Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Watches in 2011

Winter Storm Watch 10, NWS Pueblo, CO

October 6, 201115 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this winter storm watch at Oct 6, 2011, 2:58 PM MDT for 15 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 7, 2011, 6:00 PM MDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2011, 2:58 PM MDT (20:58 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 7, 2011, 6:00 PM MDT
Expired
Oct 7, 2011, 5:00 AM MDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Lake County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Mineral County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 281 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 257 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1255 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
391 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

328 
WWUS45 KPUB 062058
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
258 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ060-066-068-070300-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-111007T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...
NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
258 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM
MDT FRIDAY. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET...EASTERN SAN
  JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE GREAT
  BASIN WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT...THEN
  AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM
  TRACKS ACROSS COLORADO.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR FRIDAY
  EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...8 INCHES OR MORE ARE
  POSSIBLE.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  AT TIMES TONIGHT. FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.

&&

$$

COZ058-073-075-080-082-070300-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...
GREENHORN MTN...PIKES PEAK
258 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000
  FEET...SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET...WET
  MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...AND PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CROSSING COLORADO
  TOMORROW COULD BRING HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO THE HIGHER
  MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE.

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.

WINTER STORMS MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
HEAVY SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER
6 INCHES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS OR OVER 8 INCHES IN
THE MOUNTAINS MAY OCCUR. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...LISTEN TO THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY
ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN OR THROUGH THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
279 
WWUS45 KPUB 070214
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
814 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ060-066-068-071100-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-111007T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...
NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
814 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY. A
WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET...EASTERN 
  SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE 
  GREAT BASIN WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT... 
  THEN AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE 
  SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS COLORADO. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEN FROM
  FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...8 INCHES OR MORE OF
  ADDITIONAL SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  AT TIMES TONIGHT. FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.

&&

$$

COZ058-073-075-080-082-071100-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...
GREENHORN MTN...PIKES PEAK
814 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 
  FEET...WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...AND PIKES PEAK ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CROSSING COLORADO ON
  FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AT
  TIMES TO THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.

WINTER STORMS MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
HEAVY SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER
6 INCHES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS OR OVER 8 INCHES IN
THE MOUNTAINS MAY OCCUR. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...LISTEN TO THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY
ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN OR THROUGH THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$
596 
WWUS45 KPUB 071100
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

COZ066-068-071700-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-111007T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0000Z-111008T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON MDT SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW FOR THE EASTERN SAN
JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATION...EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000
  FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...ONE WEATHER SYSTEM HAS EXITED THE AREA
  OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE
  FOUR CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT. SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
  AREA EARLY THIS EVENING WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED TO
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS
  EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.  

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE
  NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH ON SATURDAY.

* IMPACT...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH SOME
  BLOWING SNOW AT TIMES WILL CAUSE SLICK AND SNOWPACKED ROADWAYS
  AND POOR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ060-071700-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WS.W.0013.000000T0000Z-111007T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0600Z-111008T1800Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON MDT SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.


* LOCATION...EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...ONE WEATHER SYSTEM HAS EXITED THE AREA
  OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE
  FOUR CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT. SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
  AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
  THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS
  EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.   

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOW ALONG WITH SOME BLOWING SNOW
  AT TIMES WILL CAUSE SLICK AND SNOWPACKED ROADWAYS AND POOR
  VISIBILITIES AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.


&&

$$

COZ073-071700-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0014.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000
  FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY UP TO 16 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH ON
  SATURDAY.

* IMPACT...HEAVY SNOW AND PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW COULD CREATE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN
  PASSES TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ075-071700-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0014.111008T0000Z-111008T1800Z/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...SPANISH PEAKS
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM THIS EVENING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000
  FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY UP TO 16 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH ON
  SATURDAY.

* IMPACT...HEAVY SNOW AND PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW COULD CREATE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN
  PASSES TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ080-082-071700-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0014.111008T0600Z-111009T0000Z/
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...GREENHORN MTN...PIKES PEAK
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS
  ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* WIND...SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH ON
  SATURDAY.

* IMPACT...HEAVY SNOW AND PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW COULD CREATE
  TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN
  PASSES TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-071700-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0600Z-111008T1800Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.


* LOCATION...WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.


&&

$$

COZ072-071700-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0000Z-111009T0000Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT SATURDAY.


* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 11000
  FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES
  TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ074-071700-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0000Z-111008T1800Z/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON MDT SATURDAY.


* LOCATION...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES
  TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.


&&

$$

COZ076-071700-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0600Z-111008T1800Z/
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON MDT SATURDAY.


* LOCATION...NORTHWEST FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES
  TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ079-081-071700-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0031.111008T0600Z-111009T0000Z/
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...RYE...WOODLAND PARK
500 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 PM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM MDT SATURDAY.


* LOCATION...PIKES PEAK AND TELLER COUNTY BELOW 11000 FEET AND THE
  WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
  REGION TONIGHT WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS
  THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NORTH TO
  NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH ON SATURDAY.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES
  TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.


&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Oct 6, 12:20 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 12:20 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1220 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

.AVIATION...

ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO WINDS FOR THE 18Z TAFS. KEPT GUSTS OF
45 KNOTS FOR ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 00Z...WITH SOME VISIBILITY
RESTRICTION DUE TO BLOWING DUST POSSIBLE AT KALS BETWEEN 21Z-24Z.
WINDS DIMINISH AFTER 03Z THIS EVENING MOST LOCATIONS. OVER THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...IFR CONDTIONS DUE TO CLOUDS/RAIN/SNOW WILL
CONTINUE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 510 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011/

SHORT TERM...

..HIGH IMPACT WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...WITH HEAVY
SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...HIGH WINDS AND CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...AND POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FLIRTING WITH THE FAR EASTERN BORDER...

UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY DROPPING THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. TOWARDS THE
GREAT BASIN WITH POTENT 120+ KT UPPER JET TRANSLATING INTO THE 4
CORNERS REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. ALREADY SEEING FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS IN RADAR MOSAICS MOVING INTO WRN
CO...AND WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY OROGRAPHICS...EXPECT THAT WOLF
CREEK PASS WILL PICK UP SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ALONG
WITH BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. BEST FORCING IS MOVING ACROSS
THE WESTERN AREAS THIS MORNING...AND EXPECT HEAVIEST SNOWS TO FALL
THROUGH 18Z. HOWEVER INSTABILITY INCREASES DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
UPPER LOW EDGES INTO WRN CO...SO COULD CONTINUE TO SEE HEAVY
CONVECTIVE SNOWS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS WELL. ALL IN
ALL...STILL LOOKS LIKE THE EASTERN SAN JUANS AND LA GARITAS SHOULD
RECEIVE A FOOT OF SNOWFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF
UP TO 18 INCHES ALONG THE FAVORED SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE
EASTERN SAN JUANS. THE SAWATCH RANGE ISN'T AS FAVORED WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW...HOWEVER WITH THE INSTABILITY THINK AREAS UP HIGH
WILL RECEIVE AROUND A FOOT OF SNOW. GIVEN THE POTENTIALLY HIGH
IMPACT FROM THIS FIRST BIG STORM OF THE SEASON...WILL MAINTAIN THE
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THIS REGION AS WELL...EVEN THOUGH SOME
AREAS MAY COME UP A LITTLE SHORT ON SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. WITH STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 60 MPH AT TIMES...REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MTN PASSES
AND HIGHER AREAS. SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO THE SANGRES DURING
THE AFTERNOON WHERE HIGHER AREAS COULD PICK UP A FEW INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION.

AS THE UPPER JET TRANSLATES ACROSS THE AREA...SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS UP ACROSS THE PLAINS AS LEE SIDE SFC LOW DEEPENS AND KICKS
EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON.  WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL LIKELY
REACH SUSTAINED HIGH WIND CRITERIA (40 MPH FOR AN HOUR OR MORE)
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  COULD SEE SOME GUSTS TO
AROUND 60 MPH AT TIMES...MAINLY EAST OF I-25.  HAVE UPGRADED THE
HIGH WIND WATCH TO A WARNING.  HIGH WINDS MAY BE A LITTLE MORE
MARGINAL FOR THE I-25 CORRIDOR...BUT THINK THAT THE SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS SHOULD BE ACHIEVABLE.  AND IF SHOWERS SURVIVE LONG ENOUGH AS
MOVE OFF THE EASTERN MTS DURING THE AFTERNOON...THESE MIGHT HELP TO
TRANSFER HIGHER WINDS ALOFT TO THE SFC...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH
POSSIBLE. THUS HAVE INCLUDED THE I-25 CORRIDOR IN THE WARNING
AREA. HAVE ALSO SEEN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY HIT HIGH WIND CRITERIA IN
CASES SIMILAR TO THIS ONE...AND HAVE INCLUDED THEM IN THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. COMBINED WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS...THESE HIGH WINDS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR TODAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WHERE FUELS ARE RECEPTIVE TO FIRE.
BASED ON LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES LATEST FUELS STATUS...THIS WILL
INCLUDE MOST OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...EXCEPT PUEBLO AND HUERFANO
COUNTIES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 15-20 PERCENT FOR
MOST OF THE AREA...AND ALTHOUGH THIS MAY COME UP JUST SHY OF THE
STRICT RED FLAG WARNING THRESHOLD...WITH THE WINDS AS STRONG AS
THEY ARE...THIS COULD STILL LEAD TO VOLATILE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE
SPREAD. BASED ON COORDINATION WITH BOU AND SPC FIRE DESK...HAVE
OPTED TO PUT OUT A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THESE AREAS.

LATEST MODELS MIX THE DRY LINE INTO EXTREME WESTERN KS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...POTENTIALLY ELIMINATING THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST CO PLAINS.  HOWEVER...NAM BACKS THE DRYLINE
TO RIGHT ALONG THE CO/KS BORDER BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z...SO PLAN TO
MAINTAIN SOME ISOLATED POPS FOR THAT AREA.  PLENTY OF SHEAR WILL BE
IN PLACE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER
CAPES MAY BE THE LIMITING FACTOR.  THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED
CLOSELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE
WEATHER.

AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT...WINDS AND
SNOWS WILL WIND DOWN.  SUSPECT THAT WINTER HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE ABLE TO
BE TAKEN DOWN BY LATE EVENING OUT WEST...BUT WILL LET LATER SHIFTS
RE-ASSESS THIS.  MEANWHILE...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL LIKELY GET
THEIR FIRST HARD FREEZE OF THE SEASON. -KT

LONG TERM...
(FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)

..MORE SNOW TO START THE WEEKEND...

THE MAIN FORECAST C51ENGE IN THE EXTENDED CENTERS AROUND THE
EXPECTED IMPACT OF A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON THE WEATHER
THIS WEEKEND.

WILL SEE A BIT OF A LULL OR BREAK BETWEEN STORM SYSTEMS FRI MORNING
AS THE PRIMARY LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NNEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS.
COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO ERN CO
FRI MORNING...AND IT WILL LIKELY BE A BIT OF A RAW AND CHILLY START
TO THE DAY. TEMPS SHOULD REBOUND NICELY BY FRI AFTERNOON...REACHING
THE 60S OVR THE I-25 CORRIDOR...AND EVEN SOME 70S CLOSER TO THE KS
BORDER. HAVE CUT BACK ON POPS A BIT...ESPECIALLY FOR THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON PERIOD...AS THE DRYLINE LIKELY SETS UP
A BIT TOO FAR E TO AFFECT THE PLAINS FRI AFTERNOON. SHOULD STILL SEE
SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OVR THE CONTDVD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

COMPLEX SCENARIO BEGINS TO UNFOLD FRI NIGHT...AS THE SECONDARY LOW
BEGINS TO DEVELOP AT THE SRN END OF THE TROUGH OVR THE ROCKIES.
THERE IS STILL A PRETTY GOOD SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS BETWEEN THE VARIOUS
FORECAST MODELS. THE 00Z GFS IS THE THE WEAKEST AND MOST
PROGRESSIVE...AND IT TAKES THE UPPER LOW NEWD INTO NE CO AND NE BY
MID-DAY SAT. WITH THE WEAKER SOLUTION...WINDS ALOFT CONTINUE TO BE
MORE WESTERLY...AND LLVL WINDS ARE MORE NRLY OVER THE ERN MTNS AND
PLAINS. IF THIS SOLUTION VERIFIED...ONLY LIGHT SN ACCUMS WOULD BE
EXPECTED...MAINLY OVR THE PIKES PEAK REGION AND TELLER COUNTY ABOVE
ABOUT 7500 FEET. THE NAM12 ON THE OTHER HAND IS QUITE A BIT STRONGER
AND SLOWER WITH THE SECONDARY LOW...AND INTENSIFIES IT OVR NW NM ON
SAT MORNING. IN THE NAM SOLUTION...WINDS BACK IN RESPONSE TO THE
STRENGTHENING LOW...AND THERE IS A GOOD 6 H PERIOD OF FAIRLY DEEP
UPSLOPE OVR SERN CO...WITH 30-35 KT H7 WINDS IMPACTING THE RAMPARTS
AND WET MTNS. THE 06Z NAM IS EVEN STRONGER THAN THE 00Z
SOLUTION...AND IF IT VERIFIED THEN THE PIKES PEAK REGION COULD SEE
SNOW DOWN TO ABOUT 6000-6500 FEET BY SAT MORNING. WRN AND NRN
PARTS OF KCOS COULD SEE SOME WET SNOW. LOW END WARNING CRITERIA SNOWS
WOULD BE LIKELY ACROSS THE ERN RANGES ABOVE ABOUT 8500 FEET.

THE 00Z ECMWF IS A BIT OF A COMPROMISE...WITH A SLOWER EVOLUTION OF
THE SECONDARY SYSTEM...AND IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE NCEP ENSEMBLE.
SINCE THE GFS APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER...HAVE LARGELY DISREGARDED
IT IN FAVOR OF A COMPROMISE SOLUTION. THE NAM MAY BE A BIT OVERDONE
WITH THE STRENGTH OF ERLY WINDS AND RESULTANT HIGH QPF OVR THE ERN
RANGES...SO WILL BE CAUTIOUS ON POPS/WX FOR NOW. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH THE NAM CLOSELY TO SEE IF IT CONTINUES PROGGING A STRONGER
SYSTEM.

AFTER THIS SECONDARY SYSTEM CLEARS OUT SOMETIME ON SUN...THE PATTERN
BECOMES RATHER BENIGN WITH QUASI-ZONAL FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVR
THE ROCKIES. WILL LIKELY SEE A WARMING TREND WITH LOW CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION THRU THE END OF NEXT WEEK. 44

AVIATION...
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT THE TAF SITES TODAY WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH.  COULD SEE SOME
LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 60 MPH...THOUGH THESE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SPOTTY IN NATURE FOR THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND SAN LUIS VALLEY. OTHER
CONCERN WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING DUST AT
KALS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  MEANWHILE...LIFR CIGS/MTN OBSCURATIONS
WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE CONTDVD TODAY...WITH SNOW SPREADING INTO THE
CREST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BY AFTN.  KALS HAS THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEEING A PASSING SHOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON.  SHOWERS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AS THEY MOVE EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST MTS...AND ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT KCOS OR KPUB...THUS VFR CIGS/VIS EXPECTED FOR
THESE AREAS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ084>089-
093>099.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ226-227-
230>237.

HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ069>071.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY FOR COZ060-066-068.

&&

10/27
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 11:44 AM MDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1144 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-071745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1144 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A POTENT STORM SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE GREAT BASIN WILL SPREAD A
VARIETY OF HIGH IMPACT WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO.  HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE MOUNTAIN
AREAS...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.  TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE
10000 FEET...AND ACROSS THE SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAVORED
SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. SNOW
WILL ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS TODAY. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

MEANWHILE...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL REACH 40 MPH...WITH LOCALIZED WIND
GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. COMBINED WITH THE DRY VEGETATION ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...THIS WILL LEAD TO VOLATILE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE
SPREAD. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING
DUST...WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A MILE AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR OPEN FIELDS.

ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.  LOCALLY INTENSE SNOWFALL
RATES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS TODAY.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL SUBSIDE THIS
EVENING...WITH SNOW WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT.  A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SECOND STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY OVER NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO LATE
FRIDAY...AND WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS
BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND LASTING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY
SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 8500 FEET ON FRIDAY...BUT MAY
FALL AS LOW AS 6500 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ALL THE MOUNTAIN AREAS THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE EASTERN RANGES INCLUDING PIKES PEAK...THE WET
MOUNTAINS...AND THE NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGE WILL HAVE THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME OVER
THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

10/27

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 6, 10:03 AM MDT, 4 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1003 AM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 AM     SNOW             10 SW CREEDE            37.75N 107.06W
10/06/2011  E2.0 INCH        MINERAL            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN/SNOW MIX. 0.67 PRECIPITATION. BEGAN 10/5/11
            AFTERNOON.

&&

RMG
Local storm report, Oct 6, 1:51 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
151 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 28 ESE COLORADO SPRINGS 38.68N 104.34W
10/06/2011  M59.00 MPH       EL PASO            CO   ASOS

            BULLSEYE AUX AIRSTRIP.

0117 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY     37.98N 104.87W
10/06/2011  M62.00 MPH       PUEBLO             CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

PJC
Local storm report, Oct 6, 1:53 PM MDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
153 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0137 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ENE PEYTON            39.05N 104.39W
10/06/2011  M65 MPH          EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

&&

PJC
Local storm report, Oct 6, 1:55 PM MDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
155 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW PUEBLO            38.24N 104.63W
10/06/2011                   PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS BLOWN OFF OF TREES

&&

MN
Local storm report, Oct 6, 2:30 PM MDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
230 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE AGUILAR            37.42N 104.63W
10/06/2011  M67.00 MPH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   MESONET

            I-25 AT AGUILAR CDOT.

0143 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ESE HOEHNE            37.26N 104.34W
10/06/2011  M59.00 MPH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   ASOS

            TRINIDAD AIRPORT ASOS.

0159 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SW CAMPO              37.06N 102.63W
10/06/2011  M66.00 MPH       BACA               CO   OTHER FEDERAL

            UTE CANYON BLM/USDA.

0207 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ENE PEYTON            39.05N 104.39W
10/06/2011  M70.00 MPH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

&&

PJC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 4:06 AM MDTHigh Wind WarningPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley and 9 more16 hr
Oct 6, 4:11 AM MDTRed Flag WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Crowley, El Paso, Kiowa, Las Animas and 2 more15 hr
Oct 6, 3:01 PM MDTFreeze WarningPUBAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Rio Grande, Saguache18 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Colorado, 2011Every winter storm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.