Tornado Warning 123, NWS Paducah, KY

077 
WWUS53 KPAH 272148
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
448 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

MOC031-201-272157-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0123.000000T0000Z-110427T2200Z/
SCOTT MO-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-
448 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CAPE GIRARDEAU AND
NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3709 8938 3714 8943 3734 8945 3736 8943
      3741 8942 3747 8947 3751 8930 3760 8929
      3761 8907 3719 8907 3706 8938
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 249DEG 35KT 3751 8926 3708 8927

$$

ILC003-153-181-272200-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0123.000000T0000Z-110427T2200Z/
PULASKI IL-ALEXANDER IL-UNION IL-
448 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR UNION...
CENTRAL ALEXANDER AND WESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...

AT 446 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MULTIPLE 
TORNADOES. THE LINE EXTENDED FROM COBDEN TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
HORSESHOE LAKE CONSERVATION AREA...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ANNA...PULASKI...ULLIN...DONGOLA AND
OLMSTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADOES...THIS LINE OF STORMS IS CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 8938 3714 8943 3734 8945 3736 8943
      3741 8942 3747 8947 3751 8930 3760 8929
      3761 8907 3719 8907 3706 8938
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 249DEG 35KT 3751 8926 3708 8927

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
116 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE IS FOR PRIMARY HAZARD OF LARGE HAIL GIVEN
COOLING MID TROPOSPHERIC TEMPS...AIDED/ABETTED BY STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS OVERHEAD AND SWEEPS THRU.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH DEVELOPING HELICITY PROFILES WITH LOW INCOMING
IN CASE TORNADIC THREAT DEVELOPS...SPC BEING ON TOP OF THAT
ALREADY PER EARLIER CONFERENCE CALL.

GRADIENT WINDS WILL ENHANCE WITH SURFACE LOW MOVING THRU AND
SHOULD SEE WINDS SHIFTING FROM SLYS TO WSLYS/NWLYS WITH TIME. SOME
GUSTS TO NEAR ADVISORY THRESHOLDS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER 1 TO POTENTIALLY 1.5" OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
SYSTEM PASSAGE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WE WILL THEREFORE LEAVE THE
FFA RUNNING THRU ITS INHERITED EXPIRATION TIME OF 700 PM...AND
CONTINUE OUTLOOK/FORECAST FOR HEAVY RAIN AS WELL.

CLEARING/IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT-TOMORROW AND
SHOULD LAST INTO/THRU MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY...OFFERING MUCH
NEEDED REPRIEVE FROM SVR WX/HEAVY RAIN. SAVE EXCEPTION IS SMALLISH
CYCLONIC FLOW ENERGY POPS FOR THURSDAY PM/EVENING...BUT QPF SHOULD
BE LIGHT.

NEXT BEST CHC PCPN IS LATER IN THE WEEKEND...SPECIFICALLY SAT
NIGHT-SUN NIGHT TIME FRAME WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM PASSAGE AND
POTENTIALLY AN INCH OR TWO MORE OF RAINFALL. HAVE MENTIONED THIS
IN HWO AND WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE UPON WITH REGARD TO
CONTINUED FLOODING.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTIVE OUTBREAK WITH SYSTEM PASSAGE THIS PM WILL LOWER CIGS
FROM MVFR TO IFR AT TIMES. IFR VSBYS IN HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE
AND HAIL IS THE SVR WX THREAT...THOUGH NOT IN TAFS (YET). AS THE
SURFACE WAVE PASSES...GRADIENT WINDS COULD YIELD SOME GUSTS NEAR
30 KTS AT TIMES...WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLYS TO WESTERLYS
OR NORTHWESTERLYS OVER THE COURSE OF THE EVENING. GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS THE
SYSTEM PUSHES EAST.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BALLARD-
     CALDWELL-CALLOWAY-CARLISLE-CHRISTIAN-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-
     FULTON-GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-
     MARSHALL-MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-TRIGG-UNION KY-
     WEBSTER.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BOLLINGER-
     BUTLER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY
     MO-RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALEXANDER-
     EDWARDS-FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
     JOHNSON-MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-
     WAYNE IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GIBSON-PIKE-
     POSEY-SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
316 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-281015-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
316 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS PLACED THE
ENTIRE QUAD STATE REGION IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING...WITH A MODERATE RISK EAST
OF A LINE FROM MAYFIELD AND UNION TOWN KENTUCKY...ONWARD TO
PETERSBURG INDIANA. THIS MODERATE RISK AREA COVERS PART OF
SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY...AS WELL
AS THE ENTIRE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY.

INITIALLY...THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA WILL WILL
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. INTO THE MID AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS...THE HAZARD WILL INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES...AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE COLD FRONT...TAPPING
INTO STRONGLY SHEARED WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. THE THREAT
FOR TORNADOES SHOULD DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT...AS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PLEASE
REFER TO THE ANY ONGOING FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY
RAINS LATER IN THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING...UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER...HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
233 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     HAIL             ALTO PASS               37.57N 89.32W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       UNION              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ON ROUTE 127 IN ALTO PASS

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
235 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELLSINORE               36.93N 90.75W
04/27/2011  E65 MPH          CARTER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
312 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 NW POPLAR BLUFF       36.84N 90.50W
04/27/2011  M60 MPH          BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

RST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
358 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

KYZ022-272145-
TODD KY-
358 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TODD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 355 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WIND
AROUND 40 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS PART OF A LINE OF STORMS THAT
EXTENDED FROM NEAR GUTHRIE TO DAYSVILLE. THE STORMS WERE
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE GUTHRIE AND AREAS SOUTHEAST
OF ELKTON.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN
STANDING WATER ON AREA ROADS. WATER LEVELS IN SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS
AND IN DITCHES MAY RISE QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER
RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
413 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TORNADO          2 W CHAFFEE             37.18N 89.70W
04/27/2011                   SCOTT              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
422 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     TSTM WND GST     DELTA                   37.20N 89.74W
04/27/2011  M50 MPH          CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY