Severe Thunderstorm Warning 108, NWS Raleigh, NC

840 
WWUS52 KRAH 271833
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
233 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NCC051-085-093-271915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0108.000000T0000Z-110527T1915Z/
HOKE NC-CUMBERLAND NC-HARNETT NC-
233 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR HARNETT...NORTHERN CUMBERLAND AND EASTERN HOKE COUNTIES...

AT 228 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM NEAR RAEFORD 
TO SPRINGLIKE TO NORTHWEST OF ANGIER. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... FAYETTEVILLE...SPRING 
LAKE...EASTOVER...TIMBERLAKE...SEMINOLE...LINDEN...LILLINGTON...
FALCON...ERWIN...DUNCAN...BUIES CREEK AND ANGIER.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3485 7927 3506 7922 3517 7916 3517 7912
      3518 7910 3520 7910 3521 7914 3535 7913
      3558 7891 3551 7872 3545 7863 3535 7858
      3521 7863 3520 7865 3518 7863 3508 7867
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 223DEG 16KT 3517 7904

$$

BLAES

278 
WWUS52 KRAH 271848
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
248 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NCC051-085-093-271915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0108.000000T0000Z-110527T1915Z/
HOKE NC-CUMBERLAND NC-HARNETT NC-
248 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR HARNETT...NORTHERN CUMBERLAND AND EASTERN HOKE COUNTIES...

AT 246 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LILLINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... GODWIN...FALCON...
ERWIN...BUIES CREEK...DUNCAN...DUNN...COATS AND ANGIER.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3506 7922 3517 7912 3522 7901 3537 7899
      3558 7891 3551 7872 3545 7863 3535 7858
      3521 7863 3520 7865 3518 7863 3508 7867
      3495 7905 3492 7908 3485 7927
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 232DEG 39KT 3534 7883

$$

BLAES

451 
WWUS52 KRAH 271911
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
311 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NCC051-085-093-271921-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0108.000000T0000Z-110527T1915Z/
HOKE NC-CUMBERLAND NC-HARNETT NC-
311 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HARNETT...NORTHERN CUMBERLAND
AND EASTERN HOKE COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 315 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE WARNING 
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3506 7922 3517 7912 3522 7901 3537 7899
      3558 7891 3551 7872 3545 7863 3535 7858
      3521 7863 3520 7865 3518 7863 3508 7867
      3495 7905 3492 7908 3485 7927
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 232DEG 39KT 3543 7853

$$

BLAES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1036 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL EDGE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS
OUR REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN EXPAND ACROSS
THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST STATES SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1025 AM FRIDAY...

STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM SHOWING UP CLEARLY ON WATER VAPOR AT 14Z
OVER UPSTATE SC LIFTING TO THE NE. THIS FEATURE INTERACTING WITH THE
MOIST AND MODERATELY  UNSTABLE OVER THE REGION WILL TRIGGER
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. EXPECT COVERAGE THROUGH 2 PM TO BE BEST WEST OF HIGHWAY 1.
SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS ARE MARGINAL AS BULK SHEAR (35 KTS AT 12Z
OVER THE NW PIEDMONT) HAS DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN 30 KTS THOUGH
MLCAPE AT 14Z 1000-1800 J/KG OVER THE PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS.

CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS OVER THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING WILL LIMIT
INSOLATION....KEEPING AIR MASS SLIGHT-TO-MODERATELY UNSTABLE. PER
VISIBLE IMAGERY...MORE SUN LIKELY OVER AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY ONE
WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN STRONG INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON.
THUS...WHILE SCATTERED T-STORMS EXPECTED AREAWIDE THIS
AFTERNOON...PARAMETERS CURRENTLY SUGGEST HIGHEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
OVER THE EASTERN PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN. MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

HAVE ADJUSTED MAX TEMPS UP A COUPLE OF DEGREES IN THE COASTAL PLAIN
AND SANDHILLS WHERE PARTIAL SUN THIS MORNING HAVE ALREADY WARMED
TEMPS TO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 80 DEGREES. POTENTIAL FOR UPPER 80S TO
NEAR 90 OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN AND SANDHILLS. -WSS

TONIGHT: CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD DIMINISH AS BOTH
THE APPROACHING TROUGH ALOFT AND EARLIER INSTABILITY WEAKEN WITH
TIME. HOWEVER...THE CONTINUED PRESENCE/SLOW EASTWARD MIGRATION OF
THE PARENT TROUGH ALOFT SUGGESTS A FEW SHOWERS OR ISOLATED STORMS
COULD LINGER THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. OTHERWISE...CONTINUED MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND RELATIVELY WIDESPREAD GROUND MOISTURE FROM
EARLIER RAIN SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF OVERNIGHT STRATUS.
LOWS GENERALLY 62 TO 68 DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 330 AM FRIDAY...

SATURDAY: A CONTINUED WEAKENING BUT LINGERING PRESENCE OF THE TROUGH
ALOFT OVER THE TN VALLEY THIS MORNING...BY THEN OVERTAKEN SOMEWHAT
BY ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH AXIS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WILL RESULT
IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...
THESE SHOULD BE MORE FOCUSED OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN AND WITH LESSER
INTENSITY THAN TODAY...SINCE THE AFOREMENTIONED POCKET OF RELATIVELY
COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE WEAKENED AND DRIFTED EASTWARD
AND THE BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW WILL HAVE LIFTED WELL AWAY
FROM NC - AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF PRIMARILY SUB-SEVERE PULSE
WIND/HAIL. HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE MIDDLE 80S WITH
PARTLY (TO MOSTLY SUNNY WEST) SKIES.

SATURDAY NIGHT: SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO
THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST STATES SATURDAY NIGHT ONWARD...
BENEATH BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLIER TROUGHING
INVOF NC. CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW...BUT WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM
THE CALMING SURFACE RIDGE...SHOULD ALLOW FOR AREAS OF STRATUS AND
FOG TO AGAIN DEVELOP THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. LOWS GENERALLY IN THE
MID 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 250 AM FRIDAY...

MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHWEST BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AND INTO SOUTHERN CANADA. THEREFORE...WITH STRENGTHENING RIDGING
OVER THE AREA INITIALLY...THICKNESS VALUES ARE PROGGED TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT...AND WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED...TEMPS SHOULD RISE WELL
INTO THE 90S. IF FACT...CURRENT INDICATIONS WOULD POINT TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF RECORD BREAKING HEAT FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
THEN...AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE TRACKS EASTWARD...MODELS
SHOW AN ASSOCIATED BACK DOOR COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA DURING THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING TIME FRAME.
THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO
TIMING AND THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND LIFT THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE TO
GENERATE ANY PRECIP. NEVERTHELESS...WILL INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS AND WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS ON THURSDAY
RESULTING FROM THE ANTICIPATED INCREASED CLOUD COVER.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 710 AM FRIDAY...

IFR-MVFR STRATUS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL NC
WILL BE SLOW TO LIFT AND SCATTER TO VFR...BETWEEN 14 AND
17Z...SLOWEST FROM KRDU WESTWARD TO TRIAD TERMINALS. EVEN
THEN...PERIODS OF BROKEN CUMULUS/CONVECTIVE CLOUD BASES BETWEEN
2500-4000 FT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... MAINLY WEST OF
KRWI AND KFAY (WHERE LOW LEVEL CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE MORE
SCATTERED). THE OTHER AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...MOST
NUMEROUS FROM NEAR KRDU AND ESPECIALLY POINTS JUST WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF KRDU TOWARD TRIAD TERMINALS...WITH HEATING AND THE
APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE TN VALLEY/CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY LINGER THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT...GIVEN THE CONTINUED PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
STILL NEAR OR JUST WEST OF CENTRAL NC. CONTINUED MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW AND RELATIVELY WIDESPREAD GROUND MOISTURE FROM EARLIER RAIN
SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRATUS BETWEEN 06-12Z SAT.

OUTLOOK: LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING STRATUS WILL LIKELY THEN DEVELOP
EACH DAY THROUGH TUE...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS SATURDAY...
DIMINISHING TO ISOLATED IN COVERAGE AT BEST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...WSS/MWS
SHORT TERM...MWS
LONG TERM...KRR
AVIATION...MWS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1214 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-280930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1214 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 387 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SOME STORMS WILL BE SEVERE... PARTICULARLY
IN THE VICINITY OF U.S. HIGHWAY ONE...WHERE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
55 MPH...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE MOST PROBABLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
151 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0142 PM     HAIL             4 E OXFORD              36.31N  78.52W
05/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       GRANVILLE          NC   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100674

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
153 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0106 PM     HAIL             CHAPEL HILL             35.93N  79.04W
05/27/2011  E0.88 INCH       ORANGE             NC   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100675

MEB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
158 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0148 PM     HAIL             9 SSW RAEFORD           34.86N  79.29W
05/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       HOKE               NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE DUFFIES AREA

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100676

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
206 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     HAIL             1 NE PARKWOOD           35.90N  78.90W
05/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       DURHAM             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100677

MEB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
212 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OXFORD                  36.31N  78.59W
05/27/2011                   GRANVILLE          NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF PEELED UP ON OFFICE BUILDING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100678

GIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
213 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0159 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE PARKWOOD           35.90N  78.90W
05/27/2011                   DURHAM             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ON SEDWICK ROAD IN DURHAM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100679

MEB