Special Weather Statement, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1036 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

.AVIATION...
06/06Z TAFS...SMALL MCS WILL AFFECT KGAG/KWWR FIRST HOUR OR TWO OF
FORECAST AND POSSIBLY KPNC THROUGH 09Z. STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
PRIMARILY MVFR CIG/VIS MAIN IMPACTS. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  78 109  78 105 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         81 108  81 107 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  83 110  83 108 /   0  10   0  10
GAGE OK           77 106  76 106 /  80  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     82 106  80 107 /  40  20  20  20
DURANT OK         82 110  81 105 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT MONDAY FOR OKZ004>048-
     050>052.

TX...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1030 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-061100-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1030 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY...A FEW STORMS MAY
BRIEFLY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

DISCUSSION...
A SMALL MCS WILL MOVE FROM THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES AND
AFFECT NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. STRONG
WINDS...ON THE ORDER OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE COMMON. A FEW STORMS
MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE SIZE HAIL.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY AUG 6.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...30 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
DANGEROUS HEAT WILL CONTINUE. AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IS IN
EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS PRODUCT FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THROUGH MONDAY... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ENHANCED BY OUTFLOW AT TIMES REMAINS
IN THE AREA. FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEXES MAY MOVE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THESE STRONGER WINDS ALONG WITH HOT
WEATHER WITH LITTLE RAINFALL... WILL ELEVATE WILDFIRE CONCERNS
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SATURDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1033 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

OKZ004-009-014-060345-
ELLIS OK-HARPER OK-ROGER MILLS OK-
1033 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ELLIS...HARPER AND ROGER
MILLS COUNTIES.

AT 1031 PM CDT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WAS LOCATED FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROSSTON TO 3 MILES SOUTH OF
DURHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS WILL
OCCUR WITH THE STORMS AS THEY MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3582 9971 3567 10000 3700 10001 3701 9989

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1044 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

OKZ004-009-014-060415-
ELLIS OK-HARPER OK-ROGER MILLS OK-
1044 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ELLIS...HARPER AND ROGER
MILLS COUNTIES.

AT 1045 PM CDT...THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED FROM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROSSTON TO 5 MILES NORTH OF
REYDON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3700 9983 3645 9964 3564 9956 3563 9998
      3589 10001 3701 10000

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1109 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

OKZ004-009-010-014>016-060445-
CUSTER OK-DEWEY OK-ELLIS OK-HARPER OK-WOODWARD OK-ROGER MILLS OK-
1109 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR CUSTER...DEWEY...ELLIS...
HARPER...ROGER MILLS AND WOODWARD COUNTIES.

AT 1108 PM CDT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WAS LOCATED FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF BUFFALO...TO NEAR SHATTUCK...
TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF STRONG CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3701 9952 3700 9946 3635 9925 3558 9903
      3556 9964 3635 9974 3700 10000 3701 9999

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