Freeze Warning 6, NWS Pueblo, CO

171 
WWUS75 KPUB 070055
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
655 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ069>071-070700-
/O.EXP.KPUB.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111007T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.111007T0800Z-111007T1500Z/
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...
MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS...
FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
655 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A
FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY. 


* LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
  VALLEY THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE 30S...AND
  WILL FALL INTO THE 20S DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. 

* TEMPERATURE...FALLING BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN 
  DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE. 

* IMPACT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL
  BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.  DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER PIPES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS.

&&

$$

COZ084>089-093>099-070300-
/O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111007T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...
LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
655 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE I-25 CORRIDOR INCLUDING...EL PASO...PUEBLO... 
  HUERFANO...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WILL MOVE 
  ACROSS THE AREA TODAY SPREADING STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING. 

* WIND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS 
  TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. 

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS FORCE CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE... 
  ESPECIALLY TO MOBILE HOMES. DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES 
  ARE VULNERABLE TO THE THREAT OF STRONG CROSSWINDS...ESPECIALLY 
  ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 50 AND 
  HIGHWAY 94. OTHER POTENTIAL HIGH WIND HAZARDS INCLUDE FLYING 
  DEBRIS AND BLOWING DUST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAPABLE OF CAUSING POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE
ARE EXPECTED.

THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS TO BECOME DANGEROUS
AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND VEHICLES PULLING
TRAILERS CAN BE FLIPPED BY CROSSWINDS. BLOWING DUST CAN QUICKLY
REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS AND ACCIDENTS INVOLVING MOTORISTS TAKEN BY SURPRISE.
BLOWING DUST OR SAND CAN ALSO BE A HEALTH HAZARD FOR THOSE WITH
RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS. SECURE LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS. AVOID TRAVELING
ON ROADS WITH CROSSWINDS.

&&

$$

553 
WWUS75 KPUB 070058 CCA
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
656 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ069>071-070715-
/O.EXP.KPUB.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111007T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.111007T0800Z-111007T1500Z/
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...
MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS...
FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
656 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A
FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY. 


* LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
  VALLEY THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE 30S...AND
  WILL FALL INTO THE 20S DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. 

* TEMPERATURE...FALLING BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN 
  DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE. 

* IMPACT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL
  BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.  DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER PIPES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS.

&&

$$

COZ084>089-093>099-070300-
/O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111007T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...
PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...
LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
656 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WILL MOVE 
  ACROSS THE AREA TODAY SPREADING STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION 
  INTO THE EARLY EVENING. 

* WIND...A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS
  EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 30
  TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE
  FROM THE WEST AT 35 TO 45 MPH. 

* IMPACT...WINDS OF THIS FORCE CAN CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE... 
  ESPECIALLY TO MOBILE HOMES. DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES 
  ARE VULNERABLE TO THE THREAT OF STRONG CROSSWINDS...ESPECIALLY 
  ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 50 AND 
  HIGHWAY 94. OTHER POTENTIAL HIGH WIND HAZARDS INCLUDE FLYING 
  DEBRIS AND BLOWING DUST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAPABLE OF CAUSING POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE
ARE EXPECTED.

THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS TO BECOME DANGEROUS
AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND VEHICLES PULLING
TRAILERS CAN BE FLIPPED BY CROSSWINDS. BLOWING DUST CAN QUICKLY
REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS AND ACCIDENTS INVOLVING MOTORISTS TAKEN BY SURPRISE.
BLOWING DUST OR SAND CAN ALSO BE A HEALTH HAZARD FOR THOSE WITH
RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS. SECURE LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS. AVOID TRAVELING
ON ROADS WITH CROSSWINDS.

&&

$$

686 
WWUS75 KPUB 070210
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
810 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ084>089-093>099-070315-
/O.CAN.KPUB.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111007T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
810 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. FOR
THIS REASON THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

COZ069>071-070815-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.111007T0600Z-111007T1500Z/
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...
MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS...
FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
810 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

...FREEZE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

THE FREEZE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
MDT FRIDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A PACIFIC STORM HAS BROUGHT MUCH COLDER AIR
  INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

* TEMPERATURE...FALLING BELOW FREEZING AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
  DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE.

* IMPACT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL 
  BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.  DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER PIPES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS.

&&

$$

HODANISH

319 
WWUS75 KPUB 070734
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
134 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

COZ069>071-071345-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-111007T1500Z/
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...
MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS...
FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
134 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A PACIFIC STORM HAS BROUGHT MUCH COLDER AIR 
  INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. 

* TEMPERATURE...DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE.

* IMPACT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL
  BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.  DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER PIPES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS.

&&

$$

444 
WWUS75 KPUB 071104
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
504 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

COZ069>071-071500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-111007T1500Z/
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...
MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS...
FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
504 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A PACIFIC STORM HAS BROUGHT MUCH COLDER AIR 
  INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. 

* TEMPERATURE...DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE.

* IMPACT...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL
  BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED.

TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.  DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER PIPES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS.

&&

$$

804 
WWUS75 KPUB 071450
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
850 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

COZ069>071-071600-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-111007T1500Z/
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
850 AM MDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WARNING. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1220 PM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

.AVIATION...

ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO WINDS FOR THE 18Z TAFS. KEPT GUSTS OF
45 KNOTS FOR ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 00Z...WITH SOME VISIBILITY
RESTRICTION DUE TO BLOWING DUST POSSIBLE AT KALS BETWEEN 21Z-24Z.
WINDS DIMINISH AFTER 03Z THIS EVENING MOST LOCATIONS. OVER THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...IFR CONDTIONS DUE TO CLOUDS/RAIN/SNOW WILL
CONTINUE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 510 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011/

SHORT TERM...

..HIGH IMPACT WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...WITH HEAVY
SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...HIGH WINDS AND CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...AND POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FLIRTING WITH THE FAR EASTERN BORDER...

UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY DROPPING THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. TOWARDS THE
GREAT BASIN WITH POTENT 120+ KT UPPER JET TRANSLATING INTO THE 4
CORNERS REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. ALREADY SEEING FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS IN RADAR MOSAICS MOVING INTO WRN
CO...AND WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY OROGRAPHICS...EXPECT THAT WOLF
CREEK PASS WILL PICK UP SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ALONG
WITH BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. BEST FORCING IS MOVING ACROSS
THE WESTERN AREAS THIS MORNING...AND EXPECT HEAVIEST SNOWS TO FALL
THROUGH 18Z. HOWEVER INSTABILITY INCREASES DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
UPPER LOW EDGES INTO WRN CO...SO COULD CONTINUE TO SEE HEAVY
CONVECTIVE SNOWS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS WELL. ALL IN
ALL...STILL LOOKS LIKE THE EASTERN SAN JUANS AND LA GARITAS SHOULD
RECEIVE A FOOT OF SNOWFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF
UP TO 18 INCHES ALONG THE FAVORED SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE
EASTERN SAN JUANS. THE SAWATCH RANGE ISN'T AS FAVORED WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW...HOWEVER WITH THE INSTABILITY THINK AREAS UP HIGH
WILL RECEIVE AROUND A FOOT OF SNOW. GIVEN THE POTENTIALLY HIGH
IMPACT FROM THIS FIRST BIG STORM OF THE SEASON...WILL MAINTAIN THE
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THIS REGION AS WELL...EVEN THOUGH SOME
AREAS MAY COME UP A LITTLE SHORT ON SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. WITH STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 60 MPH AT TIMES...REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MTN PASSES
AND HIGHER AREAS. SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO THE SANGRES DURING
THE AFTERNOON WHERE HIGHER AREAS COULD PICK UP A FEW INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION.

AS THE UPPER JET TRANSLATES ACROSS THE AREA...SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS UP ACROSS THE PLAINS AS LEE SIDE SFC LOW DEEPENS AND KICKS
EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON.  WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL LIKELY
REACH SUSTAINED HIGH WIND CRITERIA (40 MPH FOR AN HOUR OR MORE)
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  COULD SEE SOME GUSTS TO
AROUND 60 MPH AT TIMES...MAINLY EAST OF I-25.  HAVE UPGRADED THE
HIGH WIND WATCH TO A WARNING.  HIGH WINDS MAY BE A LITTLE MORE
MARGINAL FOR THE I-25 CORRIDOR...BUT THINK THAT THE SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS SHOULD BE ACHIEVABLE.  AND IF SHOWERS SURVIVE LONG ENOUGH AS
MOVE OFF THE EASTERN MTS DURING THE AFTERNOON...THESE MIGHT HELP TO
TRANSFER HIGHER WINDS ALOFT TO THE SFC...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH
POSSIBLE. THUS HAVE INCLUDED THE I-25 CORRIDOR IN THE WARNING
AREA. HAVE ALSO SEEN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY HIT HIGH WIND CRITERIA IN
CASES SIMILAR TO THIS ONE...AND HAVE INCLUDED THEM IN THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. COMBINED WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS...THESE HIGH WINDS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR TODAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WHERE FUELS ARE RECEPTIVE TO FIRE.
BASED ON LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES LATEST FUELS STATUS...THIS WILL
INCLUDE MOST OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...EXCEPT PUEBLO AND HUERFANO
COUNTIES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 15-20 PERCENT FOR
MOST OF THE AREA...AND ALTHOUGH THIS MAY COME UP JUST SHY OF THE
STRICT RED FLAG WARNING THRESHOLD...WITH THE WINDS AS STRONG AS
THEY ARE...THIS COULD STILL LEAD TO VOLATILE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE
SPREAD. BASED ON COORDINATION WITH BOU AND SPC FIRE DESK...HAVE
OPTED TO PUT OUT A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THESE AREAS.

LATEST MODELS MIX THE DRY LINE INTO EXTREME WESTERN KS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...POTENTIALLY ELIMINATING THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST CO PLAINS.  HOWEVER...NAM BACKS THE DRYLINE
TO RIGHT ALONG THE CO/KS BORDER BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z...SO PLAN TO
MAINTAIN SOME ISOLATED POPS FOR THAT AREA.  PLENTY OF SHEAR WILL BE
IN PLACE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER
CAPES MAY BE THE LIMITING FACTOR.  THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED
CLOSELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE
WEATHER.

AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT...WINDS AND
SNOWS WILL WIND DOWN.  SUSPECT THAT WINTER HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE ABLE TO
BE TAKEN DOWN BY LATE EVENING OUT WEST...BUT WILL LET LATER SHIFTS
RE-ASSESS THIS.  MEANWHILE...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL LIKELY GET
THEIR FIRST HARD FREEZE OF THE SEASON. -KT

LONG TERM...
(FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)

..MORE SNOW TO START THE WEEKEND...

THE MAIN FORECAST C51ENGE IN THE EXTENDED CENTERS AROUND THE
EXPECTED IMPACT OF A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON THE WEATHER
THIS WEEKEND.

WILL SEE A BIT OF A LULL OR BREAK BETWEEN STORM SYSTEMS FRI MORNING
AS THE PRIMARY LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NNEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS.
COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO ERN CO
FRI MORNING...AND IT WILL LIKELY BE A BIT OF A RAW AND CHILLY START
TO THE DAY. TEMPS SHOULD REBOUND NICELY BY FRI AFTERNOON...REACHING
THE 60S OVR THE I-25 CORRIDOR...AND EVEN SOME 70S CLOSER TO THE KS
BORDER. HAVE CUT BACK ON POPS A BIT...ESPECIALLY FOR THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON PERIOD...AS THE DRYLINE LIKELY SETS UP
A BIT TOO FAR E TO AFFECT THE PLAINS FRI AFTERNOON. SHOULD STILL SEE
SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OVR THE CONTDVD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

COMPLEX SCENARIO BEGINS TO UNFOLD FRI NIGHT...AS THE SECONDARY LOW
BEGINS TO DEVELOP AT THE SRN END OF THE TROUGH OVR THE ROCKIES.
THERE IS STILL A PRETTY GOOD SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS BETWEEN THE VARIOUS
FORECAST MODELS. THE 00Z GFS IS THE THE WEAKEST AND MOST
PROGRESSIVE...AND IT TAKES THE UPPER LOW NEWD INTO NE CO AND NE BY
MID-DAY SAT. WITH THE WEAKER SOLUTION...WINDS ALOFT CONTINUE TO BE
MORE WESTERLY...AND LLVL WINDS ARE MORE NRLY OVER THE ERN MTNS AND
PLAINS. IF THIS SOLUTION VERIFIED...ONLY LIGHT SN ACCUMS WOULD BE
EXPECTED...MAINLY OVR THE PIKES PEAK REGION AND TELLER COUNTY ABOVE
ABOUT 7500 FEET. THE NAM12 ON THE OTHER HAND IS QUITE A BIT STRONGER
AND SLOWER WITH THE SECONDARY LOW...AND INTENSIFIES IT OVR NW NM ON
SAT MORNING. IN THE NAM SOLUTION...WINDS BACK IN RESPONSE TO THE
STRENGTHENING LOW...AND THERE IS A GOOD 6 H PERIOD OF FAIRLY DEEP
UPSLOPE OVR SERN CO...WITH 30-35 KT H7 WINDS IMPACTING THE RAMPARTS
AND WET MTNS. THE 06Z NAM IS EVEN STRONGER THAN THE 00Z
SOLUTION...AND IF IT VERIFIED THEN THE PIKES PEAK REGION COULD SEE
SNOW DOWN TO ABOUT 6000-6500 FEET BY SAT MORNING. WRN AND NRN
PARTS OF KCOS COULD SEE SOME WET SNOW. LOW END WARNING CRITERIA SNOWS
WOULD BE LIKELY ACROSS THE ERN RANGES ABOVE ABOUT 8500 FEET.

THE 00Z ECMWF IS A BIT OF A COMPROMISE...WITH A SLOWER EVOLUTION OF
THE SECONDARY SYSTEM...AND IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE NCEP ENSEMBLE.
SINCE THE GFS APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER...HAVE LARGELY DISREGARDED
IT IN FAVOR OF A COMPROMISE SOLUTION. THE NAM MAY BE A BIT OVERDONE
WITH THE STRENGTH OF ERLY WINDS AND RESULTANT HIGH QPF OVR THE ERN
RANGES...SO WILL BE CAUTIOUS ON POPS/WX FOR NOW. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH THE NAM CLOSELY TO SEE IF IT CONTINUES PROGGING A STRONGER
SYSTEM.

AFTER THIS SECONDARY SYSTEM CLEARS OUT SOMETIME ON SUN...THE PATTERN
BECOMES RATHER BENIGN WITH QUASI-ZONAL FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVR
THE ROCKIES. WILL LIKELY SEE A WARMING TREND WITH LOW CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION THRU THE END OF NEXT WEEK. 44

AVIATION...
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT THE TAF SITES TODAY WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH.  COULD SEE SOME
LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 60 MPH...THOUGH THESE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SPOTTY IN NATURE FOR THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND SAN LUIS VALLEY. OTHER
CONCERN WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING DUST AT
KALS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  MEANWHILE...LIFR CIGS/MTN OBSCURATIONS
WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE CONTDVD TODAY...WITH SNOW SPREADING INTO THE
CREST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BY AFTN.  KALS HAS THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEEING A PASSING SHOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON.  SHOWERS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AS THEY MOVE EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST MTS...AND ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT KCOS OR KPUB...THUS VFR CIGS/VIS EXPECTED FOR
THESE AREAS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ084>089-
093>099.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ226-227-
230>237.

HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ069>071.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY FOR COZ060-066-068.

&&

10/27

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1144 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-071745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1144 AM MDT THU OCT 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A POTENT STORM SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE GREAT BASIN WILL SPREAD A
VARIETY OF HIGH IMPACT WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO.  HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE MOUNTAIN
AREAS...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.  TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE
10000 FEET...AND ACROSS THE SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAVORED
SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. SNOW
WILL ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS TODAY. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

MEANWHILE...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL REACH 40 MPH...WITH LOCALIZED WIND
GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. COMBINED WITH THE DRY VEGETATION ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...THIS WILL LEAD TO VOLATILE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE
SPREAD. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING
DUST...WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A MILE AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR OPEN FIELDS.

ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.  LOCALLY INTENSE SNOWFALL
RATES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS TODAY.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL SUBSIDE THIS
EVENING...WITH SNOW WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT.  A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SECOND STORM SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY OVER NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO LATE
FRIDAY...AND WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS
BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND LASTING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY
SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 8500 FEET ON FRIDAY...BUT MAY
FALL AS LOW AS 6500 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ALL THE MOUNTAIN AREAS THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE EASTERN RANGES INCLUDING PIKES PEAK...THE WET
MOUNTAINS...AND THE NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGE WILL HAVE THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME OVER
THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

10/27

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1003 AM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 AM     SNOW             10 SW CREEDE            37.75N 107.06W
10/06/2011  E2.0 INCH        MINERAL            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN/SNOW MIX. 0.67 PRECIPITATION. BEGAN 10/5/11
            AFTERNOON.

&&

RMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
151 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 28 ESE COLORADO SPRINGS 38.68N 104.34W
10/06/2011  M59.00 MPH       EL PASO            CO   ASOS

            BULLSEYE AUX AIRSTRIP.

0117 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY     37.98N 104.87W
10/06/2011  M62.00 MPH       PUEBLO             CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

PJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
153 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0137 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ENE PEYTON            39.05N 104.39W
10/06/2011  M65 MPH          EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

&&

PJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
155 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW PUEBLO            38.24N 104.63W
10/06/2011                   PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS BLOWN OFF OF TREES

&&

MN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
230 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE AGUILAR            37.42N 104.63W
10/06/2011  M67.00 MPH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   MESONET

            I-25 AT AGUILAR CDOT.

0143 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ESE HOEHNE            37.26N 104.34W
10/06/2011  M59.00 MPH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   ASOS

            TRINIDAD AIRPORT ASOS.

0159 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SW CAMPO              37.06N 102.63W
10/06/2011  M66.00 MPH       BACA               CO   OTHER FEDERAL

            UTE CANYON BLM/USDA.

0207 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ENE PEYTON            39.05N 104.39W
10/06/2011  M70.00 MPH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

&&

PJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
259 PM MDT THU OCT 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ENE PEYTON            39.05N 104.39W
10/06/2011  M73.00 MPH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

0237 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SW CAMPO              37.06N 102.63W
10/06/2011  M66.00 MPH       BACA               CO   OTHER FEDERAL

            UTE CANYON BLM/USDA.

&&

PJC