...ANSON
AND HOKE COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

AT 327 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 6 MILES
NORTH OF LAUREL HILL...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTH OF LAURINBURG...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ELLERBE...
ROCKINGHAM... RAEFORD... LAURINBURG... WAGRAM... BOWMORE... AND
ANTIOCH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 7968 3481 8032 3520 8028 3515 8018
      3519 8011 3514 8008 3514 8003 3518 7986
      3518 7967 3513 7958 3506 7957 3504 7947
      3519 7929 3519 7917 3516 7912 3496 7903
      3483 7919 3483 7934 3477 7933 3463 7946
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 277DEG 35KT 3487 7947

10

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
330 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ007-212030-
PERSON-
330 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS PERSON COUNTY THROUGH 430 PM
EDT...

AT 330 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 6 MILES
NORTH OF CONCORD...OR ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TURBEVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE CONCORD...BETHEL
HILL... ROXBORO... HYCO LAKE... AND CONCORD.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 7879 3636 7880 3647 7915 3654 7914
      3655 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 287DEG 14KT 3656 7909

77