Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1228 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE PAST THE AREA AND OFFSHORE
OVERNIGHT. WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE AT UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL
DRIFT EASTWARD MONDAY AND SLOWLY CLEAR THE COAST MONDAY NIGHT. A
COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AROUND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LARGE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST THURSDAY AND MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD, REACHING THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS JUST PAST MIDNIGHT...AND ANOTHER
WEAKENING AREA OF SHOWERS WAS DRIFTING INTO THE POCONOS. THIS
ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH MAINLY AT LOWER AND MID
LEVELS...WHICH SHOULD CLEAR THE AREA OVERNIGHT.

AS THIS CONVECTION DECREASES SLOWLY IN THE EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS...AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG WILL REMAIN. THE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY NOT LEAD TO MUCH CLEARING OVERNIGHT.
HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS...AS WELL AS MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE FORECASTS...WERE NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST, WE CAN LOOK FOR
THE THREAT OF SHOWERS/TSTMS TO CONTINUE MONDAY. WINDS WILL SWING
AROUND TO THE SW, AND POSSIBLY EVEN TO W LATE IN THE DAY WITH
SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH. EARLY MORNING CLOUDS WILL LIFT AND
DISSIPATE, LEAVING US WITH A PARTLY SUNNY DAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO THE MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
MODEL DIFFERENCES AS TO WHETHER ANY SHRAS AND TSRAS WILL BE STILL
AROUND. CAN RGEM WHICH HAS BEEN BETTER OF LATE THAN THE WRF-NMM WITH
CONVECTION JUST HAS SOME LINGERING IN DELMARVA. OTHERWISE THE
REMNANT OF LEE TROF SHOULD BE OFFSHORE ON MONDAY NIGHT. STAT
GUIDANCE LOOKS REASONABLE AS DEW POINTS REMAIN HIGH.

TUESDAY IT APPEARS WE WILL BE BETWEEN SYSTEMS. FORECAST CONVECTIVE
PARAMETERS POINT TO THE IDEA OF ISOLATED CONVECTION. MOST OF THE
AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS THOUGH HAVE INSUFFICIENT CAPES FOR THUNDER
AND OR A WEAK CAP HOLDING. WHILE WE CAN NOT RULE OUT THE OCCURRENCE
OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM, THE AREAL COVERAGE WE BELIEVE WOULD BE
TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IT AT THIS TIME. WE WOULD HAVE BEEN TOASTIER IN
JULY WITH THIS AIR MASS FOR A COUPLE OF REASONS, BUT 1000-850MB FCST
THICKNESSES HAVE ONLY BEEN WARM ENOUGH FOR THE MID 80S UPWIND, THUS
STAT GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD.

FOLLOWING THE PREMISE THAT THE GFS IS PBLY TOO FAST WITH THE CDFNTL
PASSAGE, WE WILL KEEP THE CURRENT POPS AND AREAL EXTENT GOING, BUT
LIMIT MENTION OF PCPN TO AFTER MIDNIGHT. BECAUSE OF THE GENERAL SW
FLOW WE WENT ABOVE STAT GUIDANCE FOR MINS, ESPECIALLY URBAN AND
COASTAL AREAS.

WEDNESDAY COULD BE AN INTERESTING CONVECTIVE DAY IF THE TIMING CAN
BE JUST SO. MOST OF THE MODELS BRING AN EML OUT OF COLORADO INTO OUR
CWA, ALTHOUGH THE TIMING DIFFERS FROM TOO SOON ON THE GFS, TO JUST
RIGHT ON THE WRF-NMM TO TOO LATE WITH THE EURO. THE SUN IS NOT WHAT
IT USED TO BE A COUPLE OF MONTHS AGO AND ANY LEFTOVER CONVECTION,
LOW CLOUDS WOULD SLOW OUR START LIKE OCCURRED TODAY. THE FORECAST
H2.5 JET WOULD NOT BE SUPPORTIVE AS THE BEST ENTRANCE AND EXIT
REGIONS WILL BE EAST WITH MARIA AND FARTHER WEST WITH THE LONG
WAVE TROF. LASTLY ITS THE FRONTAL TIMING, SUSPECT WITH THE SW FLOW
ALOFT, IT MIGHT BE TOO LATE. THIS IS SEEN IN THE NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS WHERE THE CONVECTIVE TEMP DOES NOT GET REACHED EXCEPT
FAR N. STILL IT WOULD BE WORTH FOLLOWING AND IS USUALLY THE CASE
WE HAVE THE SPLIT BETWEEN THE BETTER WIND FIELDS NORTH AND BETTER
FORECAST INSTABILITY SOUTH. FOR NOW WE WILL UP THE POPS SLIGHTLY
NORTH AND MAKE MENTION OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HWO. AS FAR
AS HEAVY RAIN GOES, THERE WILL BE MORE WIND ALOFT THAN THIS
WEEKEND AND THE HOPE IS THAT THE STORMS WILL BE PROGRESSIVE SO
BARRING TRAINING THE FLOODING THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR HIGH.

THERE ALSO REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO IF THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE ON THURSDAY. GIVEN THE FLOW ALOFT AND THE USUAL DOUBLE
BARREL COLD FRONTAL NATURE OF BIG AIR MASS CHANGES LIKE THIS WE
KEPT IN THE CHANCES WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE CURRENT ECMWF.

AFTER THAT FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND THE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COME CLOSE TO OUR REGION TO KEEP US NORTH OF
AN OCEANIC TRAJECTORY STRATOCU AND PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH ANY
INVERTED TROFS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. THE GFS REMAINS MOST
AGGRESSIVE. AS PER COORD WITH AKQ THE ECMWF HAD THIS SOLUTION A
COUPLE OF DAYS AGO AND HAS DROPPED IT. WITH ALL OF THE OTHER
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE SFC HIGH THAN THE GFS,
WE WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. OBVIOUSLY THE LEAST CONFIDENCE
ABOUT THIS COMING TO FRUITION IS IN DELMARVA.

FOR TEMPS WED INTO SUNDAY, WE LEANED TOWARD THE HIGHER STAT GUIDANCE
BASED ON FCST 850MB TEMPS. THERE SHOULD BE SOME CHILLY NIGHTS IN
THERE, PARTICULARLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHTS WHERE WE LEANED
TOWARD THE COOLER ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. BECAUSE THE 12Z GFS KEPT THE
SFC HIGH TOO FAR TO THE NORTH, WE BELIEVE THE 12Z MEX MOS GUIDANCE
IS TOO WARM WITH THE MINS, BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
SHOULD EXIST. THE POCONOS SUSSEX NEW JERSEY MIGHT COME CLOSE TO
THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF SMATTERINGS OF FROST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

CONVECTION WAS JUST ABOUT PAST THE CENTRAL TAF SITES AND MAY
AFFECT KMIV AND KACY THROUGH 06Z. OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS VARIED
FROM VFR TO MARGINAL VFR...EVEN IFR NORTH. PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG WILL ENCUMBER THE TAF SITES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY WHERE RAIN
HAS OCCURRED. CONFIDENCE IN CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IS RATHER
LIMITED.

AFTER ANY EARLY MORNING PATCHY FOG AND/OR LOW CLOUDS...VFR
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEST-
SOUTHWEST UNDER 10 KNOTS. ONLY AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY, ALTHOUGH ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY WOULD CAUSE A LOCAL
DETERIORATION IN CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
THERE COULD BE SOME VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN EARLY MORNING FOG
ON TUESDAY. LATER WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WE COULD HAVE
CEILING AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT. EXCELLENT VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN ANTICIPATED TO
DEVELOP ESPECIALLY LATER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO OCCUR.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA THRU MONDAY. E TO SE WINDS
WILL BECOME S TO SW TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY
10 KTS OR LESS. GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS FOR MID SEPTEMBER.

WE EXPECT SUB SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO
THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. A SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING
PRECEDING THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE WINDS AND OR SWELLS THAT WOULD REACH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA.

WE WILL HAVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. INITIALLY ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, IT COULD BE SWELLS FROM MARIA. THEN ON THURSDAY AND
POSSIBLY FRIDAY THE BRISK NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
WOULD BE THE CAUSE. THERE REMAINS TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE
GFS AND ECMWF WITH THE ECMWF INITIATING POTENTIAL SCA CONDITIONS
LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR NOW WE FOLLOWED HPC'S LEAD AND
SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO. BEST CHANCE MAY BE THURSDAY
NIGHT WHEN THE GREATEST AIR AND WATER TEMPERATURE DIFFERENTIAL
WILL OCCUR.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER FOR
THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WHICH WILL OCCUR AT PHILADELPHIA AT 157 AM
MONDAY. ONLY MINOR CATEGORY FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     PAZ070-071.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     NJZ017>019.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS.../DELISI/GIGI
NEAR TERM.../O'HARA/RPW
SHORT TERM...RPW
LONG TERM...GIGI
AVIATION.../DELISI/GIGI/O'HARA/RPW
MARINE...GIGI/RPW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...O'HARA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

NJZ001-007>010-012>016-020>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-068-069-130000-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-130000-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-PAZ067-130000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CHESTER-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MAY
CONTAIN STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL, FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-130000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH THE CHANCES LASTING INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1137 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST BRANDYWINE TWP     40.03N  75.81W
09/11/2011                   CHESTER            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100722

IOVINO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1215 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST BRANDYWINE TWP     40.03N  75.81W
09/11/2011                   CHESTER            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN.

1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRINGFIELD             40.04N  74.65W
09/11/2011                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND UTILITY POLES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100722 PHI1100723

IOVINO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1217 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

NJZ020-026-120515-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-OCEAN NJ-
1217 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT OCEAN COUNTY...

AT 1213 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES WEST OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR LAKEHURST...LEISURE VILLAGE
WEST-PINE LAKE PARK AROUND 1230 AM...SILVERTON...HOLIDAY CITY-DOVER
AROUND 1245 AM...MANTOLOKING AND LAVALLETTE AROUND 100 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS
RECENTLY. BE ALERT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

EXPECT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. DO NOT
SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4003 7404 4000 7403 3990 7406 3991 7409
      3990 7411 3991 7447 3998 7451 4009 7451
      4012 7425 4010 7424 4010 7416 4013 7410
      4009 7408 4010 7403 4005 7402

MPD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1230 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST BRANDYWINE TWP     40.03N  75.81W
09/11/2011                   CHESTER            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN.

1035 PM     LIGHTNING        FAIR HILL               39.70N  75.87W
09/11/2011                   CECIL              MD   911 CALL CENTER

            HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING.

1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRINGFIELD             40.04N  74.65W
09/11/2011                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND UTILITY POLES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100722 PHI1100724 PHI1100723

IOVINO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1246 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

DEZ002>004-MDZ020-120545-
CAROLINE MD-DELAWARE BEACHES DE-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-
1246 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...KENT AND SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 1243 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTH OF
MIDDLETOWN TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER TO 11 MILES EAST OF
EASTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
SMITHVILLE...AGNER AROUND 100 AM...WOODLAND BEACH...LITTLE CREEK
AROUND 115 AM...BIG STONE BEACH...SLAUGHTER BEACH AROUND 130 AM AND
MILTON AROUND 145 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXPECT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT
SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3913 7580 3914 7575 3929 7576 3929 7568
      3931 7559 3937 7551 3932 7543 3924 7538
      3916 7540 3907 7539 3901 7532 3898 7529
      3893 7530 3883 7521 3880 7516 3879 7507
      3872 7507 3872 7579

MPD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
129 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

NJZ017>027-120630-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
129 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...
CAPE MAY...CUMBERLAND...GLOUCESTER AND OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 125 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF
TOMS RIVER TO 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MILLVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR BAY HEAD...WARREN GROVE AROUND
145 AM...STRATHMERE...SEAVILLE AROUND 200 AM...VENTNOR CITY AND SURF
CITY AROUND 215 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXPECT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3965 7414 3950 7428 3953 7440 3945 7429
      3935 7441 3930 7455 3910 7470 3910 7490
      3917 7494 3919 7518 3920 7519 3927 7525
      4013 7460 4007 7456 4015 7444 4014 7426
      4010 7424 4010 7417 4013 7411 4009 7402

MPD